Forum Replies Created
- Posts
6 for tomorrow and as it’s Valentines day
14/02/20 Time Track Race No. Horse 01:25 Wang 4 6 MELODY ROXX 03:00 Dona 2 1 ELOPE TO VEGAS 03:45 Tare 3 4 CAPTAIN SOLO 04:30 Dona 5 3 I AM WANTED 08:15 Cant 3 8 POLHAMPTON 09:30 Moon 5 11 MISTER MOGULFour for tomorrow
13/02/20 Time Track Race No. Horse 02:50 Wagg 2 4 DALAALAAT 05:22 Bunb 1 5 MIDNIGHT BLUE 05:30 Kyne 8 10 QUEEN'S AUTHORITY 08:45 Bunb 7 1 CLASSIC PRO2 from 4 and a LOSS of 0.65 points
Time Track Race No. Horse Price Result 02:50 Wagg 2 4 DALAALAAT 1.37 WON 05:22 Bunb 1 5 MIDNIGHT BLUE 2.11 WON 05:30 Kyne 8 10 QUEEN'S AUTHORITY 4.72 08:45 Bunb 7 1 CLASSIC PRO 18.928 for tomorrow.
12/02/20 Time Track Race No. Horse 01:00 Warw 2 9 CELLSABEEL 03:05 Ston 3 10 LET'S NAIL IT 04:19 TeAr 8 1 SCUTAR 04:47 Town 2 1 ABERRATION 05:22 Town 3 3 TICKET KEEPER 05:25 Ston 7 2 IKNEWSHEWASMINE 07:38 Town 7 4 TIGER CAN 11:00 Laun 10 1 GEE GEE SECONDOVER1 non runner leaving 7, 4 winners, Profit 2.30 points
Time Track Race No. Horse Price Result 03:05 Ston 3 10 LET'S NAIL IT 3.52 WON 04:19 TeAr 8 1 SCUTAR 2.20 WON 04:47 Town 2 1 ABERRATION 1.57 05:22 Town 3 3 TICKET KEEPER 10.48 05:25 Ston 7 2 IKNEWSHEWASMINE 2.02 WON 07:38 Town 7 4 TIGER CAN 1.90 WON 11:00 Laun 10 1 GEE GEE SECONDOVER 1.58billion – Maybe it is the heavy ground that affects the way the worksheets are compiled, as I only have 4 selections from 4 meetings.
11/02/20 Time Track Race No. Horse 02:30 Warr 1 1 ACHAEUS 04:05 Scon 3 1 GOLDEN AVENGER 04:30 Warr 5 8 HEAVENLY BRIDGES 06:30 Scon 7 11 INSTITUTION1 Non runner, so 1 winner from 3, a LOSS of 1.30 points
Time Track Race No. Horse Price Result 02:30 Warr 1 1 ACHAEUS 2.06 04:05 Scon 3 1 GOLDEN AVENGER 1.78 WON 04:30 Warr 5 8 HEAVENLY BRIDGES 3.70Just 4 selections for tomorrow.
10/02/20 Time Track Race No. Horse 02:55 Bath 1 4 UPRISE 04:25 Tamw 3 1 GOLDEN AVENGER 04:40 Bath 4 9 ALSO COOL 05:20 Bath 5 8 DO NOT DISTURBAnother disappearing meeting:-
There were three meetings yesterday. Sunshine Coast was abandoned & Tamworth has disappeared leaving Bathhurst as the sole remaining meeting.2 winners from 3 and a profit of 1.93 points
Time Track Race No. Horse Price Result 02:55 Bath 1 4 UPRISE 2.93 04:40 Bath 4 9 ALSO COOL 3.44 WON 05:20 Bath 5 8 DO NOT DISTURB 1.82 WON12 for Sunday
09/02/20 Time Track Race No. Horse 02:40 Nara 2 1 DESERT SPIRIT 02:55 PortM 1 1 OAKFIELD NAVAJO 03:15 Nara 3 7 DABAY 03:45 Hoba 6 2 STILL A STAR 03:50 Nara 4 2 CANNY MOVE 04:15 Rock 2 4 EPHESIAN 04:50 Rock 3 5 BOSS BABY 05:30 Flem 2 7 RUTHERFORD 06:05 Rock 5 6 THE STOCKBROKER 06:10 Nara 8 7 SOLAAZEM 07:45 Narr 5 4 VITAL DANCER 08:55 Narr 7 5 BURNING PRIDEToday I present the mystery of the disappearing race meeting. I had a selection in Race 1 Port Maquire and when checking my Betfair account statement for the results there was no bet for this horse. Assuming it to be a non runner or abandoned I checked Racenet results to find the meeting did not exist, so on to R&S to check the selection and the meeting had also vanished from there too. Thinking I was going mad I checked my Betfair betting history and there it was???
AUS / PMaq (AUS) 9th Feb / 02:55 R1 1206m Mdn 1. Oakfield Navajo Back 194198731753 08-Feb-20
09:24 P 900 0.10 UnmatchedAnyway 4 from 11 and a profit of 3.95 points
Time Track Race No. Horse Price Result 02:40 Nara 2 1 DESERT SPIRIT 1.56 02:55 PortM 1 1 OAKFIELD NAVAJO ???? 03:15 Nara 3 7 DABAY 6.90 03:45 Hoba 6 2 STILL A STAR 1.76 WON 03:50 Nara 4 2 CANNY MOVE 3.70 04:15 Rock 2 4 EPHESIAN 3.33 WON 04:50 Rock 3 5 BOSS BABY 1.94 05:30 Flem 2 7 RUTHERFORD 5.35 06:05 Rock 5 6 THE STOCKBROKER 8.93 WON 06:10 Nara 8 7 SOLAAZEM 5.54 07:45 Narr 5 4 VITAL DANCER 3.98 08:55 Narr 7 5 BURNING PRIDE 1.64 WONbillion– funny you should mention the different types of races courses as just the other day I decided to check it out and the findings weren’t worth reporting.
Metropolitan – mainly near cities
Provincial – less built up areas
Country – speaks for itself
Most big races are at the Metro and some at the Provincial tracks.Most of the time the country tracks do not even figure with off course bookmakers or the Tab. I thought that if even the Australians aren’t that bothered with them then they might be absolute rubbish for betting or full of opportunities.
Out with the data base and check the past week on R&S 29th Jan to 5th Feb.
Races I had a selection in All races 31/84 37% strike -14.14 points. Metropolitan 7/20 35% strike -6.30 points. Provincial 5/22 23% strike -10.02 points. Country 19/42 45% strike +2.17 points.So it seems on that very small sample that the country racing has a very small edge. It could also mean that the worksheets I use to pick the selections from might work out country races better.
As for staking there was some advice in one of Clive Holts books about staking that over the years I have found to be true is “The most economical and profitable bet is a single win bet on just one horse in the race”, so I always aim to stake 1% of the starting bank on each horse. As I am only ever in testing mode that is £10 for the bank and 10p each bet.
A quarter of the way through February and the running total for the month is a LOSS of 19.82 points
The strike rate is OK 18/57 31%, but the prices of the winners are at the front of the market. Ordering the selections by price shows all winners are below 4.18 and at no point is there a profit worth talking about.28 selection for Saturday.
08/02/20 Time Track Race No. Horse 00:35 TeRa 3 5 VOLER POUR MOI 00:50 Ricc 3 2 OWEN PATRICK 01:35 Caul 1 5 STREET SHEIK 01:46 Morp 1 1 GOD'S PENNY 02:14 Newc 1 3 SCICONIC 02:20 TeRa 5 6 TRAVELLING LIGHT 02:41 Gilg 1 4 ATEALL 02:49 Newc 2 3 COVERT OPS 03:05 Warw 3 3 PANDEMIC 03:08 Beau 1 1 EDIFICATION 03:41 Beau 2 4 MASTER OF THE TURF 03:55 Caul 5 1 MICROPHONE 03:59 Newc 4 2 PARRY SOUND 04:15 Warw 5 9 CELLSABEEL 04:45 Yarr 5 5 BIT OF A LAD 04:50 Warw 6 11 KATALIN 05:18 Cair 3 4 CORINTH 05:30 Warw 7 12 RUBISAKI 05:54 Newc 7 1 ON THE WHITE TURF 05:58 Cair 4 3 BETTAHONEY 06:10 Warw 8 8 SMARTEDGE 06:13 Beau 6 1 WILL'S BID 06:36 Alic 4 5 BLACK RANGE 06:41 Morp 9 8 KYSHAKA 06:50 Warw 9 6 ROYAL WITNESS 06:57 Pinj 6 1 FREE TRADE 07:35 Pinj 7 1 GEMMA'S SONI have lost the ability to count. There were 27 selection not 28, as if that would make any difference.
There were 10 non runners leaving 17 selections, 7 winners and a PROFIT of 1.22 points, (nah! not worth a smiley).Time Track Race No. Horse Price Result 00:35 TeRa 3 5 VOLER POUR MOI 3.34 WON 00:50 Ricc 3 2 OWEN PATRICK 2.64 WON 01:35 Caul 1 5 STREET SHEIK 3.20 01:46 Morp 1 1 GOD'S PENNY 4.15 02:14 Newc 1 3 SCICONIC 1.94 02:20 TeRa 5 6 TRAVELLING LIGHT 1.61 02:41 Gilg 1 4 ATEALL 2.32 02:49 Newc 2 3 COVERT OPS 2.08 WON 03:55 Caul 5 1 MICROPHONE 2.66 WON 04:45 Yarr 5 5 BIT OF A LAD 19.74 05:18 Cair 3 4 CORINTH 1.98 WON 05:54 Newc 7 1 ON THE WHITE TURF 5.01 WON 05:58 Cair 4 3 BETTAHONEY 1.97 06:36 Alic 4 5 BLACK RANGE 12.50 06:41 Morp 9 8 KYSHAKA 3.48 06:57 Pinj 6 1 FREE TRADE 2.49 07:35 Pinj 7 1 GEMMA'S SON 1.45 WON7 selections for tomorrow, not many considering the number of meetings
07/02/20 Time Track Race No. Horse 00:42 Awap 2 3 TIGERTIGER 01:30 Wodo 1 4 SHARLIE 03:10 Wodo 4 7 ANGEL ROCK 03:35 Walc 3 10 TIME STALKER 04:10 Walc 4 1 ALL STAND 06:00 PortL 3 4 SHINSEKI 07:45 Cant 2 4 SPACE IS DEEPSo it goes on, 1 winner from 7 selections and a LOSS of 4.36 points
Time Track Race No. Horse Price Result 00:42 Awap 2 3 TIGERTIGER 16.50 01:30 Wodo 1 4 SHARLIE 2.76 03:10 Wodo 4 7 ANGEL ROCK 1.81 03:35 Walc 3 10 TIME STALKER 7.80 04:10 Walc 4 1 ALL STAND 2.82 WON 06:00 PortL 3 4 SHINSEKI 6.69 07:45 Cant 2 4 SPACE IS DEEP 4.6510 for tomorrow.
06/02/20 Time Track Race No. Horse 00:00 Tauh 2 1 CALLSIGN MAV 02:20 Tauh 6 2 ZED EM 02:55 Tauh 7 2 TORRE DEL GRECO 03:30 Kilm 3 7 SUPER BAZOOKA 04:00 Kilm 4 5 MAGUS MAN 04:40 Graf 5 2 ATYAAF 06:30 Graf 8 5 QUEENOFTHECASTLE 07:20 Doom 7 11 MOONSHINE LADY 08:45 Alba 6 4 ALUMINIZE 09:45 Alba 8 5 DEFIANTLY4 Non runners leaving 6 selections, 1 winner and a LOSS of 3.89 points
Time Track Race No. Horse Price Result 00:00 Tauh 2 1 CALLSIGN MAV 1.97 02:20 Tauh 6 2 ZED EM 63.63 03:30 Kilm 3 7 SUPER BAZOOKA 2.18 WON 04:00 Kilm 4 5 MAGUS MAN 2.60 08:45 Alba 6 4 ALUMINIZE 13.98 09:45 Alba 8 5 DEFIANTLY 2.64A whopping 18 for tomorrow.
04/02/20 Time Track Race No. Horse 00:07 AscP 1 3 TIMES TIME 00:45 AscP 2 1 I'M A TIGER 02:00 Arar 1 3 MIGHTY OASIS 03:15 Murr 1 5 SHARON 03:35 Kilc 1 3 REMEMBER MARY 03:50 Murr 2 6 SELLIX 03:55 Rand 2 5 RIZZO 05:15 Bend 3 5 MARSALIS 05:22 Kilc 4 5 BEACH CLUB 05:29 Gera 1 4 AWAY WE GO 05:40 Rand 5 2 POSITIVE PEACE 06:04 Gera 2 7 MORDOR 06:10 Murr 6 13 STEELCAPSTILETTOS 06:15 Rand 6 6 EVE'S MISS 06:32 Kilc 6 8 MASTER OF THE TURF 07:10 Kilc 7 11 IF BY CHANCE 07:30 Bend 7 6 RAPIDORA 08:30 Gera 6 3 ANGRY ANNIE4 non runners leaving 14 selections giving 6 winners but still no elusive coconut, LOSS of 0.35 points.
Sometimes a few big prices turn up, but looking at these prices, it looks more like doing the lottery.Time Track Race No. Horse Price Result 02:00 Arar 1 3 MIGHTY OASIS 1.80 WON 03:15 Murr 1 5 SHARON 156.10 03:35 Kilc 1 3 REMEMBER MARY 3.15 WON 03:50 Murr 2 6 SELLIX 1.94 03:55 Rand 2 5 RIZZO 65.97 05:15 Bend 3 5 MARSALIS 6.80 05:22 Kilc 4 5 BEACH CLUB 4.17 WON 05:29 Gera 1 4 AWAY WE GO 1.97 05:40 Rand 5 2 POSITIVE PEACE 1.59 WON 06:04 Gera 2 7 MORDOR 1.62 WON 06:10 Murr 6 13 STEELCAPSTILETTOS 26.00 06:15 Rand 6 6 EVE'S MISS 16.50 07:30 Bend 7 6 RAPIDORA 3.25 08:30 Gera 6 3 ANGRY ANNIE 1.87 WON5 selections for tomorrow.
04/02/20 Time Track Race No. Horse 02:30 Warr 1 4 LORD OF THE TURF 03:00 Warr 2 1 CELESTIAL WARRIOR 03:45 Albu 3 13 MIGHTILY 04:40 Gosf 5 4 STARTALK 04:50 Town 2 5 BRYAN'S BABE1 non runner, 2 winners from 4 but no coconut – LOSS of 1.10 points
Time Track Race No. Horse Price Result 04:50 Town 2 5 BRYAN'S BABE 1.44 WON 03:45 Albu 3 13 MIGHTILY 4.31 03:00 Warr 2 1 CELESTIAL WARRIOR 2.78 02:30 Warr 1 4 LORD OF THE TURF 1.52 WONJust 3 meetings for Monday. (I think that is the least amount of meetings I have yet seen on the Aussie racing.) Still managed to find 7 selections.
03/02/20 Time Track Race No. Horse 02:30 Werr 1 2 DELSHAY 03:10 Dubbo 1 1 DEFIES LOGIC 03:25 Musw 2 3 BROTHER BASSY 04:30 Werr 5 5 SKILLED ARTIST 04:40 Musw 4 7 RED LIGHT DANCER 06:00 Werr 8 8 LEALE 06:10 Dubbo 6 14 NORTHERN CONQUEROR1 winner from 7, 4.36 points LOSS
Time Track Race No. Horse Price Result 02:30 Werr 1 2 DELSHAY 3.70 03:10 Dubbo 1 1 DEFIES LOGIC 4.61 03:25 Musw 2 3 BROTHER BASSY 7.33 04:30 Werr 5 5 SKILLED ARTIST 2.09 04:40 Musw 4 7 RED LIGHT DANCER 14.50 06:00 Werr 8 8 LEALE 2.75 WON 06:10 Dubbo 6 14 NORTHERN CONQUEROR 13.0014 for tomorrow.
02/02/20 Time Track Race No. Horse 02:05 Sale 1 5 DEADLY SINS 03:15 Stra 3 8 AUSTIN RAIDER 03:50 Sale 4 6 VALLAURIS 04:25 Bunb 1 8 NATIVE CHIMES 04:35 Suns 4 5 BIRKIN BLACK 05:10 Stra 6 9 ELCANO 05:15 Suns 5 1 EMPIRE GAMES 05:30 Sale 7 2 JUST HIFALUTIN 05:36 Murw 6 5 LYRICAL PRINCE 06:00 Sale 8 8 SPRINGROLLS 06:40 Sapp 8 2 GLAMOUR CAT 08:10 Bunb 7 3 SANABREANNA 08:45 Bunb 8 10 HIS 'N' HERS 09:20 Bunb 9 1 PLAYS THE GAMEAll 14 ran, 7 winners, profit 0.60 point
Time Track Race No. Horse Price Result 02:05 Sale 1 5 DEADLY SINS 1.37 WON 03:15 Stra 3 8 AUSTIN RAIDER 3.66 WON 03:50 Sale 4 6 VALLAURIS 1.65 WON 04:25 Bunb 1 8 NATIVE CHIMES 3.67 04:35 Suns 4 5 BIRKIN BLACK 4.78 05:10 Stra 6 9 ELCANO 3.46 WON 05:15 Suns 5 1 EMPIRE GAMES 1.56 WON 05:30 Sale 7 2 JUST HIFALUTIN 2.39 WON 05:36 Murw 6 5 LYRICAL PRINCE 12.00 06:00 Sale 8 8 SPRINGROLLS 3.48 WON 06:40 Sapp 8 2 GLAMOUR CAT 6.20 08:10 Bunb 7 3 SANABREANNA 3.15 08:45 Bunb 8 10 HIS 'N' HERS 42.86 09:20 Bunb 9 1 PLAYS THE GAME 5.58First day of February with shedloads of meetings equals shedloads of selections, 27.
01/02/20 Time Track Race No. Horse 01:55 Rand 1 1 AWAY GAME 02:33 Hoba 3 2 DEROCHE 03:13 EagF 2 3 SHALWA 03:14 Wing 8 1 WHO DARES WINS 03:16 Sapp 2 1 DIP ME LID 03:20 Caul 4 10 LUCIFER'S REWARD 03:24 Newc 1 4 NIGHT WITCHES 03:43 Hoba 5 1 ROGUES POINT 03:48 EagF 3 4 TREVELYAN 03:49 Wing 9 13 SULU SEA 03:51 Sapp 3 1 BOMBDIGGITY 04:06 Morp 4 6 GOD'S PENNY 04:18 Asco 1 1 PRINCELY PACKAGE 04:34 Newc 3 5 COLETTE 04:38 Gold 4 2 LE DUDE 05:18 Gold 5 3 EMPIRE GAMES 05:21 Morp 6 7 JUST CHIPPING AWAY 05:26 Kyne 7 1 GOOD IDEA 05:30 Rand 7 1 KOLDING 06:01 Morp 7 3 KYSHAKA 06:34 Newc 6 1 ON THE WHITE TURF 07:02 EagF 8 3 CRUZE 07:14 Newc 7 1 GO FISH GO 07:40 EagF 9 10 INGEAR 07:55 Toow 3 5 ALLEVIATOR 09:06 Toow 5 4 THE POTATO PONTIFF 09:25 Asco 9 8 CATHERINE WHEELSo with abandoned meets and non runners, selections were reduced to 19. There were 7 winners and a loss of 5.23 points
Time Track Race No. Horse Price Result 01:55 Rand 1 1 AWAY GAME 2.18 WON 02:33 Hoba 3 2 DEROCHE 1.13 WON 03:13 EagF 2 3 SHALWA 1.67 WON 03:14 Wing 8 1 WHO DARES WINS 3.50 03:16 Sapp 2 1 DIP ME LID 1.97 WON 03:20 Caul 4 10 LUCIFER'S REWARD 4.40 03:43 Hoba 5 1 ROGUES POINT 1.59 03:48 EagF 3 4 TREVELYAN 1.62 03:49 Wing 9 13 SULU SEA 9.33 03:51 Sapp 3 1 BOMBDIGGITY 1.31 WON 04:18 Asco 1 1 PRINCELY PACKAGE 3.76 WON 04:38 Gold 4 2 LE DUDE 3.95 05:21 Morp 6 7 JUST CHIPPING AWAY 2.47 05:30 Rand 7 1 KOLDING 4.94 07:02 EagF 8 3 CRUZE 3.72 07:40 EagF 9 10 INGEAR 5.25 07:55 Toow 3 5 ALLEVIATOR 2.28 09:06 Toow 5 4 THE POTATO PONTIFF 3.71 09:25 Asco 9 8 CATHERINE WHEEL 2.38 WONSo January is done and dusted for the Aussie racing so lets see how we did.
I started using an angle from R&S Worksheets on the 7th of January and using a 100 point bank and betting a 1 point stake on each selection or 1% of the bank.
By the 12th Jan the profit was 32.82 points. I started posting the selections on here on the 13th Jan. The good times continued rising to a high of 49.21 points profit on 22nd Jan.
From the 23rd to 26th there was a down turn and ended on the 26th Jan with a profit of 33.31. So in the period of posting the profit was 33.31 – 32.82 = 0.49 points.
I altered the system by not including Maiden races but modified it to look at all races and exclude any races with first timers running, trying to avoid too many surprises.
Not sure if it made much difference apart from there being less selections. So far between 27th and 31st Jan (5 days), there have been 33 selections 12 winners 36% strike rate and a loss of 3.37 points.. The strike rate is almost the same as the period between 7th and 26th Jan 38%.
