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While i’ve said Art Power is on my shortlist for this, this isn’t right surely. 7/2 for a horse with course form at the top level, or 7/1 for a horse that hasn’t near proven it and also ran badly last time?
“getting a price” doesn’t necessarily make him the value over 7-2 by any means.
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!Agree with this, ground was no issue. I’d maybe say course could be excused? Lots of horses don’t enjoy Newmarket and it was his first run there.
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!I have to stick with Art Power. He got taken off his feet in a very decent five furlong contest at York and should find this one a bit easier to deal with. The ground will be softer here which definitely suits and, on balance of his form, 8/1 with Betfair is a decent price.
Andy Holding of Oddschecker has tipped Hello Youmzain he also thought he found the going at Newmarket a bit quick. All about opinions i guess.
Rightly or wrongly, I put more stock in to recent runs at sprint distances.
Summerghand has about 7lb to find, but could conceivably improve a bit, and is clearly bang in form. 25,s seems more than reasonable to me.
BUY THE SUN
Like you ttc, rightly or wrongly (for win purposes) i can’t resist taking some of the 25/1 on The Tin Man. It’s clear at his age there is no expectation for improvement, and he’s vulnerable to some of the 3yos and anything progressive. However, at 25s the potential for softer ground than he’s encountered so far this season and his course form he’s worth a dabble for me.
I liked Tabdeed and given he’s half his price or shorter doesn’t seem right to me. Yes he’s very unexposed + won snug enough last time, but at Haydock on ground that’s currently soft, it would need to dry for him. I’d say The Tin Man deserves to be closer to him pricewise.
Hello Youmzain should be favourite IMO. Art Power is at a price where i am just not sure he’s value. He’s back to 6 and on a softer surface so he should run much better. He’s looked electric most of the year, but in hindsight is his form lacking?
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!Find it interesting that people believe Art Power was ‘run off his feet’ last time because in my opinion 5f is ok for him.As for me the best figures this colt registered were over the minimum trip at Ascot and the Nunthrope run couldn’t be counted as a true reflection of his ability without considering further evidence.While Saturday’s race will be informative for a Group 1 contest it lacks strength in depth with a number stepping up to this level while others are trying to repair reputations.I also think Tabdeed is a most interesting runner but is still to prove he handles the underfoot conditions but for me shows great promise of going on to better things.
good luck to allNo one should be backing Art Power on form Jack. Anyone backing him should be doing so purely on the basis he’s a very lightly raced 3 year old with decent enough but not top form and could easily step Up. I was happy with 8s, but anything less than that and he starts to become no value for me.
I wouldn’t be backing him at 6s. No way Golden Horde should be behind him in the market either, if he keeps drifting I’ll back him as well.
I agree BCK, was nothing to do with 5f he just didn’t run any sort of race. It can be ignored for me.
It’s not a bad renewal on ratings though, still 4 Grp1 winners in it and two runners up. I think it’s a decent enough race. Certainly average at least for this race.
Frenchy + BCK 5f at Ascot isn’t like 5f anywhere else…..ask Blue Point and Battaash.
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!Clearly Frenchy, but even just looking at the form without trying to be too critical, you could question what he’s beat quite easily. Yes he’s won nicely and i think back to 6f on softer going will see him much better, i’m finding it hard to work out a price i’d back him at. Maybe 8s but it would be touch and go.
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!Yes but the point is it was nothing to do with the distance at York he just didn’t run. Would’ve been the same over 6f. He probably is better at 6. He’s no value now anyway, not sure 8 will come back.
Anyone looking to bet right now without having done so should keep waiting as DOD is drifting out to a really backable price even if people don’t have full belief in him. He’s got the best form in the race on ratings, is the highest rated and he’s proven over 6f. Looks like he’s in career best form and what he did last time out is being somewhat ignored now. Won a Grp2 by 7L had the third 11.5!!L back. The second then went on to frank the form winning a Grp3 by 3.5L from a previous Listed winner.
Keep it simple people surely!!
Plus he only had one crack of the whip in the Hungerford, plus he’s drawn right next to HY, whose going to give him the perfect toe into the race.
Keeping it simple is to stick with the youngsters, not a horse who isnt far off his 7th birthday and not won a group 1 sprint.
Haha maybe. Fine margins though , he is a whisker away from being a dual Group1 diamond jubilee winner , that can’t just be ignored because he didn’t win
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