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KendalCavalier aka "Roselier" National Tips Part1/

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Viewing 16 posts - 52 through 67 (of 67 total)
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  • #144249
    KendalCavalier
    Participant
    • Total Posts 428

    BEWLEYS BERRY has been helped by the handicapper thus far. He has been raised only six pounds for his second in the Beecher Chase. He has a lot going for him but he hasn’t got his head in front since November 2005.

    His sire Shernazar has not had many runners over 4 miles. I recall one, Silver Steel, being placed in the 2002 NH Chase behind Rith Dubh and subsequently a well beaten 5th in the Midlands National. However Shernazar was himself by the mighty Busted. Busted has produced some exceptional NH sires including Supreme Leader’s sire Bustino. Supreme Leader has produced Grand National runners up Whats Up Boys and Supreme Glory and Scottish National winner Joes Edge. Busted also produced Clearly Bust who was sire of last year’s winner Silver Birch and Busted was also the sire of Balak, Seagram’s sire. Therefore there’s no reason why Shernazar cannot produce a National winner.

    Bewleys damsire Orchestra is also a good source of stamina producing the likes of Dorans Pride, Fiddling The Facts, Rince Ri, Midlands National winner Miss Orchestra and NH Chase winner Relaxation.

    Last but not least he also possesses a third significant stamina influence in Giolla Mear. He was the sire of old Lastofthebrownies who ran in three Nationals finishing 4th and 5th. Giolla Mear was also the damsire of last year’s winner Silver Birch. So, all in all there is a lot going for Bewleys Berry but can he get his head in front???

    #144252
    KendalCavalier
    Participant
    • Total Posts 428

    CORNISH SETT: As someone who sent me a private message on here said this horse has the family ties to entitle him to some respect. Cornish Sett’s grand dam Smooth Lady was the dam of 1988 Grand National and 1985 Irish National winner Rhyme N Reason. The dam Smooth Lady was herself by the dam Dandy Hall who produced 1984 hero Hallo Dandy so Cornish Sett has a lot going for him in that respect. His sire, however, Accordion does put me off. Generally speaking Accordion is renowned within the Bloodstock industry for producing horses that can be extremely quirky. By and large they can be an extremely moody bunch as liable to spit the dummy out as they are to run a big race as Billyvoddan showed in last year‘s race. Enigmatic might be the word! His mark of 140 looks good but he looks a little too small for Aintree and to the naked eye he didn’t get home in the Betfred in April nor in The Welsh National in December albeit both being on completely different ground to one another. Not to be trusted as I told the private messenger!

    #144254
    KendalCavalier
    Participant
    • Total Posts 428

    OLLIE MAGERN: Oh, how I wish little Ollie was not rated 157. His sire Alderbrook has already given the stable two winners over four miles namely Naunton Brook and Baron Windrush. Ollie’s little sis’ Petite Margot stayed the four miles in the Borders National, Ollie’s damsire the mighty Monksfield is also the damsire of Monty’s Pass, Harbour Pilot and D’argent. Can you base a horse staying on what his siblings have done you ask? You bet you can. A Piece Of Cake and Royal Emperor (one won the 4m Borders National one was a 1l 3rd in the Scottish National) Royal Athlete and Tipsy Mouse (one won the Grand National one won the 4m Borders National). Ollie would stay but his mark is very prohibitive.

    #144258
    KendalCavalier
    Participant
    • Total Posts 428

    L’ami is another I have written off. My last post mentioned being able to determine how far a horse will stay by looking at his sibling. I used Tipsy Mouse as an example, he was a full brother to Royal Athlete and A Piece Of Cake a full brother to Royal Emperor who was unlucky to be beaten into third (he would have won had he been on his correct mark) in a Scottish National.

    As luck would have it L’ami’s full brother also ran in last year’s National, namely Kelami, and he too never threatened to see out the trip and I see no reason why L’ami will, albeit now 9lb better off. He stopped like he had been shot last year. His sire Lute Antique is by No Lute who himself is by Luthier who is also the sire of Over The River (Over The Creek’s sire) and his damsire Brezzo produced an Eider winner in Domaine De Pron (but he collapsed and died after the race he was so exhausted) but unlike Over The River Lute Antique is starting to build a Strong Gale-like National record i.e.very very bad, as he also produced Innox who blatantly failed to stay and Innox had a very good staying influence via his dam.

    Leave him well alone, I am supremely confident he will not figure in the finish

    #144318
    hyperion547
    Member
    • Total Posts 13

    Welcome to the forum hyperion547 and an excellent first post

    Thank you David.

    Welcome to The Racing Forum, Jason.

    You have been saving yourself up for that post, haven’t you? 8)

    Colin

    Colin,
    There was a certian feeling of getting it off ones chest I admit :D
    Thank you also for the welcome.

    #144327
    hyperion547
    Member
    • Total Posts 13

    Kendal Cavalier,
    Apologies for ripping apart your reply but wanted to respond to specific parts of the post.

    HYPER
    Careful sir that’s another greatest sire of his generation whose name your mangling there. :D

    How fantastic to have met a like minded individual.
    Whoa, we share an admiration for a breed-shaping sire. You do appear to be a tad sensitive for us to be too likeminded. :wink:

    My favourite is of course Kendal Cavalier.
    My ex also.

    I visted Kendal at Rod’s stable after his New Year’s Day win at Cheltenham, what a day.
    What a race lost, one of the highlights of my season’s viewing gone forever.
    Baronet to win back the house, the year after falling behind yours when said house was on!

    It is sad to see his progeny reaching the end of their racing lives but as you say he will live on for a long time yet as a damsire. Weatherby’s is your best bet although I haven’t purchased any information from them for a long time but they would nonetheless be my first port of call.
    Am aware of Weatherby’s facilities through their direct links on the RP site, but thank you for taking the time to answer. I was just hoping to find a site that was not charging for this data.

    I always thought it was a shame that his two Aintree winners were chestnuts as opposed to the their usual grey but hey at ante post prices of 66/1 on Royal Athlete and 40’s on Bindy who’s complaining!
    Mrs P Will be No.1 in “The Nationalâ€

    #144332
    Ugly Mare
    Member
    • Total Posts 1294

    “I have followed Roselier through his progeny entries on the Racing Post site but they have no facility to do this for damsires. Is there a free site that can generate this information?”

    hello,
    would this site be of any use to you? You can get all Roselier’s progeny plus all the dams/sires. No charge for that info.

    http://www.pedigreequery.com/kendal+cavalier

    #144338
    hyperion547
    Member
    • Total Posts 13

    hello,
    would this site be of any use to you? You can get all Roselier’s progeny plus all the dams/sires. No charge for that info.

    http://www.pedigreequery.com/kendal+cavalier

    Mrs Mare,
    I also have this site bookmarked and have spent many a pleasurable hour trawling through the pedigrees of some of my favorite horses.

    My search has been for a site that would give me the list of entries for Roselier as a damsire in the same way that you can query any sires entries on the RP database. Forgive me if i am being stupid, for it has been known, but i have never found this info from within pedigreequery.com. I can if time allows do it longhand from a few locations on line, but am searching for the more simplified enter name then hit go.

    An interesting aside to your link is a certain six time champion sire, that is also quite admired by mesel, lurking a few generations back in the female line of Roselier :)

    #144346
    hyperion547
    Member
    • Total Posts 13

    Not advocating a play so assuming it’s safe to post in the section.

    The trainer responsible for my hopes of Mauritius (as opposed to Margate again :() this year has Bellaney Jewel as an intended for the staying chase at Carlisle today, in what could be considered a typical event Roselier’s have farmed. (grade and trip) This mare of Mr Quinn’s has not reached the lofty perch yet that many thought her capable of, but arguably her best run to date came in this event a year ago and it would be great to see her go one better.

    Course wise Carlisle, like Towcester, has been mentioned often as ideal for the sire’s progeny due to their extremely testing nature. The ground for me would worry as it appears it will be holding with no chance any ease, still it would be a timely example of the topic were she to win this.

    #144359
    Avatar photograysonscolumn
    Participant
    • Total Posts 7034

    All hypothetical now, I’m afraid, as Carlisle has fallen to the frost in the last hour.

    gc

    Jeremy Grayson. Son of immigrant. Adoptive father of two. Metadata librarian. Freelance point-to-point / horse racing writer, analyst and commentator wonk. Loves music, buses, cats, the BBC Micro, ale. Advocate of CBT, PACE and therapeutic parenting. Aspergers.

    #144799
    KendalCavalier
    Participant
    • Total Posts 428

    Am I allowed to change my mind re PARSONS LEGACY????

    I have viewed each of his last three races through a magnifying glass (not literally) and I have to say that the career stats don’t tell the full story.

    He may never have fallen but I am seriously concerned about his jumping (why I didn’t view the races instead of looking at him on paper I do not know). His last two runs at Cheltenham have been very worrying. He doesn’t give his fences any air whatsoever and he seems to dive rather than glide over them. He is no safe proposition, in fact I’d go as far as saying he is decidedly unsafe.

    The Ayr run although great on paper was laughable in terms of jumping as he clouted a fair few of the fences especially the 4th and if you can’t jump round Ayr that well (widely regarded as some of the easiest fences in NH, they are more like large hurdles) then Aintree must surely find him out. He must have some engine to hit as many as he does and still finish his races like he does but I think I may well have done my dough with him.

    #144803
    davidjohnson
    Member
    • Total Posts 4491

    graysonscolumn

    Sadly there wil be no fairytale with La Landiere. She died at stud before she had her first foal I’m afraid.

    #144821
    Avatar photograysonscolumn
    Participant
    • Total Posts 7034

    Ach, no! I knew she had perished but thought she’d foaled once or twice first. What a terrible shame. Thanks for the clarification, DJ.

    gc

    Jeremy Grayson. Son of immigrant. Adoptive father of two. Metadata librarian. Freelance point-to-point / horse racing writer, analyst and commentator wonk. Loves music, buses, cats, the BBC Micro, ale. Advocate of CBT, PACE and therapeutic parenting. Aspergers.

    #144823
    carvillshill
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2778

    Am I allowed to change my mind re PARSONS LEGACY????

    I have viewed each of his last three races through a magnifying glass (not literally) and I have to say that the career stats don’t tell the full story.

    He may never have fallen but I am seriously concerned about his jumping (why I didn’t view the races instead of looking at him on paper I do not know). His last two runs at Cheltenham have been very worrying. He doesn’t give his fences any air whatsoever and he seems to dive rather than glide over them. He is no safe proposition, in fact I’d go as far as saying he is decidedly unsafe.

    The Ayr run although great on paper was laughable in terms of jumping as he clouted a fair few of the fences especially the 4th and if you can’t jump round Ayr that well (widely regarded as some of the easiest fences in NH, they are more like large hurdles) then Aintree must surely find him out. He must have some engine to hit as many as he does and still finish his races like he does but I think I may well have done my dough with him.

    Am I allowed to say told you so?
    Thought not.

    #144831
    KendalCavalier
    Participant
    • Total Posts 428

    You just have!

    What are your long range fancies carvill’s?

    #144857
    carvillshill
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2778

    The only bet I’ve had so far is Bewley’s Berry ’cause I like the name. Waiting on one or two to run, but will probably back a nice grey with a plaited tail.

Viewing 16 posts - 52 through 67 (of 67 total)
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