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I can see Oscar stalking him all the way up the hill on the bridle….ha ha….who knows, will be interesting to see if he does stay…Henderson thinks he might, so let’s just enjoy the race..
Can’t wait until March!!Just before the Haldon Gold Cup at Exeter I had an ante post £2 each way yankee…..sadly Ghizao looks like letting the bet down…
Ghizao 25/1 – Champion Chase
Sprinter Sacre 10/1 – Arkle
Binocular 12/1 – Champion Hurdle
Oscar Whisky – 10/1 World HurdleGood luck to those who got 14/1 about Sizing Europe…..what was I thinking???? Cracking price!!!
Thousand Stars definitely has the champion as his target, so really only one class horse left going up against Big Bucks in Oscar Whisky.
That will be the forecast so try and find a tasty price outsider to take third…Although this quote from Henderson might put me off backing him for Cheltenham, highly unlikely to run……
"The winner is unlikely to head to the Festival in March, with Henderson admitting: ‘I imagine it will be hard to persuade the owners not to take him to Cheltenham, but his jockey, Barry Geraghty, and I think it’s a year too soon.
‘He’s a very, very talented horse and very much a chaser for the future"The 10-1 quoted for Captain Conan is very poor value. He won today because, i think, he was fitter and more suited to the conditions than his rivals. Big, long striding horse in soft going up that hill.
I think the same comments could apply to Al Ferof who won the supreme last year, and as Al Ferof and Sprinter Sacre were chasers in the making, those facts wouldn’t put me off backing Captain Conan for the Supreme. Should come on quite a bit for that run, now has the experience of a bit of a scrap after the last two fences, and that should put him straight to eat up the ground with that giant stride up the cheltenham hill.
Hurricane Fly the best 2m hurdler around, won’t be beat on his home turf.
But, you will see a different Binocular come Cheltenham, he’s a different horse round there in March.
Throw in Spirit Son, Grandouet, Rock on Ruby, Unaccompanied and Zarkandar and it should be the best champion hurdle for quite some time.
Let’s hope they all manage to line up.Tanks For That – 2.05 San
Captain Conan – 2.35 San
The Knoxs – 3.10 San – Nap
Tasheba – 3.45 San – ResCheers Guys
Yeah that’s why I backed it for the champion chase, because of how highly they rate it, just doesn’t seem good enough. Doesn’t look like it stays further either, see what happens, but sadly hasn’t reproduced it’s form from last year.
Clutching at straws here, but does anyone know if there is any chance of Ghizao turning up for the Champion Chase?
Bad on return obviously, but previously beat Captain Chris, and would have fgone close to beating Finnains Rainbow at Aintree. Clearly doesn’t stay 2m 5f, but a fast run 2 miles could be right up his street if he jumped with more fluency.
I have a nice ante post bet for the champion chase and would love to find out what connections are thinking of doing with him.
CheersQuevega going to the festival without a run up against some pretty moderate mares is one thing, Hurricane Fly going there without a run up against hopefully, the best two mile hurdlers around is another. He’s fragile as it is, so presumably he’s not 100% to line up, and yes he can be quite free at times which can’t be a help in a championship race. I hope he lines up as it would "spoil" the race somewhat, but it wouldn’t be a penalty kick without a prep run.
I don’t understand why people are making excuses for Long Run. The fact is Kauto Star was the one who had excuses last season! He bled at Kempton yet still gave Long Run a race until the last couple, then was pulled up at Punchestown when something clearly was amiss. He’s back to his best yet everyone is still saying he’s past his best because Long Run has had excuses! Give me a break! It’s not one horse he has to beat, he slaughtered everything else in the field bar Long Run. I have backed Long Run both times this season against Kauto Star for the very reason that I thought he was past his best, we were all wrong, so give the horse some credit and may the best horse win the Gold Cup in March. It seems people who have backed Long Run are looking for excuses to get their money back on the Gold Cup. If you think Kauto Star won’t get up the hill, ask Denman if he can…I think Long Run is a great horse, but I will say it once again, when Kauto Star is right, and clearly he is this season, he is the one to beat and should be favourite purely on form alone this season. And as for Grand Crus, exciting novice as he is, if you think he will beat Kauto Star or Long Run for that matter at Cheltenham, even though his time may have been quicker on the day, then fair enough, it’s all about opinions, but in reality, it’s not gonna happen.
I think Oscar is a massive each way bet to nothing against Big Bucks. I managed to get 10/1 in a race where I think there are only two class horses in the race. Big Bucks is a massive certainty if turning up in the same form as any of his previous races. But if, and I know it’s a big if, Oscar Whisky gets the three miles well, he will be the classiest horse Big Bucks has been up against over hurdles. If he does get the three miles, he will be cantering all over Big Bucks when he hits his traditional "flat spot", and with his speed he could well give the mighty horse a big fright. Anyway, on at 10/1 each way, I’m happy to take my chance and find out. Especially as connections have said this race is now his firm target.
If you look at the firepower in that stable, when Messrs Henderson and Geraghty say this horse is frighteningly good, we should really sit up and take note. They said the same thing about Long Run before he saw a racecourse in England, and what did he win? Oh just a Feltham a King George and a Gold Cup!
These boys know their stuff!
They said he was a baby last year and an embryonic chaser, so anything over hurdles was a bonus. Have all the arguments you like, my 10/1 about Sprinter Sacre for the Arkle is looking a pretty decent bet to me. Not knocking any other horses in the race, but I am more than happy with what I am sitting on at the moment.Hi Guys
Early again, but won’t have access to a computer tomorrow.
My three for Saturday as follows….
Minella Class – 2.05 New
Rey Nacarado – 2.35 New
Plum Pudding – 2.20 War – Nap
Lifestyle – Res – 3.40 New
Cheers
Happy new year!I would say Long Run could quite possibly dominate the staying chase division for years to come, but only when Kauto Star retires. The horse has been a a machine for years, clearly something was amiss last year when he bled at Kempton and pulled up later in the season. He has been dining at the top table for years and when he throws in a poor run, people call for retirement! He has proved them wrong, beaten Long Run not once, but twice already this season, and I don’t care about the times, you have to try and get past this horse. Long Run is good, but when Kauto Star is right, is just not quite as good, plain and simple.
I think the Gold Cup may well be a furlong too far outside of Kauto Star’s comfort zone too, but it wasn’t out of Denman’s and he reversed Gold Cup form with him! I would not like to say which way it will go, something else may even win it, it’s not a two horse race. But whatever happens, it will be a fitting way to end the career of what is probably the best horse I’ve ever seen. What an amazing racehorse! And what a good training feat to keep him going at the top table for the amount of time he has. That is no mean feat! It would not surprise me to see him be the first horse to regain it twice, another record beckons, and it would be a brave man to say it’s impossible.I’m out of the country for Christmas and won’t get a chance to use a computer so if it’s ok, am posting my Boxing day selections up now.
Not very original but think Henderson will have a good Christmas!Bobs Worth – 2.00 Kem
Binocular – Nap – 2.35 Kem
Long Run – 3.10 kemHave a good Christmas!
