Home › Forums › Betting Chat – Bets & Tips › Nothing Gained 7
- This topic has 561 replies, 24 voices, and was last updated 4 years, 7 months ago by
Venture to Cognac.
- AuthorPosts
- November 1, 2020 at 13:11 #1508216
Nightmare Moe, but at least you got the 22-1 shot.
Yeah, hopeful for Prince of Arran, but didn’t go Antepost, and completely missed the price. It was always the plan to bet 33’s EW, as I see him more of an EW horse, but I just didn’t get round to it. I suppose the other side of the coin is that I didn’t bet Buckhurst either, but I really should be sitting with a nice EW bet on Prince.
Stratum was my other long term fancy, so I’ll at least get him at decent odds.
Happy to go with that pair, although Dashing Willoughby looks massively overpriced at 100’s.
November 1, 2020 at 16:30 #1508251Complete washout today.
Biggest bet was General Principle, and should have taken it back during race. Second biggest was Midnight Mustang, and I knew from the off he was struggling, had a decent cash out offer, and didn’t take it. Summed up the day.
Only regret was Hoot at Midnight. I knew after I put him up that I’d regret it.
November 2, 2020 at 22:07 #1508410WD on Saturday. I never backed Campeador in the end, was busy and forgot the race was on till it was half over. Glad you were on anyhow and I cheered The Storyteller home too!
Good luck tomorrow…I have to back Stratum too cos I would throw my phone out the window if I didn’t and he won. Also hope Glen Forsa comes second for you
November 2, 2020 at 22:51 #1508414Cheers Grass, still can’t believe that 80’s, and how good was The Storyteller.
Same to you, I hope Esprit De Large is a game second lol
November 5, 2020 at 20:00 #1509729Cracking weekend coming up, but having a go Friday.
In the 1430 at Curragh, a horse I’ve been keeping an eye on in his last two runs, Future Romance, is a big looking price at 40’s. It might be early days with him, and I didn’t expect to bet him as early as this, but I’m happy to chance him at that price.
Rare Dundalk play as well. I think the the mile trip might bring some improvement to Tommy Taylor, and I like the jockey booking, while the jockey booking on Plunkett takes a handy few pounds off, and I think he might have a chance of landing his first win.
Haven’t played yet, but I’ll probably go BOG tonight, and as they’re all EW, be taking max places too.
1430 Curragh – Future Romance 40’s
1745 Dundalk – Tommy Taylor 20’s
1915 Dundalk – Plunkett 18’sNovember 6, 2020 at 23:34 #1509884Nothing doing today, but Future Romance will remain on the radar.
Such a good days racing Saturday.
Aintree
Never a big betting fixture for me this one, unlike other Aintree Cards. One I do like though is Theflyingportrait. He’s lower than last winning mark, and ran ok last time. Good to see Brian Hughes up too. The 10’s is fair, but I’ll wait till Stolen Silver gets withdrawn, after he ran today.Always interested in Pertemps Qualifiers, and though I’m not betting him tomorrow, I’ll be watching Mohaayed closely with The Final in mind.
Doncaster
Great to see them giving Chiefofchiefs another chance at Listed Level, and although I’ll take bigger if I see it, I’m not missing that 33’s.I’ve got Euchen Glen at 9’s in The November Handicap, and I don’t what else I can say about him.
Kelso
There’s three I like, but I’ll only be betting one of them, Halcyon Days. I thought he ran very well last time. He’s a horse I know fairly well, and I’ve had some returns from him in the past. I think he’s definitely worth it tomorrow.As much as I like Rock On Fruity, there is absolutely no way I’ll ever bet him when he’s as short as this. He ran a fair race in The Durham National, but it was his run before that, over hurdles back here, that really caught the eye. In the opener Aloomomo is a really tempting price, but I’ve just too many bets, and I’ve got to ditch something. The 8’s looks big, and I reckon he’ll comfortably outrun that. Going to be a difficult watch. Hopefully catch him next time.
Naas
Covered their November Handicap in Big Races, but Numerian is running in the next. I’ll almost certainly bet him, but at current price, I can afford to wait. He’s 9-2 at the moment, and I’ll see how earlier races go.Wincanton
Putting up two “Midnights” didn’t work out well last week, but more of the same at Wincanton. I was itching to bet Midnightreflection Antepost all week as the 14’s looked big, but the lack of jockey booking put me off. She opened at 20’s with Jack Tudor booked, along with his 5lb claim, and I took that straight away. I’ll probably top up the five places, where she’s currently 12’sSizing at Midnight is the other one, and he’s been in the notebook for this race for a while, but already covered it in Big Races. I haven’t went with Danny Whizzbang in the end, but my main concern is that Nicholls states that he’ll need this, and it’ll tune him up for The Ladbroke Trophy. Hmmm, watch him romp home tomorrow now. I can handle missing a winner at 4’s I suppose.
1232 Kelso – Halcyon Days 9’s
Wentworth Stakes – Chiefofchiefs 33’s
1350 Wincanton – Midnightreflection 20’s
Naas November Hcap – Western Boy EW 5pl
Naas November Hcap – De Name Escapes Me
November Handicap – Euchen Glen 9’s
1520 Aintree – Theflyingportrait
Badger Ales – Present Man
Badger Ales – Sizing at MidnightNovember 7, 2020 at 23:42 #1510034Strange day.
Not the best of starts with Aloomomo winning, but much better later with Rock On Fruity. Apologies for aftertiming, but once he hit double figures, I went with him. Happy with the 10’s, and same price winner with De Name Escapes Me. That pair, combined with a decent profit in running from Sizing at Midnight, was enough to give me a profit on the day. Obviously would have won, and gutted when he fell, but the perfect example of why it’s always better to have a lay in place. It softens the blow.
Would have been a really decent day with that lot, but Euchen Glen and Chiefofchiefs were decent sized bets, so the profit was modest.
November 8, 2020 at 00:27 #1510041Cracking card at Navan today, with the obvious highlight The Troytown.
I’ve changed my mind so many times over this race, and the simplest solution seems to be to rule them all out, and have a bit of fun.
I think I’d rather bet The Jam Man at 25’s for Haydock, while the Gigginstown pair of Elwood and Aforementioned could both be very good, but I can’t split em. The JP pair of Portmore Lough and Fitzhenry are impossible to leave out either, so it goes without saying that it looks an impossible decision.
In the end I’ve had one fairly sensible Win Bet, and one fairly sensible EW Bet. Scoir Mear was so good the last time, and he’s more than paid for the bet today, getting him at 16’s, while Mr Diablo looks a smashing EW Bet, and I’ve had a few pounds tonight, with a view to adding more.
The less sensible bet is old favourite General Principle. He ran well for a good way last week, and though this comes round quickly, I’m curious as to why he’s back out so quickly. He’s some price, and I can’t ignore him.
Elsewhere on the card, I think that Eclair De Beaufeu could upset A Plus Tard, while I’m looking forward to seeing Easywork, though I’ll not be betting either of them.
Midnight Maestro is an interesting runner on debut for Enda Bolger, while I’m taking a chance with Cenoin in the opener, and Vintage Times in the finale.
Navan
1200 – Cenoin 16’s
Troytown – Scoir Mear 16’s+
Troytown – Mr Diablo 50’s EW 6 Places
Troytown – General Principle 66’s+
1520 – Midnight Maestro EW 6 Places
1550 – She’s All Vintage 14’sMore a fun betting day than anything else, for a bit of interest.
November 13, 2020 at 06:58 #1510509Excellent start with Bachasson, VtC.
November 13, 2020 at 11:04 #1510516Thanks mate, delighted with him yesterday. Bet him a few times Antepost for races, but first time he’s actually won for me I think. He was actually a fair old bet, so very happy yesterday.
November 13, 2020 at 11:09 #1510517I’d love to have a go today after that yesterday, but I’m going to enjoy it without any significant bets.
I’ll be hoping to see old Tiger run well, but it looks a fair old task against Easysland, who I still think should be considered for The Gold Cup.
I’ll throw him into a few perms in most of the other races, along with one of my notebook horses, and a few others, but crazy for a card at Cheltenham, no strong fancies.
Only bet today is at Fairyhouse, and I think Kayf Thou is worth a chance, though he’s 11’s and drifting just now.
1255 Fairyhouse – Kayf Thou
November 13, 2020 at 18:31 #1510563Another great Saturday, but really tough as well.
Today’s card was desperate at Cheltenham, but the action much better tomorrow.
In the opener I really like dual winner of the race, What A Moment. It’s questionable if he retains old ability after a layoff, but at the same time, he did show something here last year. Rock bottom mark. Happy enough with 8’s. I doubt he’ll drift from current 7’s, but if he did, I’d go in again.
My old pal Gumball is the outsider in the 1340. Still not enamoured with him going chasing, but after an entirely predictable, error strewn round at Uttoxeter, he was a lot better next time. I think he might outrun current odds without winning
Best Paddy Power Gold Cup I can remember. Still haven’t bet Brelan D’As, but definitely will be.
Later on the card, Weather Front looks like he’ll benefit from the step up in trip, while I thought the 20’s Antepost for Lord Lamington was far too big, but it appears to be holding.
The card at Punchestown is a cracker too.
Looking forward to my Arkle hope, Felix Desjy running, but far too short tomorrow.
The last couple of “Midnights” I’ve put up on this thread, have been given the kiss of death, but Midnight Run, who really fell away last year, is back out in the opener. The small matter of Asterion Forlonges to overcome, but I think he’s a fair old price at the current 10’s. I’m undecided with him, I’ll see how the market goes. Bit of blue about, and I’m tempted. If he was to progress to a level I expected, then he’s maybe one for NH Chase.
The Alanna Homes Handicap is a cracker. I don’t like betting in these races when Mullins has clearly targeted it. No bet at the moment, but I’m interested in the price of Castlebawn West, and also the outsiders The Long Mile & Spades Are Trumps. I’ll also be watching rank outsider Stone and Roses, who I think could pop up somewhere at a price this year. I might bet him blind when he’s a price this year. Still undecided on this race, but he’s currently 66’s.
Cheltenham
1305 What A Moment 8’s
1340 Gumball 12’s
Paddy Power – Brelan D’As 20’s EW 6 Pl
1450 – Weather Front 14’s
1525 – Lord Lamington 20’s EW 4plNovember 13, 2020 at 18:38 #1510565Can’t let today’s action go without mentioning Tiger Roll.
He’s been a shadow of himself since the 2019 National.
I’d obviously like to be wrong on that, but it’s four years now since “that” run in The Munster National, a run which turned out to be quite important to me, and he can’t keep it going.
He’d have won The Gold Cup at his peak, no question about that, so that run today is pretty far removed from that level.
I really really want to see him go out in one piece, and hopefully he’ll be retired sooner rather than later.November 15, 2020 at 12:21 #1510780Nothing much to write home about yesterday, and in keeping with tradition, it continues to be a tough meeting for me.
Got a really nice profit in running from Gumball, and it could’ve been enough to scrape a profit, if it wasn’t for my bet on What A Moment, who was biggest bet by far. I was up against it after he got stuffed.
November always a tough month anyway for me traditionally, so hopefully scale it back till Newbury a week on Saturday.
Decent cards at Cheltenham and Punchestown today, though hardly betting cards for me, so I’ll stick with The Greatwood. Was only supposed to be win bets, but Skybet kept the 6, so that made a difference with the Martin horse. If he runs well, and gets me money back, I’ll definitely back Mr Everest later on at Punchestown.
Greatwood
Ballyandy 14’s
Harambe 16’s
Tudor City 66’s EW 6 PlacesNovember 21, 2020 at 02:50 #1511508Crazy days Racing today, interesting races all over the place, but the combination of……
Too many fancies
Short enough prices
It’s November….means that bets will be thin on the ground.
Ascot
The 1965 Chase see’s my early King George bet, Real Steel back out. I’m on him at 40’s, so I need a big run today, and I’m hopeful. I’ve just watched back his Gold Cup run there, and it’s even better than I remembered. Fingers crossed. Stablemate Black Corton definitely the forgotten horse though. Very dangerous to write him off.In the 1330, Midnightreflection was far too big at 16’s, but she’ll stay as a System only bet today, and can’t justify her on this thread, going by her last effort.
The Hurst Chase is too tricky for me, but Drumconnor Lad appeals at the prices.
Haydock
The big race of the day is obviously The Betfair Chase. I still think that the 14’s for Lostintranslation for The Gold Cup is madness. Still not taken it mind you. I’ll try to enjoy this without any financial interest, Cheltenham related or otherwise. At 33’s, I can’t quite rule out Bellshill either.I’m really keen on Main Fact at 8’s. With The Stayers Hurdle at Cheltenham the main focus of my Antepost betting this year at Cheltenham, I’m considering adding him as well.
If I knew Dashel Drasher was definitely back out this season, he’d have been my star horse in The Ten To Follow. As it is, he’s up against another TTF horse of mine, Master Tommytucker. I’m hoping Tommy stays on his feet, and I’m hoping Dashel is in full working order. Both too short for me today. I’d settle for the pair of them battling it out.
The 1240 is getting sat out too, as I like no less than five of them…
Deise Aba – Promising sort who I can see stepping up and developing into an Aintree horse, or a Welsh National type.
Sams Adventure – Surely better than last run
Pop Rockstar – weighted to run big race.
Claud and Goldie – Low profile sort, but would be my pick at the prices
Commodore – Desperate last year, possibly got an issue, but if over that, looked excellent the season before last.
The 1350 sees Umbrigado on this card again, after an excellent effort in The Stayers Handicap Hurdle last year. Very interesting that he swerves that in favour of this, as he had an entry.
The finale sees the highly unpredictable Midnight Tune running at a price, and interesting for a yard bang in form, but Perfect Candidate catches the eye too, and the 14’s is just mad.
Huntingdon
Midnightreferendum was excellent on her chasing debut. She’s in the 1248, but she’s been inconsistent in the past. I’m hoping for another big run, but certainly won’t be betting her.Naas
The 1302 sees Fakir D’oudairies, Notebook, and Cash Back. Should be cracking race.The 1337 sees my big Grand National hope, Any Second Now make his season debut, and it’s over hurdles. Best horse in the field, on a nice mark, and won’t scupper his chance for Aintree. Just the question of whether or not he’ll be ready, and I also like Mary Frances and Ten Ten.
The 1412 sees Stattler running, and I think he could be worth following. A very interesting horse for me going forward. Definitely one for the notebook.
The 1447 sees Princely Conn running. He was brutal last year, but I like the jockey booking, and his final run last season was his best. He ended up “detatched”, rather than “tailed off”
Last but not least, the 1522 sees a big notebook horse of mine, Janidil. Really like this horse, but short enough price, and it’s a hot race.
What a day……no idea what to bet, and what not to bet. No option but to sit back and enjoy, with limited financial interest, though I’ll maybe add to this trio.
Stayers Handicap Hurdle
Main Fact 8’s1447 Naas
Princely Conn1535 Haydock
Perfect Candidate 14’sNovember 22, 2020 at 01:11 #1511663Much much better today, and it was a good idea to sit most of out.
Delighted with how Main Fact dug that out, and the only other I added to the original trio was Midnight Tune. Thought the forecast was going to land for a while, but I was happy enough with Perfect Candidate at 14’s.
Other highlights were Master Tommytucker and Janidil.
Janidil should have plenty of options now, but how good was Tommytucker? If he can stay on his feet, he’s a very very good one.
November 26, 2020 at 19:55 #1512225Really good card at Newbury tomorrow.
The highlight is obviously The Long Distance Hurdle. I’ve followed McFabulous since Day One, and it’s been great to see him progress. More than happy with my 20’s for The Stayers, so no need to bet him tomorrow.
I’ve bet a couple though. Sam Spinner has gave me some fun the last couple of years, and he’s as good as most of these on his “A” Game. The big worry is his last run. Connections put it down to fences, but I’m a bit wary that he wasn’t actually right. Genuine worry that. Still, the 25’s was unreal. He either goes close or pulls up I reckon.
I’ve also went with Honest Vic. He was the one I wanted Antepost, but I thought I’d wait, just in case.
The 1425 is a cracker too. Cepage is an old favourite, but the ground is a concern. He is well treated though. In the end though, I went with Fidux, who was a late absentee for The Paddy Power, and San Benedeto, who is very definitely my main bet tomorrow. Think both should run decent races.
In the next, Lil Rockerfeller is hard to justify against less exposed types, but he’s swerved Haydock for this, he’s on a handy mark, and Cobden a decent booking.
Newbury
1425 – San Benedeto 9’s
1425 – Fidux
1500 – Sam Spinner 25’s
1500 – Honest Vic 18’s
1535 – Lil Rockerfeller - AuthorPosts
- You must be logged in to reply to this topic.