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The home of intelligent horse racing discussion

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Viewing 17 posts - 52 through 68 (of 3,447 total)
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  • in reply to: Queen Anne #1698380
    ham
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    What where they two idiots doing lol, jesus, can do all the race reading you want until the jockeys go and do something like that

    in reply to: King Charles III #1698308
    ham
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    Wont be betting or laying in this as im finding it difficult to work out, id say it should probably be 6s the field, just be hoping big evs steps forward and wins it well hopefully

    in reply to: Queen Anne #1698295
    ham
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    Ah he’ll be fine on it ginge, the Time in meydan, it was probably slightly firmer than good lto,big rocks best two performances were both on the heaviest ground he faced, yes ran well on faster ground in the french derby, the form bar the fav in the race (who won very very easily) is suspect, id be giving him 0 chance

    Bet to nothing FC placing, above evs still without RS running, cant get enough of it personally, started betting heavier at 1.98 and have been taking everything available upto 2.14, will be steaming on in until the off, hopefully keeps drifting

    in reply to: Queen Anne #1698280
    ham
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    • Total Posts 3489

    Facteur cheval is evs to place in the top 3, great bet, his record in group 1s against better fields, id have him about 1/3 to place, ill be taking everything available until the off on that

    Hard to see past facteur cheval or audience winning imo, i backed charyn every race last season and i wont be forgiving that, its not a great race atall and facteur really should be winning this on form, on heavy obviously big rock would be the angle, that comeback run was horrendous though

    in reply to: Coventry 2024 #1698229
    ham
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    Very rarely i go mob handed into a race, usually laying mob handed, Arran @32s & star anthem @40s, really impressed by there runs lto and the forms solid, lastly ill add in the actor @17s, be surprised if there not all there at the end

    Started typing out my reasoning for avoiding everything at the front end of the market but they just dont look deserving of being much shorter than anything above, the favourite beaten an undercooked WJ on soft ground fto…. Whos taking 4/1 about that? Ill be place laying that to 3/4/5 for a decent amount, id be completely against him, Trainers wildly out of form on top of that

    in reply to: St James Palace Stakes 2024 #1698158
    ham
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    • Total Posts 3489

    Hard to see past the fav imo, big rosallion fan but i cant see him reversing that form, fav looks to have plenty more improvement in him, unquestionable @33/1 e/w looks overpriced

    Henry was who i thought would win the guineas end of last season and expected to take a big step forward tomorrow, but hes short enough against the front two in the market

    in reply to: Prix de Diane 2024 #1698079
    ham
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    Tamfana to place is ranging from 1.85-2.04 which im happy enough to be playing at, relative to her chances of winning i think its a great bet

    As always with french racing theres going to be some hard luck stories, buick likely set off prominent, oisin just behind the pace, i like candala but stall 12 and a a jockey i really like in ireland on board, but not sure id have as much faith in his track positioning here, i can see her having a nightmare in this, so ill be place laying her to 3, with a better draw id probably be backing her, aventure was impressive lto and imo should probably be clear fav

    in reply to: Ginger’s Winners 2024+ #1697452
    ham
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    Laid back the profit on believing to make him a saver you would assume stilvi

    Good luck with the thread ginge, just had a look through :good:

    in reply to: Jon of Gaunt stakes 2024 #1697221
    ham
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    • Total Posts 3489

    Pogo @13/2 e/w now that ND is a non runner, very happy with that price, id have him about 7/2 on his last run here

    If theres no more pull put id be surprised of by the time of the off the market hasnt completely changed with pogo the outright fav

    in reply to: Irish Derby 2024 #1696663
    ham
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    • Total Posts 3489

    Mad stilvi, wish i could be laying thag currently lol

    in reply to: Derby 2024 #1696662
    ham
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    • Total Posts 3489

    Well done kris, always nice landing a touch that far out!

    in reply to: Derby 2024 #1696643
    ham
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    • Total Posts 3489

    Wd winners, he was very good, gave him
    Absolutely no chance whatsoever, perfect ride from moore aswell, the jockeys where kind enough drifting a mile off the rail for him aswell, nontheless though, was a great ride

    Correct horses where in behind, so he more than likely has ran around the 122 mark with a much improved AF in 2nd and LA in 3rd running to approx the 111 mark he had prior

    As expected though, as with the oaks, so much deadwood in the race, absolute no hopers, group 3 at best, theres nothing to take out of the race bar the front 3, forget the rest completely in g1s

    in reply to: Derby 2024 #1696502
    ham
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    • Total Posts 3489

    Id disagree tonge, most dont have a chance of winning, infact nothing out of the 3 i say below have any chance, the oaks was two yesterday, this is 3 at most, but most likely 2, if the ground quickens up AF will be the 3rd but the winner will come from LA or AW (regardless of ground concerns for AW, its not going to quicken up that much in the next 3 hours based on the time of the 1st)

    cot just wont stay, he may redeem himself over a mile, he wont be winning this, dancing gemini has his rating because DV and HL underperformed in the poulains, the rest just forget, group 3 horses

    in reply to: Oaks 2024 #1696280
    ham
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    • Total Posts 3489

    Mathematically i should have backed her at the price ginge your not wrong, but i had enough doubt about the howler for some reason, was happy to kick myself after (for once my gut won over the maths) i still feel she’s the best in a very, very poor oaks though, the winners just less complicated and handled the track better

    Ylang ylang and ezeliya are the only two after the race id go near again, but wouldnt be touching them in an arc etc, as i said prior, id be forgetting every other runner in this, there barely group 3 level, barely

    Winner be lucky to have ran 112 there

    in reply to: Oaks 2024 #1696211
    ham
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    • Total Posts 3489

    I must be the only one here that doesnt see an open race or any betting potential, ylang ylang will win, ezeliya will be second and past that rar will improve marginally for the track ahead of forest fairy, there will be no big price surprises today

    I do not know why ylang ylang isnt 4/5-4/6 this, i wouldnt want to be laying her atall today

    Not backing her either because she can throw in a howler from time to time, but i wouldnt want to bet against her either

    As always ill be the first to come back here and say i was completely wrong, but i cant see that today

    in reply to: Irish Derby 2024 #1696155
    ham
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    • Total Posts 3489

    haggas said its very unlikely economics will be racing over 1m4 this year, will stick to 10f, apparantly

    Obviously things can change, but haggas doesnt seem the type

    Doesnt have an entry as of now

    Edit: sorry he said he wont be over a 1m4 this year i misread the quote, still, no entry as of yet

    in reply to: Derby 2024 #1696114
    ham
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    • Total Posts 3489

    Made the running 2/3 in his 2yo season, he didnt in the superlative, his maiden is pointless for comparison, he was too good and the dewhurst the way he ran there was no need to take a pull, he flew out the stalls like kachy

    Think your over analysing this.

    Its not a thing

    He wont win anyway, but it wont be because hes not made all

    Hes just not trained on

Viewing 17 posts - 52 through 68 (of 3,447 total)