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Good article from Ian McLean in this weeks Sunday Independent. It mirrors a lot of what has already been discussed on this thread.
WANTED: Job in call centre where whoever initiated the punt on Braveheart’s Spirt is Needed is a client.
Will work for free.
Some of the most striking "psychic" Betfair gambles have concerned this yard. Yorgunnabelucky the other day at Yarmouth was sent off at an astonishingly short price given recent form (you would consider sacking an odds compiler for coming up with such a quote based on form considerations alone). I also recall Take Ten was an amazing punt at Bath a couple of runs back – he missed the break that day and lost his chance, but his subsequent run would have won the race easily – so "They" probably "knew" despite not collecting on this particular occasion….
Between Jan01 and Jul04 2010, Braveheart has had 59 horses that drifted from their 10 minute prices of between 5/2 and 4/1. 50 of them were beaten! At a median Betfair SP of 4.2/1.
A good example of the ‘shop-soiled’ nature of drifters was shown in successive races at Newmarket yesterday.
In the 3.55 Jamie Spencer was giving three smacks to the runner-up’s one when getting his well-backed fav up by a short head.
In the 4.30 there are three horses fighting out the finish and Spencer accepts defeat very quickly on a horse that doubled in price in the last few minutes. At first I thought his horse had gone lame or something, but he’s clearly still pushing it forward and I can find no explanation forwarded for him suddenly accepting defeat. It’s almost unimaginable that a jockey would have settled for third place so soon on a punted horse.
Incredible scenes at the Southwell sandpit in the feature race of the day. The prices of Luscivious and Lucky Numbers, which were different by a factor of ten earlier, converge with predictable results.
A proper hands and heels ride there on the displaced jolly from a jockey who increasingly appears to be psychically linked to the BF market.
I counted Hanagan giving the winner 7 cracks as opposed to zero by the jockey on the second.
And everyone’s Jackpot gets Nevisoned by a horse ‘unpickable’ at 2.20pm, yet apparently one of the leading contenders, on Big Blue prices, as the gates opened.
Just as a thought experiment – how much of an edge would you have if you could pick your jackpot selections leg by leg, when everyone else has to choose them before the first leg? There’ll be insider sixfolds tomorrow that would pay only five figure odds at Betfair SP that will go unselected in the million or so lines bet.
Don’t you know that Allanit will settle beautifully when it doesn’t drift to 16 on betfair pre-race….
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I’m beginning to think there’s absolutely no mileage in betting on British horse racing.
I’ve had no bets at all this week, but between Barney Curley’s latest effort (beautifully illustrated above), the outsider of Johnston’s three leading home a Middleham tricast in the 3.40, Casela Park at Newcastle, Adrian Nicholls’s bizarre riding of Galpin Junior in the 4.10 and Richard Hills’s tame effort aboard Hamloola (backed in to 5/4, opened at 2/1 on course and proceeded to drift aimlessly to 11/4) at Kempton, I’m happy to give up completely.
If this is what Racing For Change has to offer an unsuspecting public, we might as well call it a day now.
- Total Posts 17716
I’m beginning to think there’s absolutely no mileage in betting on British horse racing.
I’ve had no bets at all this week, but between Barney Curley’s latest effort (beautifully illustrated above), the outsider of Johnston’s three leading home a Middleham tricast in the 3.40, Casela Park at Newcastle, Adrian Nicholls’s bizarre riding of Galpin Junior in the 4.10 and Richard Hills’s tame effort aboard Hamloola (backed in to 5/4, opened at 2/1 on course and proceeded to drift aimlessly to 11/4) at Kempton, I’m happy to give up completely.
If this is what Racing For Change has to offer an unsuspecting public, we might as well call it a day now.
http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_KoUlHWrH0gA/Sq8F9KGAcrI/AAAAAAAAAFY/Lh0EWyQQzws/s400/crying-baby-party-56800676.jpg
- Total Posts 17716
And the point of that is?
I’m beginning to think there’s absolutely no mileage in betting on British horse racing.
If this is what Racing For Change has to offer an unsuspecting public, we might as well call it a day now.
What does this have to do with Racing For Change please?
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Please exchange ‘if this is what Racing For Change has to offer’ for ‘if this is what racing has to offer’.
Very funny Laughing out loud.
With the amount of negative publicity in the last few years both in the press and on national television, perpetuated on an almost race by race basis here, its almost impossible to consider the British public "unsuspecting" as far as racing is concerned.
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