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AIN13:35 Unowhatimeanharry (an old favourite) and Golan Fortune. harry could have beaten any of these running backwards blindfolded at his peak, if he can find an ounce of that form he can win this 17’s is too long not to have a play. Golan Fortune is also a bit of a chance of catching him right but 8.6 is a good price 1pt win on both, 2pt place on Harry at 4.7
AIN14:10 Royal Village. Certainly not seen at his best yet this season, but very capable Figures left handed on flat tracks read 1/1/6. ground figures 1/2/3 including a Listed event. 25’s far too long not to have a punt 1pt win 2 pts place @ 4.7
KEL12:32 Tontos Spirit. I would say that he has been running in unsuitable races / conditions so far this year and is now of a mark that he can take advantage of here. 2pt win @ 16
There are a few more decent looking handicaps if I get chance tomorrow morning I will have a look at a couple more. Nothing in these 3 I would be over confident about laying so nothing in that thread for tomorrow.
Gee up Harry
Royal Village N/R
+21.4 / +83.9
Been busy the last few days so not had chance to look, having a look for tomorrow though.
13:50 Chelt – Beat the Judge – I would say is good value for this race at 7.0 I have him as 5.3 There are couple of others with chances so 1pt Win just because I think its a value bet. 3rd
15:00 Chelt – Potters Corner – It is easy to see why Easysland is the clear favourite, but 10.0 for the Welsh National winner is too big in what should really be a 3 horse race. 1pt Win @10 – 2pt Place @2.14 3rd
+0.28 / +84.18
14:15 Chelt – Siruh Du Lac – Has gone very well around here, fell in the Plate at the Festival last year running well, goes well fresh, should have every change if at his best 10’s20 is good odds in this I think. 1pt Win _ Unseated.
14:50 Chelt – On The Blind Side – Smart Novice Hurdler, could be well treated switched back to hurdles, I have him as a 2/1 chance in this, so very happy to take 8’s. 2pt Win Nice :) Although 6.79 with reductions.
14:07 Utt – Lillington & Ballymalin. I think both of these are way over priced. Ballymalin’s form going LH on flat courses reads 1P3521 Including 3rd in an 18 runner listed race. Ground and distance will be no problem. Lillington has failed to finish a few races but when completing form going LH flat reads 111113 ground and distance should be fine. Lillington 1pt Win @ 29.0 1pt place. Ballymalin 1pt Win @ 13.5 2pt place @ 3.65.
13:48 Weth – Beau Boy & Bollin Ace. Another 2 that I think are over priced. Both have chances in this field, Bollin Ace fell here LTO which is unusual, Beau Boy hasn’t finished out of the places around here, taking a bit of a chance him being fit though. 1pt Win on both @ 15 and 19 respectively 2pt place on Beau Boy @ 4.
+2.58 / +86.76
15:15 Font – Doing Fine – Not the most inspiring of races, but 6.0 seems a decent price for this horse, who I think has the best form for this race. 1pt Win
-1 / +85.76
14:20 Plumpton – Le Coeur Net – Does well around here record reads 1222P admittedly one of those 2nd places was in a race with only 2 finishers
but also a close second to Defi Sacre now rated 128, ground should also not be a problem I have rated him 2/1 in this race so I will take 4.3 on offer – 2pt win.15:50 Plumpton – Tzar De L’Elfe – Another who goes well around here, record reads 22313 and all in higher class races than this, and all at over 3m although this is a bit further than he’s tackled before. Other than the good wine last time out for the Cyclop, who is now odds on for this, I don’t think there is much to choose between Cyclops and Tzar De L’Elfe, so 6.4 seems very generous – 2pt win.
+3.77 after reductions on Le Coeur Net, Tzar De L’Elfe NR
+89.53
15:50 Southwell – Kraka – I have Pearl Of Qatar as Favourite but think the price should be 6/1 so am not going to play @ 5.5, I do have Kraka as 2nd Fav though and a price of 13/2 so I will take 11.5 – 1pt Win
-1 / +88.53
13:30 Market Rasen – No Comment seems an absolute steal at 16.5, based on his hurdles form he should be the pick of these in a staying hurdle. Hopefully his time over fences won’t have dented his confidence too much. 2pts win at 16.5 2 pts place @ 4.1
Not far from a place will add to my tracker to see what kind of race he is out in next, may come on for that run.
-4 / +84.53
15:17 Ascot – Amoola Gold – Although his latest win in a Listed contest over C&D was only by a SH, this could be his year for coming of age. The veteran Gino Trail is way too big a price to ignore here, his best years are behind him bit if turning up in the right mood could win this. Amoola Gold 2pt win @8 Gino Trail 1pt Win @40 1pt place @7.8 Couldn’t quite get up on the line
15:35 Haydock – Sheneededtherun – Very useful Mare if coming back fit after wind op she could play a very big part in this. I have her at 7.7 so 22 on BF is a definite play for me. 1pt Win @22 2pt place @6 3rd
So close to a great profit today.
Got the place payout though so +5 / +89.53
14:10 Ludlow – Atlantic Storm I have as evens money in this field so 3 is a decent price on BF 2pt win.
-1 / +88.53
13:16 Sedgefield – Chase The Wind. Hard to get too excited about the opportunities in this race, however the top weight could be being underestimated here. OK so far this year he has been pretty bad, but improved on his first run last time, and tumbled in the weights, could run into a place here. Place only 2pts @ 5.5
Nope not underestimated.
-2 / +86.53
13:25 Doncaster – Royal Village has not been at this best but falling in the weights and this could be a good race for him record going left handed reads 11F6, on Good to Soft ground 123. Definitely has ability, drop in weights and change of trainer may help spark a revival? I think its worth a chance at the price. 1pt Win @ 18.5 2 pts place @ 4.4
No spark there! -3 / +83.53
14:42 FFos Las – Kestrel Valley. I have laid teh odds on Fav and instead gone for this one. Proven around here, on this ground, and distance will suit. Last race was a Class 3 over course and distance on soft ground, on the face of it a distant 4th, however the winner ran away with it, the next 4 were within 3 lengths of each other. I thikn he has every chance here. 1pt win @ 12 2pt place @ 2.58
Shame he couldn’t hold on for a place -3 / +80.53
16:35 Kempton – Gold Brocade. Getting ever closer, has a good draw today and I think has the beating of the favourite. Just about value here @5 2pt win
well that was dissapointing
-2 / +78.53
14:55 Haydock – Goobinator – Although favourite I think the price is fair, has a very good chance here should relish the testing conditions. I was torn between him and Minella Charmer who will also love the conditions and goes well fresh. Cases to be made for several in this, could be a really good race. 2pt Win @4.2 Goobinator.
13:30 Ludlow – Midnights Gift – Good start to career over hurdles, then lost way a little bit, seems to have found a bit of mojo again recently good Value @7 2pt Win. I think the first 2 in the betting have a bit to prove here.
-4 / +74.53
Aintree 12:20 – Clan Legend – I think over priced @ 20 on Betfair, I have him at 7 for this, good record in the conditions, and quite an open race. 1pt win @20 2pt place @5.1
Aintree 12:55 – Irish Roe – I can see why the favourite is the favourite but plenty short enough in this, better value is Irish Roe, will have needed the last run, and she has run well in defeat in a number of similar events to this. 1pt win @25 2 pts place @4.2
Aintree 13:30 – Walk In The Mill – Clearly loves these fences won this race twice before, and should be right in there again. Price is exactly what I have, so will play 2pt win @6.4.
+22 / +96.53
but also a close second to Defi Sacre now rated 128, ground should also not be a problem I have rated him 2/1 in this race so I will take 4.3 on offer – 2pt win.
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