November 29, 2020 at 13:14 #1512556
14:42 FFos Las – Kestrel Valley. I have laid teh odds on Fav and instead gone for this one. Proven around here, on this ground, and distance will suit. Last race was a Class 3 over course and distance on soft ground, on the face of it a distant 4th, however the winner ran away with it, the next 4 were within 3 lengths of each other. I thikn he has every chance here. 1pt win @ 12 2pt place @ 2.58
Shame he couldn’t hold on for a place -3 / +80.53November 30, 2020 at 11:16 #1512620
16:35 Kempton – Gold Brocade. Getting ever closer, has a good draw today and I think has the beating of the favourite. Just about value here @5 2pt win
well that was dissapointing
-2 / +78.53December 2, 2020 at 09:37 #1512795
14:55 Haydock – Goobinator – Although favourite I think the price is fair, has a very good chance here should relish the testing conditions. I was torn between him and Minella Charmer who will also love the conditions and goes well fresh. Cases to be made for several in this, could be a really good race. 2pt Win @4.2 Goobinator.
13:30 Ludlow – Midnights Gift – Good start to career over hurdles, then lost way a little bit, seems to have found a bit of mojo again recently good Value @7 2pt Win. I think the first 2 in the betting have a bit to prove here.
-4 / +74.53December 4, 2020 at 20:57 #1513009
Aintree 12:20 – Clan Legend – I think over priced @ 20 on Betfair, I have him at 7 for this, good record in the conditions, and quite an open race. 1pt win @20 2pt place @5.1
Aintree 12:55 – Irish Roe – I can see why the favourite is the favourite but plenty short enough in this, better value is Irish Roe, will have needed the last run, and she has run well in defeat in a number of similar events to this. 1pt win @25 2 pts place @4.2
Aintree 13:30 – Walk In The Mill – Clearly loves these fences won this race twice before, and should be right in there again. Price is exactly what I have, so will play 2pt win @6.4.
+22 / +96.53December 6, 2020 at 21:43 #1513385
Plu 13:20 – Royal Claret. Not easy to catch right, and her last run was very poor. However 7.6 in this race is too long to ignore I think. If she runs to a level she is capable of she can win this. It could be she is just out of sorts at the moment but at this price I will take that chance. 2pt Win
Non-RunnerDecember 8, 2020 at 18:37 #1513570Venture to CognacModerator
- Total Posts 17301
Great win with Clan Legend the other day Blade.
Very impressive again.December 10, 2020 at 16:33 #1513695
Thanks mate, had a few quiet days, had to keep the faithDecember 10, 2020 at 16:42 #1513701
Chelt 12:40 – Speed Company Possibly over priced here, bare form doesn’t look that great over the last 3 runs, however some of his best runs have been on testing, undulating tracks such as Cheltenham. Had a good start to hurdling career in CL4 and Cl3 races, and won a CL2 race in decent style before a big hike in the weights. dropped back a little now, and last run may have been too far. 1pt Win @ 21 will have 2pts on the place once BF market is open.
Don 14:52 – Horatio Hornblower Hardly inspiring this year, but won this last year, and flat left handed tracks seem to suit, 8 is a fair enough price I think. Nothing else in the race has a lot of appeal. 2pt WinDecember 11, 2020 at 11:55 #1513767
Chelt 15:00 – Stormy Ireland surely this price can’t be right? OK she’s up against the boys here, but has won some very nice races well. Have to take a chance @26 1pt Win will have 2pts EW once that market is running. I also think that another mare Verdana Blue is overpriced @14 has run well enough around Chelt, and loves the ground conditions, also a nice drop in the weights. 1pt win.
Chelt 15:35 – Indefatigable I have her at almost evens for this. Wasn’t far away in a Listed event at Kempton LTO off the same mark and has great course from here, which is a massive bonus at Chelt.2pt Win @6.8December 16, 2020 at 11:06 #1514331
-9 / +87.53 running totalDecember 16, 2020 at 11:17 #1514333
LUD 14:30 – Kilfilum Cross – Not looked great so far this year it is fair to say, however has been only running left handed and record going right handed reads a hell of a lot better. 21132 in all right hand run races since Feb 2018 v’s 14324P424P7 and several of those 3rd & 4ths were beaten by a long way. Ground should be no issue, neither should stamina. 1pt win @ 13 – 2pt place @ 3.7
-3 / +84.53December 17, 2020 at 09:38 #1514413
Sth 14:15 – Loulin – Fair priced fav, good C&D record and well drawn, should certainly be contesting the finish 2pts Win @ 4.4
Sth 17:45 – Pearl of Qatar – Consistent in form, rarely too far away at the finish, last 2 5th place finishes were not all that far away, and eased a touch in the weights. 2pt win @5.5
-4 / +80.53December 18, 2020 at 15:01 #1514571
Asc 15:00 – Regal Encore – If fit after being pulled up, has a great chance here. Loves this track, and conditions will suit. I have him as short as 5/2 for this so more than happy to take 8 2pt Win
Asc 15:50 – Silvia Eclipse 2pt win @ 8
-4 / -76.53
Not a great run at the moment………..December 25, 2020 at 09:01 #1515087
Wth 13:28 – Demi Sang – Decent chaser, got a bit high in the weights, but last outing over fences finished 2nd in a CL2 race, albeit not the strongest of races, has also placed in a Listed event here, and 10lb lower now than that race. I think 11/1 is generous in an open race. 1pt Win 2 pt place.
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