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I’m glad I backed Real World the other day because I would have been annoyed with myself for not checking out this thread that particular day. I love handicaps more than any other races and he was my top rated horse too. I don’t study the form much these days as I get too engrossed and don’t get anything else done so I’m quite parasitic and just check out what other people have picked, along with looking for steamers on oddschecker. Thoroughly enjoying Ascot this week. But can’t wait to be back at Kelso one day! Good luck tomorrow.
Significantly just held on in the last today at 10/1 and gives the top rated a comfortable profit at Royal Ascot.
A very quiet Saturday with only 5 qualifying races.
SATURDAY JUNE 19
Royal Ascot
5.00 Great Ambassador 121; Raaeb 120; Above 119; Streamline 117; Fresh 116; Rohaan 115; Lexington Dash 115; Desert Safari 115
5.35 River Alwen 125; Baton Rouge 119; Dingle 117; Pythagoras 116; Seasett 112Perth
2.55 Ballyhome 146*; Amalfi Doug 137; Flinck 136; Licklighter 133; Cuneo 127Redcar
3.00 Rovaniemi 102; Young Fire 99; Northernpowerhouse 96; Tadleel 93Newmarket
3.55 Charlie Fellowes 101; Crimson Sand 101; Faustus 101; Rebel At Dawn 98*; Razor Glass 98* ran today
SUNDAY JUNE 20
Worcester
4.05 Ballyellis 144; Mercian Prince 143; Tomorrow Mystery 142; Fix Sun 135; The Cashel Man 135Pontefract
2.55 Iconic Queen 116; Turandot 95; Wootton Creek 94; The Flying Ginger 93
4.25 Sociologist 95; Law Of One 93; Theglasgowarrior 92; Eastern Sheriff 90
5.25 Fortamour 95; Ghathanfar 88; Penny Pot Lane 88; Lezardrieux 87; Music Society 86; True Mason 86A profit for the top rated at Royal Ascot with a couple of decent priced winenrs, second year in a row i’ve managed that.
Low key cards early this week htough Ayr’s card on Tuesday lincludes the Land O’ Burns Stakes which I have previewed on the ‘Big Races Discussion’ Section of TRF. Worth bearing in mind that we have had very little rain up here in recent days and ground no slower than good is almost certain.
MONDAY JUNE 21
Windsor
7.00 Be Prepared 98; Zim Baby 94; Indian Creak 92; Ishvara 92Not the most gripping contest but BE PREPARED is of interest stepped up in class. She won a Class 5 event two runs ago then lost her chance at the start last time in Class 4. This is another step up but there’s a hint from her earlier career that she can cope at this level and may be worth a chance here. The likely favourite Zim Baby has gone close twice at this level, but neither event looked strong.
TUESDAY JUNE 22
Ayr
2.35 Bravado 106; Royal Advice 90; Whittle Le Woods 87
Newton Abbot
7.45 Pilbara 143; Darling Maltaix 140; Umndeni 139h; Thistle Do Nicely 116h – The h suffix indicates two horses with hurdles handicap form but no recent chase handicap form.A decent day for handicaps in the middle of the week. I’ve included the Carlisle Bell and Cumberland Plate since quality of runner puts htese comfortably at Class 3 level. The Bell at 3.30 is notably close with one a few ponuds clear, though below form last time, though most within a few pounds.
WEDNESDAY JUNE 23
Salisbury
2.45 Milltown Star 102; Greenside 101; Variyann 101; History Writer 101; Starshiba 101; Syrtis 100
3.55 Pleasant Man 110; No Recollection 110; Love Is Golden 103; Alpine Stroll 102
4.30 Noonday Gun 100; Just In Time 99; Buriram 99; Nuits St Georges 95; Master Milliner 95Worcester
2.35 Fidux 146; Rocco 145; Bbold 143; Montanna 141
4.20 Global Society 140; Paseo 134; Twin Star 132; Byron Flyer 131; Vancouver 131Carlisle
3.30 Lion Tower 95; Howzer Black 91; Chichester 91; Gallipoli 91; Billhilly 91; Fred 90; Chookie Dunedin 90; Ulshaw Bridge 90; Get Knotted 90
4.05 Sociologist 92; Ravens Ark 91; Where’s Jeff 91; Arabist 90; Viaduct 88; The Navigator 88Three nice top rated winners at 7/1, 7/1 and 15/2 today on a day where the figures showed up well. Single top selection in each race is around break even point for the year after today’s racing as results continue to provide encouragement.
Just a couple of qualifying races today before the action ramps up for Northumberland Plate meeting on Saturday.
THURSDAY JUNE 24
Newcastle
3.10 Artistic Rifles 113; Crownthorpe 112; Hartswood 110; Chichester 110*; Eagleway 109
Newmarket
4.10 Dulas 107; Sun Power 103; Keyser Soze 102; Fox Champion 98* ran today
FRIDAY JUNE 25
Yarmouth
4.20 Harrison Point 90; Inveigle 90; House Of Kings 89; Spirited Guest 88Newmarket
7.30 Ishvara 96; Bimble 94; Night Narcissus 91; Lovely Breeze 90
8.35 Data Protection 108; Potenza 107; Restorer 94; Good Birthday 93Newcastle
6.45 Count D’Orsay 109; May Sonic 108; Sunday Sovereign 105; Copper Knight 105; Caspian Prince 102; Embour 102Chester
7.05 Rock Of Fame 82; Babindi 81; Toanticipation 79; Dromquinna 79SATURDAY JUNE 26
Chester
2.45 Bossipop 99; Charlie Fellowes 95; Glamorous Anna 92; Lihou 92
3.20 Cairn Island 120; Paws For Thought 116; Master Zoffany 114; Stylish Performer 105; Yazaman 105Windsor
1.55 Another Batt 111; Epic Endeavour 111; Vintager 105; Gin Palace 105
4.10 HMS President 121; Protected Guest 111; Dark Jedi 109; Strawberry Rock 106Newcastle
1.45 Streamline 105; Lexington Dash 104; Staxton 103; Woven 102
2.55 Brasca 105; Red Force One 102; Blow Your Horn 100; Zeeband 99; Autumn War 99; Dreamweaver 99;
3.30 Galata Bridge 121; Sir Chauvelin 118; Dubious Affair 118; Grandsmaster Flash 117; Rajinsky 117
4.40 Oo De Lally 115; Zip 101; Gloves De Lynch 101; Baashir 99Newmarket
3.50 Lady Pendragon 99; Almareekh 88; Quenelle D’Or 86Had to rely on handicap snip of the day Oo De Lally to avoid a blow out. Bit frustrating that Galata Bridge was restrained on this occasion so that tactics negated a good draw, but he seemed not to stay anyway. Rajinsky ran from a wide draw but managed to get prominent early and ran a decent race. My selection Blow Your Horn did well to get so close from a hold up ride in the Vase, Zeeband the winenr was in the mix on my figures.
Decent jump racing card at Uttoxeter tomorrow.
SUNDAY JUNE 27
Uttoxeter
3.00 Some Day Soon 149; Sebastapol 147; Ask Henry 146; Always Resolute 146; South Terrace 145
3.35 Solomon Grey 157; Mellow Ben 156; Talkischeap 154; William Of Orange 154; Fox Pro 154; Storm Home 154
4.40 Bathiva 152; Goa Lil 148; Miss Amelia 143; Ballyvic Boru 140Cartmel
2.10 Iolani 141; Fiesole 137; Golden Town 137; Mig Des Taillons 135Windsor
2.50 Secret Handsheikh 110; Risk Of Thunder 108; Four Adaay 105; Rebel At Dawn 102MONDAY JUNE 28
Windsor
7.00 Ishvara 108; Capote’s Dream 104; Punchbowl Flyer 103; Atalanta’s Boy 103; Dazzling Dan 103
7.30 Water’s Edge 100; Jean Baptiste 95; Patient Dream 91; Maiden Castle 90; Sarvan 90TUESDAY JUNE 29
Hamilton
3.50 Hortzadar 103; Amaysmont 101; Stunning Beauty 100; Poet’s Dawn 98Stratford
6.00 Eskendash 140; Coole Well 138; Atlantic Storm 138; Scardura 130; El Borracho 130Hamilton’s meeting today abandoned following an incident involving two camera personnel and a fall from a cherrypicker. Figners Crossed that those involved are not too seriously injured but it didn’t sound very nice.
WEDNESDAY JUNE 30
Thirsk
3.55 Thegreatestshowman 101; George Bowen 100; Wentworth Falls 99; Manigordo 97
Worcester
4.15 Hotter Than Hell 136; Dolciano Dici 135; Story Of Friends 134
Musselburgh
3.30 Pistoletto 99; Gioia Cieca 97; Eton College 96; Shelir 91
Kempton
7.05 Dubai Souq 107; Boss Power 106; Great Esteem 103; Taqreer 101
Bath
7.25 River Dawn 98; Siam Fox 98; De Vegas Kid 97; Zoffarelli 95Not over busy at the end of this week, only two qualifying handicaps on Friday although things liven up on Saturday. The handicap programme does tend to be biased toward the end of the week and in particular Saturdays at this time of year. Here are the ratings for the next two days.
THURSDAY JULY 1
Haydock
2.10 Arqoob 100; Buxted Too 97; Grantley 97; Tawaareq 96Perth
2.30 Stop Talking 139; Golden Taipan 136; Presentandcounting 135
3.40 Looksnowtlikebrian 137; Amalfi Doug 134; As You Like 132; Elmono 132Epsom
6.38 Muscika 96; Power Over Me 95; Mamillus 93; Indian Creak 91FRIDAY JULY 2
Doncaster
2.45 Jawwaal 106; Mountain Peak 102; Indian Sounds 102; Nomadic Empire 101Newton Abbot
1.55 Thahab Ifraj 132; Chez Hans 125; Esprit De Somoza 116I’ll update results once the month is finished, but pleased to say that Single Top rated (i.e. clear top or highest in the weights if equal) is not far short of a break even position for the half year and gives a return of around 97% at SP since start last year. That’s very decent from one selection in every race at this level and goes some way to indicating how reliable form is overall in top level handicaps.
Noticeable difference between UK and Irish racing is that taking the best priced of the top 3 significantly improves performance in Ireland but the issue is marginal in England. There are a number of possible reasons but I suspect this is because less racing means it’s easier for the Irish handicapper to keep tabs on horses and that the market reflects those suited to the prevailing conditions.
No top rated winners this week so single top at the mid point of the year shows 118 winners from 697 races (16.9%) with returns of 682.82 at SP. June repeated last year’s good results, 19 wins from 124 and returns of 139.25 though we are comparing with an odd month last year after the lay-off. Selections 5lbs or more clear are showing a profit, but returns and results are very volatile and percentage winenrs ismilar to overall figures.
Winners from top three are holding up well at 47.3%, but field sizes have been disappointing outside the main meetings and it’s no great achievement to get in winner top 3 when there is only a handful of runners in a race. It’s a much pushed argument, but there is a case for saying htat even at upper level of handicaps there is too much racing. The upcoming Newmarket/Ascot/York weekend really is rather irritating as it concentrates the top action in one lump.
SATURDAY JULY 3
Leicester
3.20 The Attorney 104; Corvair 102; Dance Fever 101; Typhoon Ten 95Sandown
1.15 Pop Dancer 99; Phoenix Star 99; Lihou 97; Bossipop 96; Spoof 95
2.25 Trais Fluors 130; Beat Le Bon 126; Magical Morning 125; Escobar 123; Maydanny 123
4.10 Dream With Me 114; Breath Caught 106; Rhythmic Intent 104; Makram 99
4.45 Third Kingdom 107; Il Bandito 101; Bowman 101; Run To Freedom 97; Typical Man 97Haydock
1.30 Gifted Ruler 106; Young Fire 101; Turn On The Charm 101; King’s Knight 100
2.05 Sir Rumi 110; Soapy Stevens 109; Kondo Isami 108; Tashkhan 108; Oceanline 106; Reverend Hubert 106
3.15 My Frankel 120; Pirate King 117; Longsider 117; Aaddeey 116; The Trader 116The odd winenr from the supporting cast, but not an earth shattering Saturday. On to a low key Sunday with just the 2 five runner contests to bother us.
SUNDAY JULY 4
Ayr
3.13 Summa Peto 97; Bulls Aye 95; Shelir 90; Redarna 90; Headingley 90Market Rasen
4.10 Hes No Trouble 139; Royal Vilalge 136; Pilbara 133; Solar Impulse 125MONDAY JULY 5
Ayr
3.20 Pearl Of Qatar 96; Kraken Power 93; Black Friday 92; Dick Datchery 92Windsor
7.15 A Sure Welcome 100; Charlie Fellowes 95; Caroline Dale 94; Second Collection 90Ripon
8.00 Bollin Joan 93; Urban Violet 89; Kettle Hill 86; Leopardo 81A lull in action with just the one race tomorrow and nothing on Wednesday, though the action picks up with Newmarket July Meeting starting Thursday. That said the one contest rated is a fair sprint at Pontefract. Had to correct the ratings as I misread Hey Jonesy’s rating as 107 on my notes. He’s actually joint top on 101 in a tight event where close up Aberama Gold might find conditinos to suit.
We have had a fair bit of rain in the last couple of days so going will soften certainly in the north. We are sitting awaiting a roofer to repair a leak and just glad we weren’t in Edinburgh as they had serious flash flooding yesterday. I was up a ladder clearing debris out of the gutter at 2.30am!
TUESDAY JULY 6
Pontefract
3.35 Hey Jonesy 101; Mondammej 101; Corinthia Knight 101; Aberama Gold 100
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