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reet hard,you know what i’m like,i have never been able to suffer fools and yet you are the only person on here who constantly slags me off and yet i dont mind,i always seem to forgive you and thats because in the past you were the brunt of a lot of my jokes,but you always lived up to your name and came back for more.What does seperate the likes of myself,Ginger,thm,Fist,Imperial Call,Carvills Hill and dare i say it ‘Dangerous Dave’ is that we all set ourselves up for a massive fall by trying to show the likes of you that racing can pay by running a tipping thread,Ok ‘Dangerous’ has let the side down AGAIN but at least he knows the difficulty involved.You should have a go yourself and then we’ll see if you really know your stuff.How about kicking off with
Fame and Glory
3/1 for the Ascot Gold Cup? 1/3 says you haven’t really got the bottle!
This fellow first caught my eye at Newbury a year ago and funnily enough it was the only time Jamie Spencer has ridden him,he looked a tricky ride then,not as tricky as the winner mind (Berling).I reckon this step up to 2 miles is just what
Activate
needs as he’s a horse who typifies the meaning ‘Bridle horse’,i think the sedate pace of 2 miles will allow Jamie to just steer him through this field without ever having to put him under pressure,if he can keep him on the bridle i think he’s more talented than the remainder.
Activate
£200 e/w 6/1 Bet365 2.05pm Haydock Sat.
£2525
Ginge,you have proved yourself on here time and again,you maintain a solid and consistent philosophy to finding winners! God only knows what that is like as you never elaborate and as for that bloody points system,it has to be a shilling a point me thinks!
Dont you agree that when you have found your only Holy Grail you know the next winner is only round the corner,until reet hard tells you he agrees,i was really panickin aboutWorkforce
last night knowing he has jumped on the bandwagon!
Word perfect Zarkava,i was pretty drunk by the time Fury ran and to be honest i cant remember ever watching a race drunk before so like you say Fury just gets up to win and i’m counting my winnings! when the result was announced i had a surreal moment as though i was dreaming it had gone the other way,very strange,i have never sobered up so quick i can tell you! My luck with photo finishes is Sh*t at the minute! Great to see
Workforce
do the business although Poet made him work.
I have a sneaky feeling that wily old fox who trains
Workforce
is upto something,there’s a good 6 weeks to the Eclipse which would appear to be an obvious target but in between there is the Prince of Wales at Royal Ascot,or even the Hardwicke,i reckon there is every chance of him turning up at the Royal Meeting after he’s shaken off the cobwebs tonight,that would give him three weeks between both races,then another 3 to the King George,4 races in a 2 month period isn’t impossible.Anyway i have invested for the future as prices will tumble if he ‘surprises’his trainer by powering home tonight!
Workforce
£300 win Corals 6/1 Eclipse,Sandown.
£2925
Zarkava,..Very bullish remarks to suggest
Carlton House
wont win another race should he win the Derby,i couldn’t dissagree more,i see him as a major player in the Derby but i dont see him being suited to the whole ocassion,its a one horse race for me.However and this is a big however i see Carlton House developing into a serious Arc prospect by October,he has bags of scope and we know he handles both cut and firmer conditions,vital come Arc day.The totes 12/1 will be 3/1 if he does prevail at Epsom.
Ginge,i spoke to Corals enquiring about an e/w bet on Akmal tonight,they said they would lay me a maximum bet of £250 e/w at 4/1 and 3places at 1/5th odds.I said he’s a one paced plodder who needs to hear his feet rattle,thanks but no thanks!
As much as i’m looking forward to Epsom,my 2nd fav festival of the year is Royal Ascot and i have been noting horses for particular races for months now,
Memory
in the Coronation stakes would be Fridays banker,i nailed her in last years Albany,this years race is on the agenda for
Lilys Angel
,she wouldn’t be out of place in the Queen Mary over a furlong less but i am hoping
Lexington spirit
turns out to be the flying machine she looks.
Not confident Workforce will do the business tonight KF?
Pants,the day i take a word Sir Michael says as gospel is the day i go broke,if i fell for his massive negativety regarding
Workforce
last year i would never have got near the prices i did,42’s for the Arc was my biggest,i hope he wins in the style of the horse i always said he was but at the price tonight i can afford to enjoy his presence,i remember Sir Michael being just as negative about a filly called Russian rhythm before she went and won the 1000gns,i dont like admitting it but i backed her at 5/1 for that race months before the event,she won at 12’s,good ol Stoutey eh!
KF
Even more money in the street at 6/4 currently.
Oddly enough, I agree with your other blind stab for today, tooI’ll cast my good eye over him lately reet,i’ll know just by looking how fit he is! 6/4 is too big for a Derby/Arc winner in a Group 3 race,i’m more concerned now about Fury winning as i haven’t seen you put a winner up on here in the 3 years i’ve been your King!
I was up at Beverley yesterday to watch Lilys Angel and again a tardy start cost her dearly this time,make no mistake there’s not a filly in that race that will beat her again,paricularly if she steps up to 6f,i tried to recover losses on Dr Red Eye who again gets beat in a photo finish,thats the way it goes sometimes. Today i have had just the one bet at Sandown tonight in the 8,15pm,i like the look of the progressive
Fury
,i looked at the RP website as a price guide and as usual whoever prices the races up there is a country mile out with reality,he goes.- 7/4,Neebras, 5/2, Tazahum, 10/3,Fury. Reality shows Fury is the 2/1fav and Neebras is 11/4 and thats just one example.
Fury
£400 win 2/1 Bet365 8,15pm Sandown.
£3225
"Value" is a perception, Zark, and mine is obviously different to yours.
Workforce won’t be 100% fit, and 10f wouldn’t be his best distance, but as he has half a stone in hand and has improved since last year, 5/4 looks like finding money in the street compared to the 7/2 your pair.Ginge will have something to say about that reet,being a scientist of numbers,good to see a lttle Foresight in your post there but unforunately you only find the odd 50p piece in the street these days so at 5/4 i will sit with a glass of RD and toast the return of my favourite racehorse since the one and only
Dancing Brave
.Holberg……not for me i’m afraid Zarkava,its a race i’ll just watch,good luck with your bet though.
GDC,we’ll not pretend to be surprised by Strike up the band hitting some duff notes yesterday,you need plenty rehearsal time before the grand performance! I see Betfair haveSeville
at 9.8 for the Derby,i’m going over the cliff with this one but such is my confidence in the horse,reminds me of last year!
Here’s a head scratcher,Dandy runs
Strike up the band
in a £5k race at Ayr today off his new mark of 88,he ran Le toreador to a sh,hd the other day off 84.Strike is entered to run in the Dash at Epsom next weekend a race worth 10 times todays prize,he is still thrown in off 88 and that mark should guarantee a run.If he wins today he will either go up another 4/5lb or incur a penalty,both would jeopardise his chances of victory next week.Dandy still has
Masta Plasta
,Crimea,Fathom Five,Falasteen and Indian Trail entered.I have my own thoughts on this,its called second guessing.I might need reet hards help here and just for once can you give me your opinion before the result,you really are the master of hindsight!
GDC,i must have been writing the above at the same time as you!
Watch the maestro at work and learn, but spare us all this pony about your ‘skill’ in second guessing, ffs.
Reet me ode mucker,how the devil are you? I do miss whooping yo A*s.I know it was just pure luck that i backed
Workforce
to win the Derby at 25/1 and as for telling all and sundry he was a cert for the Arc at 16/1 was just a case of me weilding my Butchers axe wildly!
Anyway,what about your old mateFame and Glory
winning the Ascot Gold Cup,you always said he was as slow as a boat?
Part of the skill in being a successful punter is the ability to second guess a Trainers plans for a horse,we all know misinformation is a smoke screen put up by all trainers and some are better at it than others.Sir Michael Stoute is the best of the lot and was at his brilliant best the whole of last season regarding any plans for
Workforce
,fair enough he had a machine on his hands and wanted to keep him under wraps for as long as possible before unleashing him on 2 of the most prestgious races in the world and winning them.This year it would be great if Sir Michael could drop his guard,the horse has achieved star status and its blatantly obvious he was kept in training,partly because he had the physique to improve further and also to redeem himself in the King George,its still a major achievement to add to his cv,then its on to the Arc.What intrigues me though is what is the purpose of Thursdays Brigadier Gerard? Its an ideal pipeopener for a tilt at something like the POW or Hardwicke at Royal Ascot,the Coronation Cup would come too soon for this fellow,or perhaps its an ideal opportunity to gain C/D experience for a tilt at the Eclipse and the time in between would suit,it would also be an opportunity for So You Think to have a pop at him.Come on Sir Michael there’s no need for the cloak and dagger treatment this year,give us a clue!
Just got off the phone from my dear pal in County Tipperaray,Brien O Aidens his name,he said,Listen,Seville will come forward for his run at York,Listen,he was asleep most of the winter,Listen,York was meant to wake him up,Listen,it didn’t,Listen we will run Regent Street to ensure a proper end to end Gallop at Epsom,Listen,Sevilles a horse who wants an end to end gallop,Listen he never got that at York.At this point i had to butt in and say Ffs listen is
Seville
running or what? His reply was Listen,its always been the plan to run Seville in the Derby,Listen,he was bred too.I butted in again with,do you think he will win? Listen was his reply,at this point i hung up!
Reading between the lines i think team Ballydoyle know the answer to that.I have never known a Derby whereby we still dont know who’s actually going to run so soon to the event.Does everybody feel guilty to dare run a horse that could beat Her Majestys Carlton House? Is this years whole event becoming a Royal shindig,or will the Irish get their fingers out and confirm
Seville
as a definite runner,he’s the only horse who will give The Queens a run for his money and i’m sure connections wont feel too guilty winning!
I will just keep chipping away at the 9’s on the machine until they confirm him,he’ll go 7/2 before you can say ‘Bloody Tower’!
Dont you agree that when you have found your only Holy Grail you know the next winner is only round the corner,until reet hard tells you he agrees,i was really panickin about
