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I put in the years from 2014 up to date and then the trainers with a 30% strike rate
and it made money every year, but it does not say it will preform as well from now on.I will keep posting these B/F I know it’s backfitted but looking at the stats
since 2014 you can count the losing months on one hand lets hope the trend
continues.A MERRY CHRISTMAS TO YOU ALL
Naughty girls…. may I thank Moehat for putting the idea forward in the first place, don’t forget your manners children and remember to curtsey to Moe….. but don’t raise your skirt too high Bill, you’ll show off those varicose veins….
Happy Christmas one and all…..
MrE
Boxing Day B/F
1.55 Kemp Ballyoptic……6 L
12.25 Sedg Oak Vintage….1 L
12.00 Weth Cockley Bridge.3 pl7/2
12.55 Win If You Say Run..1 W1/2
12.40 Win Couer Tantre….1 L
2.15 Wol Belabour………2 LThe numbers mean pos in ratings 1-3 better than 36% strike rate all better than 50% place rate.
-4.50 Points
rab123
Flipping heck, you are quick off the mark.
I understand there are a lot of meetings on Boxing Day but 6 picks is too many for me and I hate Bank Holiday meetings because I think they are harder to find winners than a Saturday.
Tell me do please, where do you get your trainer stats from?
May you have many winners in 2018
Billy's Outback Shack
Try 15 little doubles and an EW accumulator Bill. I think rab123 is using horseracebase but no doubt he’ll confirm that later.
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You took the words right out of my mouth Elcartero doubles and a acc.I do use HRB wonderful piece
of work, worth a look Billion I not sure if you can get a seven trial anymore.The data goes back to
2003.I click on the button trainers and you can find out everything you could want about them,I’m
using data from 2014 up to date and 30% strike rate plus forecast odds but nothing odds on.I looked
earlier today and there were winners above 10/1 not many to corrupt figures most under 5/1,if it carries
on preforming it averages about 300 points a year to level stakes (we should be so lucky) anyway i will
give it a go.I’m also try another bit of data called Stat Attack with trainers 14 day strike rate I will
post if anything turns profitable.I have thought about HRB but never taken the plunge.
They appear to do only 3 days free trial now.
How much is the subscription?I've stumbled on the side of twelve misty mountains
I've walked and I crawled on six crooked highwaysIts Christmas Eve folks, I have left a mince pie and some carrots behind should any strange callers visit in the night
Thanks for the info and although I very much like the sound of the BF concept, the 2 suggestions of 15 doubles + an ew acca and the prospect of a monthly contribution squashes my enthusiasm.
I no longer seek quick a fortune, the involvement holds enough excitement but will certainly look out for the results which I hope go your way.
Sleep easy.
Billy's Outback Shack
Hi Purwell
Six or Ten pounds min a month.Thanks, that won’t break the bank.
I will give it a try in the New Year.I've stumbled on the side of twelve misty mountains
I've walked and I crawled on six crooked highwaysBoxing Day
The LAZY Punter
The Vampire Plan
OR DE VASSEY @ 11/8 Sedgefield 11.55
Others to consider: –
Ashkoul 12.35 M. Rasen
Jelmood 12.40 Wolv’s
Highway One O One 1.25 Fontwell
If You Say Run 12.55 Wincanton
Jessbers Dream 3.15 Wincanton
Buveur Dair 2.30 KemptonI only require one selection, the remainder all qualify but have I picked the winner?
Billy's Outback Shack
Boxing Day
The LAZY Punter
Vampire Plan – already posted – Or De Vassey 11.55 Segefield ………………………… Lost
————————————————————————–I have never been one who can handle losing runs and so Templegate is CHOPPED!
Although I am still in profit, it would have looked so healthier had Templegate performed just a little bit better having hit the cross bar too many times.
————————————————————————-
Top of the Naps Table (RUK
BALLYOPTIC 1.55 Kempton @ 7/2 ………………………………………………….. LostMost Napped
MIGHT BITE 3.05 Kempton @ 11/8 …………………………………………………… WON
(Might Bite and Bristol De Mai are both supported with 4x Naps but a filter only just edges towards Mite Bite)Follow the Money
COER TANTRE 2.40 Wincanton @ 11/8 ./……………………………………………… Lost Billy's Outback Shack
rab123 – BF
Whilst trying to cobble together an alternative (or perhaps I should say complimentary) make-up, towards this idea I found WENYERREADYFREDDIE 1.20 Kempton as one to watch out for but then some interesting things happened.
It was 10/1 just as I turned the light out to go to sleep but this morning the price was found to be 15/2 then down to 7/1 as I watched and even as low as 11/2, someone fancies it. 6/4 to place.
Nicky Henderson has a 26% win percentage (not the 30% required by rab123) but the statistics show he has won the race 4 times during the past 9 years.
Whilst looking at the race I see he also has REIGNING SUPREME in the same race but having the first run of the season (277 days) could it possibly need the run?
I am reminded of a system (The Sting) by Anthony Gibson which suggests it could be prudent to follow a stables less favoured 2nd entry.
Could this all be simply food for thought and just best watched?
Billy's Outback Shack
REIGNING SUPREME
Nicky Henderson
I’ve had this horse entered up all over the place but we’ve never found the right race so hopefully 2m4f around this tight track will be right up his street. I think he has a bright future and his work has been very satisfactory.WENYERREADYFREDDIE
Nicky Henderson
Forget his first run at Sandown where he wasn’t fully ready and was racing over an inadequate trip as well. He’s been knocking at the door and If I had to choose over the two, this horse definitely gets the nod. I like him a lot.To help you BILLION this what Nick say about the two horses.
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