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  • #1599227
    Avatar photoAlexander
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    Further to earlier threads, Captain Kane at Ripon managed to shoulder the extra weight but was still just ahead of the handicapper to win yet again. The apprentice ride was impressive and the allowance probably made the win possible.

    1. Captain Kane 7/4F
    Benoit De La Sayette 5
    George Scott
    3 910 Extra-Weights 12 70 – – –
    “Midfield, pushed along over 3f out, went second 2f out, ran on well to lead towards finish (op 6/4 tchd 11/8)”

    #1599863
    Avatar photoAlexander
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    Significant Handicap movements (31st May)
    Runners having an outing before Saturday will be ahead of the handicapper, notwithstanding there will be a penalty incurred. The penalty level will still leave an advantage for the runners listed below.

    #1599919
    Avatar photoAlexander
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    It looks like we will need to pay attention to The Covex Kid who is due to run Friday. There has been quite a lot of interest from the BHA integrity Dept regarding the Aw win : see comments below from the RPost. Collects a 12lb hike and has a similar penalty for the race. Won well on latest run and could still be just ahead of the handicapper.

    Friday, 03 June 2022 – 5:15
    (Four day) at Catterick Racing Again 6th July Handicap (7f)

    28May22
    Bev C63yHc 3K 7½f GF 9-0 1/10 by 1¼L Bungley 9-11 6/5F S Davis 51
    24May22
    Lin C63yHc 3K 7f St 9-0 1/13 by 2¾L Arpina 8-9 11/2 S Davis 46
    “Held up in rear, headway on outer home turn, ridden to lead final 110yds, ran on well (at the request of the Integrity Department of the BHA, trainer Amy Murphy was interviewed by the Stewards before this race and asked to provide information regarding the acquisition of the gelding, her expectations for this race and if she had anything to add in light of the betting support, the jockey was also interviewed, their comments were noted and forwarded to the BHA Integrity Department) (op 3/1 tchd 6/1)”

    245 days break

    18May22 Changed Trainer notification: Paul Midgley to Amy Murphy

    21Sep21
    Bev C52yNv 4K 5f Gd 9-3 10/11 btn 10L Silky Wilkie 9-3 150/1 K Stott —
    03Sep21
    Pon C42yNv 7K 6f GF 9-0 10/12 btn 12½L Clarets Glory 9-2 125/1 G Lee
    28Jul21
    Red C42yNv 6K 6f Gd 9-2 10/11 btn 16L Milbanke 9-2 40/1 B Robinson

    18May21 Gelded notification

    #1600060
    Avatar photoAlexander
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    The Covex Kid stands his ground and is due to run tomorrow:
    5:15 Catterick 3 JUN 2022
    7f (7f6y) Racing Again 6th July Handicap (Div I) (Class 6) (3yo+ 0-55).

    From our handicap perspective maybe not an obvious choice but this one has been respected (+12lb) so qualifies as a selection.

    #1600428
    Avatar photoAlexander
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    Catt 5.15pm
    Racing Again 6th July Handicap (Div I)
    7f, Class 6, £3,456
    Going: Good
    9. The Covex Kid 8/11F
    1. Mr Trevor 9/2
    5. Liberty Breeze 10/1
    13 ran NR: How Bizarre (unsuitable ground) Distances: 3l, 2¼l, nse Time: 1m 27.03s (slow by 2.93s) Total SP: 126%

    #1600456
    Avatar photosporting sam
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    Intriguing reading Alex.
    Thank you for your efforts.

    #1601050
    Avatar photoAlexander
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    Cheers Sam
    Much appreciated
    Alex

    #1601056
    Avatar photoAlexander
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    Significant Handicap movements (7th June)
    Runners having an outing before Saturday will be ahead of the handicapper, notwithstanding there will be a penalty incurred. The penalty level will still leave an advantage for the runners listed below.

    SIXCOR (GB) having won and also run a good second of late is looking to get ahead of the handicap with a run tomorrow 8th June- 8:50 pm (Overnight) at Hamilton Every Race Live On RacingTV Handicap (5f)

    There are others who have been hiked (see list above) but not withstanding Sixcor non are due to run before Saturday which would mean them escaping the weight rise.

    ***********************
    Highest riser in the weights Astapor (now goes up 14 lbs). Many had to have a double take as this one won in style at 200/1 ! Beat odds on Parisiac rated at 94. Astapor was rated 43 although this was a novice race and not a handicap.See below that recent win comments.

    2:01 Hamilton
    2 Jun 2022
    Book And Save At hamilton-park.co.uk Novice Stakes (GBB Race)
    (Class 5) (3yo+) (6f6yds) 6f Good
    1. Astapor 200/1 Harry Russell 3 John David Riches
    Made all, alone up the centre, went clear from over 3f out, shaken up over 1f out, ridden and edged left inside final furlong, unchallenged (trainer said, regards the poor performance, the gelding may have appreciated making the running and the drop in trip to 6f on this occasion)
    _______________________________________________________________

    #1601199
    Avatar photoAlexander
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    It looks as though Sixcor takes his chances tomorrow and will likely be fancied stronger than the tissue currently showing 5/2.
    8:50
    Hamilton
    8 JUN 2022
    5f (5f7y) Every Race Live On RacingTV Handicap (Class 6) (4yo+ 0-60)

    FUTURE Official Ratings : Sixcor (+4), Stroxx (-1)

    BETTING FORECAST 5/2 Sixcor, 4/1 Tanasoq, 9/2 Quanah, 5/1 Joshua R, 11/2 Refuge, Stroxx.

    #1601329
    Avatar photoAlexander
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    Sixcor was a non runner (unsuitable ground)

    #1601896
    Avatar photoAlexander
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    Significant Handicap movements (14th June)
    Runners having an outing before Saturday will be ahead of the handicapper, notwithstanding there will be a penalty incurred. The penalty level will still leave an advantage for the runners listed below.

    There not too many movements in the handicap this week. Improvised and Mostly Cloudy have engagements that would side step any hike in their weights.

    IMPROVISED (IRE) Escapes a penalty by virtue of a 2nd spot on latest run to Snooze N You Lose and looks well handicapped for the Ascot Palace Stakes.
    Tomorrow – 6:10
    (Overnight) at Ascot Kensington Palace Stakes (Handicap) (Fillies & Mares) (1m)

    MOSTLY CLOUDY (IRE) Already it is only a small field tomorrow at Nottingham where Mostly Cloudy looks to be a strong favourite.
    Tomorrow – 6:20
    (Overnight) at Nottingham Last Horse Standing 3 Chances To Win Handicap (1m6f)

    #1602332
    Avatar photoAlexander
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    MOSTLY CLOUDY WINS 10/11

    #1603462
    Avatar photoAlexander
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    Significant Handicap movements (21th June)
    Runners having an outing before Saturday will be ahead of the handicapper, notwithstanding there will be a penalty incurred. The penalty level will still leave an advantage for the runners listed below. ( This week I have considered only the range 18lb hike to 12lb rises).

    There are a whole host of handicap movements this week but only LUCKYBOYLOVELYWIFE is engaged to run before the new ratings take effect.

    Westwood Maiden Fillies’ Stakes (GBB Race)
    (Class 5) (3yo+) (7f96yds) 7½f Good To Firm Luckyboylovelywife 18/1
    Marco Botti- “Made all, going easily 3f out, shaken up and increased tempo over 1f out, ridden out inside final furlong, unchallenged (tchd 16/1)”

    Luckyboylovelywife due to run Wednesday Kempton Aw 7f. Race conditions mean this one would not be able to race with these in the future having moved above them in the official ratings.Looks well in with only a 6lb penalty offset with apprentice 5lb claimer booked.

    On another topic; there are runners coming from Ascot last week who will be looked at a little closer with a few comments as to the handicappers reasoning.
    That will follow later :bye:

    #1603567
    Avatar photoAlexander
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    Kempton 5.50pm Today Wednesday 22nd LUCKYBOYLOVELYWIFE
    Looks well in with a good claimer to add to the plus and a handicap debut.
    Alex

    #1604493
    Avatar photoAlexander
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    Significant Handicap movements (28th June)
    Runners having an outing before Saturday will be ahead of the handicapper, notwithstanding there will be a penalty incurred. The penalty level will still leave an advantage for the runners listed below.

    STORM CHASER has 3 engagements this week to avoid the handicap hike of 11 lbs.
    Storm Chaser up to rating of 74
    5yo:(29Jan17 b m)
    Trainer:Mick Channon
    Thursday, 30 June 2022 – 1:30
    (Four day) at Haydock Supalite Decade Dash Fillies’ Handicap (1m3½f)
    Friday, 01 July 2022 – 2:45
    (Four day) at Doncaster Follow At The Races On Twitter Handicap (2m½f)
    Friday, 01 July 2022 – 4:38
    (Four day) at Sandown Davies Group Handicap (1m6f)

    NB* more to follow

    #1604808
    Avatar photoAlexander
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    STORM CHASER BEATEN NK INTO 2ND TODAY.

    8. Storm Chaser (FR) 10/11F
    Silvestre De Sousa
    Mick Channon

    Led at steady pace, pushed along and increased tempo 3f out, headed and alone against far rail over 1f out, soon rallied and every chance, kept on final 110yds, held towards finish (op 5/6)

    #1605314
    Avatar photoAlexander
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    Significant Handicap movements (5th JULY)
    Runners having an outing before Saturday will be ahead of the handicapper, notwithstanding there will be a penalty incurred. The penalty level will still leave an advantage for the runners listed below.

    THERE ARE TWO RUNNERS DUE A QUICK RETURN AS CAN BE SEEN.
    SOULCOMBE IS VERY INTERSTING. AN EXPENSIVE $274K 2021 PURCHASE. RECENTLY GELDED AND WORE BLINKERS FOR THE FIRST TIME ON LATEST WINNING OUTING. HAS RECORD OF BEING SLOW AWAY AND ON ANOTHER OCCASION DWELT !.

    TAKING THE BIGGEST HIKE IS REAMS OF LOVE. (NOT ENGAGED FOR A QUICK RETURN) BUT THE HANDICAPPING HAD A DIM VIEW OF THIS ONE FINDING SO MUCH IMPROVEMENT AND UPPED THIS SON OF FRANKEL 20LBS. REAMS OF LOVE HAS CHANGED TRAINER AND SUBSEQUENTLY HAD 4 HURDLE RACES AS COMPLETE OUTSIDER. LATEST RUN SHOWN BELOW FOR INTEREST.

    Pontefract
    Wayne Conway Memorial Handicap
    (Class 6) (0-65, 3yo) (1m4f5yds) 1m4f Good
    1st Wagga Wagga (IRE) 6/5F
    William Buick
    Hughie Morrison
    Tracked leaders, pushed along over 2f out, led over 1f out, soon ridden and went clear, kept on strongly, eased towards finish

    Haydock
    Selecta Systems 40th Anniversary Handicap
    (Class 5) (0-75, 3yo) (1m3f140yds) 1m3½f Inner Soft
    1st Soulcombe 100/30
    Tom Marquand
    William Haggas
    Slowly away, midfield, pushed along 3f out, soon switched left, nudged along and good headway over 2f out, hung right but ridden to lead over 1f out, went clear inside final furlong, comfortably (op 3/1 tchd 11/4)

    Stratford 28/6/22
    Bet At racingtv.com Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)
    (Class 4) (4yo+) (2m70yds) 2m½f Good 8 hurdles
    1st. Reams Of Love 20/1
    Kielan Woods
    D J Jeffreys
    Towards rear but in touch with leaders, headway 2 out, went second approaching last, led last, kept on well run-in, ridden out (trainer said, on the improvement in form, the gelding benefited from being ridden with more restraint on this occasion) (op 14/1

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