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I was wondering how much above his flat racing weight Murtagh is riding at.
Because the proper racing season is coming up and I reckon Murtagh could be struggling through the next couple of months (or longer).
Has he been riding in Dubai? If so and with the Flat just a week or so away I can’t believe he’ll be much more than 9St. Or has he given up struggling to do less than 9?
Daft idea putting Murtagh on the horse anyway, carrying 2St+ of deadweight
Flat jockeys v NH jockeys – boys v men strength-wise.
Compare and contrast Thornton’s thigh muscles with those of Murtagh.
Kingscliff and L’Ami
~13/1 and ~11/1 respectively seem big given that the former has an impeccable record at this specialists’ course and the latter is unexposed, young and had an eye-catching prep in the RP Chase.
Neither convince, but more so than the rest
11/2 K<br>11/2 L’A<br>17/2 Bar
Not querying EC’s excellent post but it’s worth pointing out that faster going = faster times isn’t strictly true or the correlation linear. Very firm going isn’t conducive to record times since horses are loathe to let themselves down on it, and in the case of NH, you have the added problem of horses jumping warily on ‘painful’ ground i.e losing time.
And all you time guru’s, never forget to factor in wind speed and direction when time-compiling.
I well remember the St Leger meeting a couple of years ago when track records were being lowered regularly. Assembled hacks and wiseacres came to the easy, ill-considered conclusion ‘the going must be very firm’ etc etc. I was there: it was good-to-firm, the grass was in the best nick I’d ever seen at Donny and virtually no breeze. The perfect conditions for record breaking. <br>
Three bets, three losers. Two at Chel, one at Hunts
One bet yesterday – Monet’s Garden
The only way is up
Just the Ryanair and Stayers’ tomorrow, the others look horrid.
First-rate stuff Lydia, an enjoyable read. Eloquent, considered and thought-provoking .
Much appreciated.
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