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deleted – exactly the sort of totally pointless, negative post I talk about on page 8 – Corm
I know people will say it doesn’t matter he’s a professional and all the rest of it, but i wouldn’t see Nicholls as the ideal candidate to prepare a successor to Kauto Star for a Gold Cup race. I maybe be wrong, but the consensus seems to be that Big Bucks chasing career should be put on hold because Kauto is his gold cup horse. I like Nicholls and i’m not criticising him, and i could be wrong, but at least Henderson throws in two good horses in the RSA, from two separate owners. Three world hurdles would be a good achievement, but nothing can get near him, so perhaps it’s the year to send him chasing. If he can’t jump when he is 7 or 8, then there’s no point starting him when he is 8 or 9.
Yeah, that was a good bit of backing. Hype horses are always going to help you get a half decent price on the machine. I’m still going to be a bit cautious about course form all the same, whilst still respecting it to a large degree. If everyone thinks the same, then the opposite could happen and the bookies could mug all the punters again. I like Weapons Amnesty, and have backed him for his last two Cheltenham wins, but i don’t like the 10/1 for the gold cup. I’d be more inclined to leave that alone, and hope he doesn’t run too well at the start of the season so the price wanders to a better place. Mikael D’Haguenet doesn’t look too shabby, and i’m not so sure he will reach higher than 25s, so now isn’t the worst of times to back him if you think W P Mullins will send him to the GC instead of the RSA. I like Long Run, but the jockey booking isn’t ideal, and the owner said he could have as many as two runs before the King George, which isn’t much use to me for a young horse. Potentially a real good horse still, but not in the best set up with regards to owner and jockey.
I agree, the only true way forward is with singles. However, i like playing with fire, and right now i’m not ready for an overly disciplined approach. My only problem with long term singles would be the potential for injury, or any other negative occurrence. I was lucky that Binocular made it to the festival, and you were lucky that FPDP got there as well, and produced a nice run. I genuinely feel that if i pick 3 or 4 selections, at least 2 of them won’t make it.
I hope my gambling escape artistry can rival any of his magical tricks.
You’ve been gambling a long time, and last week produced your best results. Rome wasn’t built in a day. I bet you’ve been stuck a few times !
There are two lessons, one in National Hunt and one in the flats. The lesson i learned was of the NH variety. I can get out of trouble quicker than Houdini, these shackles will be unlocked in time.
I have placed a couple of doubles involving Special Duty, and paired her up with Brazil and Spain for the World Cup.
I’ve taken some bigger prices for the 1000 guineas, in bits and bobs. I’ll post them up up later.
If my UAE derby beats doesn’t materialise, then i’ve thrown it a lifeline by accumlating Musir up with Special Duty, Binocular, and both Spain and Brazil.
One firm were still offering 4/1 on Rocket Man for the Golden Shaheem, so i put a good bet on that.
– £1069
In response to Ginger on the first page, and a potential misconception in general, i’m not sure Binocular never had a potential engagement apart from Cheltenham. Did Henderson not say he might just skip the Champion Hurdle altogether, and go to Aintree, approximately a week before he run in the CH ?
A Rangers badge as a moniker picture on a horse racing forum. I bet he wears a Rangers tracksuit to weddings and funerals aswell.
A sprog out of Zarkava by Sea the Stars is 100/1 to win the Arc in 2014, a bet right up my street ! Having a small bet on that is like having a wee share in the horse, and i’ll hopefully be able to see it’s first run, hoping it can go all the way. The laptop experts say it’s got too much stamina, but they both won over a mile up to 12f, both had pace to burn and STS was as disciplined as they come. Yes it probably is a waste of money, but imagine it hosing up on debut ? I’m sure Ladbrokes are happy to lay mugs like me the price all day long. I see it a a share more than a bet.
There is a cracking clash between Musir and Mendip in the UAE Derby. Musir looks to have been the most impressive of the two so far, winning the 2000 derby in emphatic style, with a blistering turn of foot. Musir hasn’t been tried over the further distance, although visually it shouldn’t be a problem, and Mike De Kock has won the last few renewals of this race. Mendip is American bred colt, who will head to the Kentucky derby, and they think he will go ‘all the way to the top’. Standing in the way though is De Kocks horse, who looks extremely nice, and his record as mentioned is superb in this race. This isn’t a race that i should go anywhere near with 2 barge polls sellotaped together, especially as i’m going against De Kock, as Mendip should have room for improvement. I also don’t like the idea of going against a horse that Soumillon is riding, especially as it travels well. Anyway, the deed is done at 11/4 for the UAE and 20/1 for the Kentucky to give me interest. I feel uneasy about it. I expect to hear tomorrow that De Kock is expecting a big run.
– £843
Dubai races don’t appear to be everyone’s cup of tea, but i’ve enjoyed them. Saturday has some top quality runners in the field. An added bonus is the commentator, who is one of the best in the world. I’ve no idea what his name is, but he sounds an ozzy or a new zealander. He properly adds to the occasion.
When i look into odds checker, and see all these races priced up, i know how Charlie felt when he visited the chocolate factory. I just can’t refuse half the time.
In the Al Quoz sprint, a stiff 6F test, Finjaan takes his chance. It probably isn’t ideal that a few of his rivals have prepped in Dubai, but he has plenty of pace, and i’ve taken my chances at 14/1. It’s quite a nice race, and it’s handy that he can get further.
In the Dubai Sheema classic over 12F, i’ve sided with Cavalryman at 6/1. He was well beaten last time out over 10f, but the step up in trip is more efficient for him. A slight concern might be the ground.
I’m going to try my hand again at a double. I’ve taken Vision D’Etat for the classic, and paired him up with Cavalryman and Spanish moon from the Sheema.
I think i need to find a cheaper hobby.
– £743
If i put an accumulator on, it doesn’t have to win. It can set it up, i’ll leave that for anyone reading to ponder.
Ok another couple lined up to make me look even more of a tit :-
I like all the noises being made about the Haggas horse on Saturday. Instead of putting a single on, i’ve just looked for any old excuse to put on a double or treble.
Two horses will be added to make a treble line with the Penitent and Special Duty, those are Galaxy Rock(Fists selection), and Buena Vista(my selection through a line with Red desire). I also doubled Penitent and Special Duty up.
– £673
Not much is in the pipeline apart from a daft experiment. It’s Dubai World Cup night soon, and i’ve taken 3 Australian bred horses to oppose Gayego(who will probably win anyway), and accumulated them up with 3 separate horses i like in 3 separate races to create doubles. These foreign horses have to travel and eat well, then behave themselves. If they all get a run, then fair enough.
Opposing Gayego = Rocket Man, One World & Eagle Falls.
Singles to accumulate with = Presvis, Vision D’Etat & Special Duty
‘Rocket Man’ who has run very well in Singapore
http://i41.tinypic.com/2s7tlec.jpg
The well named ‘ Eagle Falls’ who runs down under
http://i39.tinypic.com/fnw843.jpg
– £633
