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I don’t know how many runners he’s had but Scorpion 0 winners at the cheltenham festival….
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PostsNot the best breeding, but maybe Henderson will get first winner with ‘Scorpion’…Accapella Bourgeois rated 4lb higher than Might Bite :scratch
Might Bite if jumps fences will be hard to beat. He did travelled so strongly at Kempton before fell at the last, form of that race worked well and time of that race was really good (Thistlecrack and Cue Card run on the same day over the same distance). Might Bite has quite decent record at Chentenham, so I would be careful saying he is ‘flat horse’ (1st, 5th beaten by More Of That 13.5L, 7th beaten by Matorico 5.5L). This horse improved massively since last season, stays really well 3 miles, hard to oppose him, cos nothing stands out from the other horses aiming RSA. It’s just my fancy, he is not my banker of festival, but if things go well during the race he will win well.
Lies, damn lies and statistics. Go back and watch the races and you’ll see a lot of quirkiness.
Lies, damn lies and statistics. Go back and watch the races and you’ll see a lot of quirkiness.
It might be true, I will need to watch races to have a say…
Nah just back it anyway if that’s your gut feeling of the winner. Assuming you haven’t already.
The worse thing you can do is come on these forums and be put off a winner because of what people on here have been telling you, as I’ve found to my cost lately.
Nah just back it anyway if that’s your gut feeling of the winner. Assuming you haven’t already.
The worse thing you can do is come on these forums and be put off a winner because of what people on here have been telling you, as I’ve found to my cost lately.
A lot of truth to this.
There has been a divided reaction to the run of Acapella Bourgeois at he weekend, and I’m firmly in the camp that think he was grossly flattered by the manner of victory.
He had to expend so little energy in building up an enormous lead and was doing a half speed in front for most of the race. I had high hopes for him as a novice chaser at the start of the season but there is plenty of evidence to suggest he’s shy of top class. In a beginner’s chase at Fairyhouse in December I felt he actually ran quite well in defeat to Martello Tower and A Genie Ina Bottle, tiring late on in what was effectively his seasonal reappearance. He then put in two runs that underwhelmed me, when running fourth behind Bleu Et Rouge at Leopardstown and then when beating Arbre De Vie at Navan (another race where he was granted an very soft lead).
He has been keeping good company all season and the race on Sunday was the softest ground he has encountered thus far which may go some way to explaining the ease of victory. His jumping hasn’t convinced me either and things will be happening so much faster for him at Cheltenham.
I wouldn’t have him on my mind for an RSA to be honest but good luck to those who are on.
He had to expend so little energy in building up an enormous lead and was doing a half speed in front for most of the race.
That is key. That is why he was able to maintain or even extend his advantage. He just ran closest to an even pace. The others knew they had no chance and just raced it out for second. To close the gap the chasers would have had to produce a sustained run over several furlongs. That would have been impossible.
The handicapper should have raised the winner a token few pounds and ignored the rest. It appeared as if he wanted to see his name in lights after all the recent attention given to Smith.
Nah just back it anyway if that’s your gut feeling of the winner. Assuming you haven’t already.
The worse thing you can do is come on these forums and be put off a winner because of what people on here have been telling you, as I’ve found to my cost lately.
A lot of truth to this.
Backed him already in couple e/w acca…
I watched Might Bite in action at Cheltenham, got a mixing feelings. Paradoxically he had the worst run was when won at Cheltenham on his first start at this track over hurdles. Jumped really bad on his chasing debut when well behind More Of That (Tracked leaders, mistake and rider lost iron briefly 9th, jumped big and not fluent 11th, ridden after 2 out, weakened last). It wasn’t bad performance behind Matorico carrying top weight (it looked like he did handled the track, it’s my subjective opinion though). I think Might Bite improved a lot this season, he is just 8yo and had a 5 starts over fences, I hope plenty to come from this horse…it’s my gut feeling.Nicky Henderson Stable Tour:
”Might Bite goes into the RSA. It was horrible at Kempton but he had a nice run around Doncaster. He’s been very good. Someone said to me the other day ‘will you be happy with him on an undulating track as he’s only ever been around flat tracks?’ Well, there are plenty of horses that have gone to Cheltenham having only run on flat tracks. It’s not a worry. His jumping has been good. It would be nice for Might Bite not to have to make it. He must have a powerful engine. It was going to be a staggering performance [in the Kauto Star Novices’ Chase].”
Hendo seems to have had a change of heart and whisper is all but given the nod to come here
Hendo seems to have had a change of heart and whisper is all but given the nod to come here
Another potential disaster for me
Hendo seems to have had a change of heart and whisper is all but given the nod to come here
that is dreadful news to me
Might Bite is one of the worst value fav’s at the festival, he was 16/1 for the RSA after he fell at Kempton and all he has done since is win an egg and spoon race on as flat track. I predict he will not go off favourite and will drift out in the betting and the market will sway towards Coney Island who is available at 7/1 with WH with insurance, the other I see support for is ADO and I can see his current odds of 10/1 halving.
I watched couple of Cheltenham previews, almost everybody oppose Might Bite for RSA. They say that he is flat track horse, got to much speed and you don’t need speed for this race etc. Why people DO NOT see he is a completely different horse this season and his Kempton performance (obviously without that horrible fall at the last) was outstanding – time of the race was very good, Royal Vacation franked his form subsequently winning at Cheltenham, but the most important: how well he was travelling!, kept running to the last like a machine, probably that’s why he fell. If he will be able to reproduce that form at Cheltenham and will jump well, he will be very hard to beat, doesn’t matter what price he will go off. But maybe I am wrong, cos I am not an ‘expert’ like guys doing Cheltenham previews…Just one more thing, if Henderson trains ‘flat track’ horses, why he does win quite often prize money at Cheltenham and has impressive record with 55 winners there.
Looks like Coney Island is going for this instead of JLT also.
Really surprised that trainers seem to think this might be an easier option than the JLT. Haven’t they been watching Yorkhill? If the 3-4 front runners pitch up the RSA could be brutal race with stamina at a premium. I see Coney Island as far more speed than stamina.
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