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Ex RubyLight

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  • in reply to: Derby 2024 #1695716
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    Ancient Wisdom has the right profile, imo. If you allow some kind of a massive improvement for his first outing, then he will be 2nd Fav. He ran in he “right” races last year, especially his win in the Autumns Stakes impressed me the most. The two proper horses he beat four and five and a half lengths were well clear of the fourth and have upheld the form in style so far. Next time out he beat German 2,000 Guineas winner in the Futurity Stakes.

    12/1 or whatever he is right now still makes a lot of sense. Allow him, like any other horse so far this season, to come on a lot for his first start and he’ll be a proper 1-2-3 horse for Saturday.

    in reply to: Irish 1000 Guineas 2024 #1695703
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    This could be the case, GM. But so far, Ballydoyle has been too quiet in all Classics run so far. Even on home soil, though this has been an unusual turf season so far.

    in reply to: Tattersalls Gold Cup #1695699
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    Correct, green. I doubt that a 4yo AR will be able to reproduce that OR of 124 consistently, if at all during this campaign.
    They must have their reasons for keeping him in training at the age of four. Maybe they know how “average” their 3yos are.

    in reply to: Irish 1000 Guineas 2024 #1695698
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    GM, I was just thinking in case Coolmore doesn’t have a proper 3yo at 10f and 12f could she be the one for a tilt at the Juddmonte International or even the Irish Champion Stakes? As I’ve said, just in case the colts are no good.

    in reply to: Irish 1000 Guineas 2024 #1695683
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    GM, what is Opera Singer’s proper trip 8 or 10f? I always thought she’d be suited by a not so testing 10f.

    in reply to: Irish 1000 Guineas 2024 #1695681
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    Well done winners, the British form was confirmed today with Karl Burke also-rans (8th and 14th) winning two Classics (Irish and German 1,000 Guineas) today.

    in reply to: Tattersalls Gold Cup #1695671
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    That White Birch seems a real Curragh machine. Very impressive to blow away a 124 rated horse. I think Auguste Rodin was at one stage the best horse Aidan ever trained.

    in reply to: Oaks 2024 #1695609
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    I know Gladders, but why does he leave her in? If she runs on Sunday there is no way she’ll be in the Oaks on Friday. She has the right ground for her “home” Guineas, that’s were she’s running.

    Makes no sense to throw money away just because the price 33/1, but the way she drew clear in the Marcel Boussac she left the impression to be ideally suited by 10+ furlongs. Maybe they’ll aim her at the Prix Diane.

    Her dam gave birth to four horses with an OR of 109, 111, 116 and 118. That’s a very decent pedigree….

    in reply to: Oaks 2024 #1695604
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    I just had a look at the 15 declared fillies. The OP on this thread mentioned Opera Singer at 11/1, she is 33/1 right now and makes some EW appeal at that price.

    Forest Fairy (8/1) and You Got to Me (14/1) will be my other Oaks bets, just hoping that this year’s British dominance will continue next weekend as well.

    in reply to: Brigadier Gerard 2024 #1695379
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    That was exactly my point, LD73.
    I think it’s safe to say Sir Michael is having a rather slower start to the season.”Only” 27 runners so far, but his four year olds look quite promising: Hossana Power won first time out in a handicap at Newbury and Fox Journey (another 4-yo) won by 11 lengths at Newmarket and is now rated 100.
    There will be a few ones to come from him, but Passenger aside he might not have too much at the present.
    Nostrum (OR 114) has been gelded after his last run at Sandown and maybe Real Dream (5yo) could be another one worth following.

    in reply to: Brigadier Gerard 2024 #1695325
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    No, there was no Pilsudski, Bosra Sham, Notnowcato, Workforce, Lord North, Baybridge, Hukum and so on in the race. In fact none of them would get within ten lengths of the ones mentioned above.

    Maybe there are no decent older horses in training and I haven’t realized it yet. Just clinging on to past times, I guess.

    in reply to: Henry II Stakes 2024 #1695282
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    I#ll take Metier at 16s WIN only.

    in reply to: Brigadier Gerard 2024 #1695281
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    This is rather a seller for better horses rather than a Brigadier Gerard Stakes. No Stoute, no Varian, no Godolphin, instead we get Miss Cantik, Elegancia and an 8-year old handicapper.
    No wonder the Burke horse is 1/2. Who would have thought that?

    Still Miss Cantik at 10/1 appears the one would could cause the upset. But, I guess I’ll stay out of this.

    in reply to: Dirtyoldtown #1695258
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    Thanks for the info, Jac.

    in reply to: Dirtyoldtown #1695234
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    Thanks for the reminder Jac, I actually backed him in that race in 2023. The stable was having a great run from late summer till mid-autumn last year. It certainly is a very cruel blow for connections.
    I was just wondering if a track like Newmarket can stand three consecutive racedays on turf. Don’t you think that on the 3rd day the ground could be a bit firmer than on the first two days? I mean there could be less grass and maybe more dirt, if you know what I mean. Probably the turf needs 2-3 weeks to recover after so much racing.

    Rest in peace Dirtyoldtown

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    He rides for the Gredley’s tomorrow at Goodwood (Sweet Fantasy). And by the way, Havlin hasn’t ridden in an Epsom Classic for three full years. He was also five full years without a Classic ride (from 2013 till 2018).

    in reply to: Istabraq 32yrs old #1695229
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    Thanks for the update VF. Happy birthday to him!!!

    I wonder what he’s thinking during retirement.
    Something like “I could still finish 2nd to that State Man”.

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