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My pick to win the race…
http://i115.photobucket.com/albums/n291/UpInClass/2009%20Kentucky%20Derby%20Trail/chocolate_candy_closeupcloseup.jpg
CHOCOLATE CANDY
…here’s hoping!
Badactor, I think Chocolate Candy has a great chance too – and he is such a beautiful horse! think Friesan Fire may have too much
fire
power for him on Saturday – but they are my two picks. Think Pioneerof The Nile will finish ahead of I Want Revenge by the way just as he has in the past. Dunkirk is a lovely horse but just doesn’t have the experience that seems necessary for this race.
For DUNKIRK fans.
He certainly is a good looking colt!
http://i115.photobucket.com/albums/n291/UpInClass/2009%20Kentucky%20Derby%20Trail/0_DUNKIRK.jpg
Garrett Gomez & Dunkirk before the Florida Derby.(…interesting to note that top jockey, Garrett Gomez,
selected Pioneerof The Nile as his Kentucky Derby mount.)
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Wonder if Mrs John Magnier bought him because of that little pink nose.
Not sure if the rest of him is any good but it doens’t matter as I am having a tenner on the nose and hoping the rest of him follows
Rain expected over the next couple of days at Churchill Downs.
Fresian Fire’s chances do jump out at me if the track turns to slop.
Still confident POTN can do it though
I ant revenge coudlnt get a toe into a damp alweather track, papa clem wanr much cop on a sloppy track in lousina. Pioneer of the Nil will have tracked on an off track while will Bill Mott at some stage of last year.
Alweather horses either revel on a wet dirt track or simply drop anchor and get a cab home…
Freisan Fire loved the offtrack but how good the form is from down their is open too question, its like chester form, it doesnt travel.
Desert Party won a grade two last over a wet track at saratoga, he is one too consider at a price.
I am big fan of Pioneer Of the Nile and Mr Hot Stuff, the latter is a son of Tiznow, so he should not be short of heart if it comes down too a fight, head too head with Dunkirk he will out fight the coolmore coward who showe a lacked desire too get down and dirty in th florisa derby. AP Mocoy should be given the mount, he would ride the colt propertly and make his mind up for him in a scrap.
I think both ATR and RUK are showing it Halfwaytoheaven. Good racing on the undercard too – Kodiak Cowboy etc running
I know the dosage Index has a pretty good record in this race & I am wondering what the contenders are this year.
I came across an article that went into the DI & Beyer ratings.
The top horses are
I want revenge
Dunkirk
Friesian Fire.I want revenge has clocked 113, had a terrible run last time out & still won.
It is one of only these three horses to score over the magical "105" mark along with the other two mentioned.He should stay as well
The Dosage Index was brought to life, and lives off the Kentucky Derby – and if there was no such thing as the race we would all be much happier punters.
From an antepost point of view this gives both Fresian Fire and POTN one less to worry about.
Really hope IWR is ok though and picks up to go for the next leg of the Triple Crown. Thats 2 antepost favourites out now
I have a little on Friesan Fire, but I’m also playing a hunch I have about Regal Ransom.
2 hours til post time Gents
Can’t wait.
Hope some of you have a nice wedge of money running on to your choice after Rachel Alexandra last night
She should never have gone off anywhere near 3/5
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