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Totally agree. Mentioned it above a few weeks ago. Hammered him from 16/1 down. Barber is a really talented point trainer. Nearly won this with Chapoturgeon too.
As I mentioned before it quite often goes to an up and comer when there is one in the field.
OTF is the one to beat obviously. He is nails but he is 12 too. I have saved on him.
Biddick is one of the stronger jocks too. There is mention of required soft but not sure if this is true.
At the time of his writing pretty sure CP was double the odds of Melon. I guess if you fancy one you would have to fancy other in many ways so his angle makes sense.
Hi All. I have been on the forum big one since last year ADO. Sadly, a lot of my tickets are in the range of 8/1 but am topping up just as much as the rest of you. He is simply overpriced.
One massive confidence boost angle for me is that they know they would have won the World Hurdle easy bar Thistlecrack last year, yet they are still keen to go RSA. I was worried they might switch. For me, that is confidence.
Might Bite is decent but even if he won, the Feltham has been a bit of a graveyard in the RSA.
I’m going in again.
For what it is worth, my Yorkhill approach, if I owned would be send him to the JLT.
The champion hurdle is cutting up but is still stronger than the JLT. He’s been campaigned for chasing. If I was the owner I would want to put his chase credentials to the test on his novice season. I’d want to know if I have a future Gold Cupper. For me, a reverse gear could definitely see him lose and put him back a year.
If he wins the champion hurdle they’d probably go chasing next year anyway. If he romps the JLT they get to dance in the big chases next year in the knowledge they have a contender.
From Graham Wylie’s perspective, I think he probably wants to build on his chase options. Now is the time.
PS, I’ve backed Politologue ew so hope he goes champion hurdle route!!!
Surely there is little to go on there?
His best ratings were on Good-soft but he wins in heavy and soft?
Surely the fact that so many of Mullins’ get backed in hard gives that opportunity to pick up some value. Altior was an excellent alternative to the favourite in the Supreme last year.
This year we have a very short priced, long term injury returning, champion hurdle favourite. For me there is value in a couple of the others just behind in the betting. Alternatively a monster lay.
Have to say, I’m envious of the whopping prices some people are holding on CDT. This race looks pretty weak.
If the horse that beat him at Ascot is a serious CH contender which I believe he will be (there are echoes of Rock on Ruby’s big weight handicap win the season he won the CH), then a five length defeat reads pretty well for a novice. I think it is some of the best form on show in this race.
Yorkhill’s left jumping is obviously concerning but Ruby barely moved on him, he won as he liked. I personally think he could have opened up if he pressed a button. The jumping is still my biggest worry, usually a sign that something isn’t quite right.
The odds are poor but in reality it looks like a weak renewal. I think the winner will be one of the top two and might continue to pile into both in cross over doubles and trebles as well as singles.
Surely Djak goes gold cup.
He is only 8, placed two years running at 6 and 7. The first place was a remarkable achievement similar to the winner.
Mullins still hasn’t won the Gold Cup I believe. This horse is likely still improving at 8. He is a bit hit and miss but the last two festivals he has delivered.
I think Mullins would rather run a live GC contender in the GC rather than chase the Ryanair, for which he has a few live contenders already. The horse deserves to go for Gold.
Hi Zark,
I highlighted Foxrock as a potential for this on similar trend notes. I also like that he travelled well at the festival in the NH chase a few years back before tiring 2 out. It bodes well for big field experience, touch of class and festival knowhow.
Does anyone know much about Ask The Weatherman? He won over the weekend in a good race. I like to keep an eye out for a potential smart type in this and from what I can gather is this is his target and he is highly regarded. It seems he needs a bit of cut. This race often goes to the “up and comer” under 10yo when there is the suitable weapon available. I have nibbled the widely available 16/1. I am hoping for the next Kingscliff/Salsify.
Hi All,
New to the forum.I thought I’d through in my current opinion on the top end of the race. Plumped ante post on Cilaos a few weeks ago and was happy to see him being clipped a few points into 10/1 this week. However I am surprised he is not going to Punchestown on Saturday, does anyone have any news?
Annoyingly I was close to splitting the stakes with CM. I might have to cover as well. Regarding Crack Mome – he was decent last time and set a decent TS figure. I don’t know much about Spanish Moon as a sire, not sure he’s covered much. He was quirky as hell though so I hope none of that has passed on to this one.
On another note, I am hoping for a big run from Any Second Now in the Punchestown race. He won nicely enough over Christmas in a big field. I have nibbled the 33/1 for the supreme in case he goes in tomorrow. I am also hoping it might create that McManus supreme shot that those of us on Defi for the triumph need (although McManus ran Binocular with CeeBee in the same race years ago).
