Kentucky Derby 2009

Mr Hotstuff could offer eachway value for those looking away from the front three in the Santa Anita Derby, but I suspect Pioneer Of The nile will win.

Muskett Man has two ways of running, like a good thing or a pig, depends which way he wants too run, if he runs well he should win up in the frozen north.

I Want Revenge should win the Wood, though that stretch win pick any holes in his stamina and Imperial Council could pick up the peices.

Cheers.

From blood horse wit my comments added.

Kentucky Derby Graded Earnings for Major Contenders (through 04/01/09)
Rank Horse Trainer Graded Earnings
1 Stardom Bound (f) Dutrow, Rick $1,770,000 ( N/R I suspect, Oaks bound at best)
2 Regal Ransom bin Suroor, Saeed $1,250,000 (N/R I suspct Bound the the Preakness I think)
3 Square Eddie O’Neill, Doug $774,981 ( Has had training problems, will he be fit enough or he another for the Belmont)
4 Pioneerof the Nile Baffert, Bob $743,250 (will he handle the dirt, he has trained on it when trained by Bill mott)
5 Desert Party bin Suroor, Saeed $641,667 ( should rebound off that efffort)
6 Quality Road Jerkens, James $600,000 ( has damaged foot, will he make it their fit enough)
7 Friesan Fire Jones, J. Larry $570,465 (will run a huge one)
8 Big Drama Fawkes, David $480,000
9 Terrain Stall, Albert $410,830
10 Old Fashioned Jones, J. Larry $330,000 ( doesnt get the trip even on a bus)
11 I Want Revenge Mullins, Jeff $324,000 ( looks a monster, bred too get the trip and change having splattered his wood field into next week)
12 Hold Me Back Mott, Bill $288,000 ( ran like a pig on dirt on his one try, questions too be answered)
13 West Side Bernie Breen, Kelly $235,160 ( ran ok the other day but outclassed)
14 Chocolate Candy Hollendorfer, Jerry $220,000 ( ran a nice race but not anywhee near the class of his conquerer)
15 Bittel Road Pletcher, Todd $211,000 ( grade three class turf horse)
16 Musket Man Ryan, Derek $200,000 (useful but vunerable stamina wise)
17 The Pamplemousse Canani, Julio $180,000 ( crocked NR)
18 Win Willy Robertson, McLean $180,000 ( stayd well off a fast pace, if he gets that kin of pace watch for him coming late)
19 Papa Clem Stute, Gary $160,000 ( n good enough)
20 Charitable Man McGlaughlin, Kiaran $150,000 (not fit enough, how good he is I dont know)
21 Dunkirk Pletcher, Todd $150,000 ( no balls for a fight, i have seen lady boys who are more butch)
22 Mine That Bird Woolley, Bennie $138,705( gelding)
23 Theregoesjojo McPeek, Ken $133,063 ( outclased)
24 General Quarters McCarthy, Tom $130,645 ( has two run stles, good or crap)
25 This Ones for Phil Dutrow, Rick $97,500 ( sprinter)
26 Flying Private Lukas, D. Wayne $94,000
27 Cribnote Violette, Rick $90,000
28 Giant Oak Block, Chris $74,256 (overated)
29 Join in the Dance Pletcher, Todd $67,500
30 Hello Broadway Tagg, Barclay $63,860 ( not good enough)
31 Imperial Council McGaughey, Shug $50,000 ( exsposed)
32 Stately Character Procino, Gerald $42,000
33 Atomic Rain Breen, Kelly $40,000
34 Take the Points Pletcher, Todd $40,000
35 Feisty Suances Vienna, Darrell $40,000 ( northern cal stakes horse at best)
36 Bear’s Rocket Baker, Reade $36,000
37 Poltergeist VonHemel, Donnie K. $30,000
38 Lime Rickey Alexander, Frank $30,000
39 Uno Mas Asmussen, Steve $28,000
40 Gone Astray McGaughey, Shug $27,500
41 Nowhere to Hide Zito, Nick $27,000
42 Mr. Fantasy McLaughlin, Kiaran $25,000
43 Rendezvous Hollendorfer, Jerry $24,000
44 Jeranimo Pender, Michael $24,000
45 Mr. Hot Stuff Harty, Eoin $24,000 (sexy late closer, a belmont type)
46 Parade Clown Ball, Katherine $23,500
47 Brave Victory Zito, Nick $22,333
48 Patena Dutrow, Rick $20,000 ( better on the poly and may get in of he wins the bluegrass)
49 Soul Warrior Asmussen, Steve $18,000
50 Ventana Baffert, Bob $16,600
Captain Cherokee Asmussen, Steve $15,000
Flat Out Dickey, Charles $12,500
Free Country McPeek, Ken $10,000
His Greatness Salazar, Marco $1,500
Al Khali Pletcher, Todd $0 ( winner of grop races in peru, not good enough too win decent races here)
Danger to Society Dutrow, Rick $0
Omniscient Asmussen, Steve $0
Perfect Song Trombetta, Michael $0
(f) – Filly

Pioneer Of The Nile has worked but never ran on dirt, he looks like a turf miler, his uncle, chester horse ran on both, but surface at churchill is lighting fast dirt, with little cushion compared too the synthetics they run on in Southern California. Hence the price. its like asking a wolves specalist too run a top race at southwell.

I Want Revenge wont handle an off track if it comes up sloppy watch freian Fires price collapse. One thing too remember, Pioneer of the niles dad won the belmont on a very sloppy track, the colt s out of lord at war mare, he will get the trip and socal alweather horses often handle off tracks better than they do fast dirt tracks.