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Cheltenham 2021 bets

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  • #1505265
    Autumnal
    Participant
    • Total Posts 311

    National Hunt Chase – Aione 33/1
    RSA Chase – Aione 50/1
    Marsh Novice Chase – Easywork 25/1
    Gold Cup – Allaho 25/1

    To win any race:
    Fury Road 14/1
    Ferny Hollow 8/1
    Wide Receiver 20/1

    #1506744
    Yogi
    Participant
    • Total Posts 38

    Hi all, my first post as a member….

    A friend of mine must get fed up of me constantly stating that I can’t stand the flat, I’m a National Hunt man through and through. So even though its early doors I’ve been going through my notebook, plus watching the highlights from last season and below are a few brief pointers/thoughts on horses I initially fancy at this early -bird stage going into next season……
    Arkle
    Uninspiring choice to start with is SHISHKIN – NAP (available @4/1). This big imposing horse only blipped his copybook by falling first time out over hurdles at Newbury (may have done him some good as learnt from that experience). Blew apart his opposition with an explosive turn of speed leading up the Supreme, where in that race he didn’t have the best passage during the race and still got up to beat ABACADABRAS (who dined at the top table in Ireland and only got beat by ENVOI ALLEN) with 11 lengths back to the third. ABACADABRAS likely to stay over the smaller obstacles and is a player for the Champion Hurdle (Amongst others). Henderson knows how to train (silly statement) a 2-mile chaser as he has had one or two over the years. Nico De Boinville couldn’t hide his enthusiasm when interviewed immediately after the Supreme, gushing at the thought of him going chasing next season. I know 4/1 is short but I can see this being odds-on, come the day.
    Marsh Novice Chase
    Sorry, but yet another shorty, the fore-mentioned – ENVOI ALLEN is a machine who took all before him last year. Elliot clearly wants (and is gradually) stepping this horse up in trip, eventually to make a Gold Cup horse. This year however I can see him staying around the 2 ½ distances for his first season in novice chases. 7/2 still available for those who missed the 6/1 straight after the festival this year.
    Ballymore – Albert Bartlett
    I was all over APPRECIATE IT (16/1) for the Champion Bumper this season only for Mullins to win it with FERNY HOLLOW who had a better change of gear, sitting off the pace then chinning mine on the run in. I’ve watched this race time and time again and APPRECIATE IT is a resolute galloper and will appreciate (pardon the pun) a step up in distance. 14/1 Ballymore and 20/1 Albert Bartlett or around 10/1 to win any race.
    RSA
    MONKFISH is a horse I was lucky enough to spot last year and bet it ante-post for the Albert Bartlett @ 20/1 (Boom). A big raw type who was up with the pace all the way and battled back in a three-way photo. That showed real guts and determination and gave the impression that a fence will bring this horse on further, along with him filling out over the summer will only add to his credentials. There are quotes for the National Hunt chase but I think Rich Richie and Mullins will stick with the RSA. Around 8/1 now and the 14’s have all dried up.
    GOLD CUP
    Already a very hard race on paper but I’m siding with SANTINI. They didn’t go a relentless gallop this year and SANTINI was up there, but when the pace really quickened over the second-last he got tapped for toe only to run on again to be beaten into second, only done a neck. A real old-fashioned chasing type and will be in his prime next season at 9 years old. The old guard should all run again in this race, AL BOUM PHOTO is a cracking horse to have won two Gold cups but I’m putting my money on SANTINI being the improver to reverse the form and overturn the distance of a neck. Tizzard has a cracker with LOSTINTRANSLATION who will have an outstanding chance in this as long as his trainer doesn’t try and run it in too many Grade Ones before this race. DELTA WORK shot his bolt all through last season winning some hard Grade One races along the way. MONALEE I can see dropping back to the Ryanair to make room for the novices coming through, one of which is the same owned, MINELLA INDO – Undoubtably a good novice who’s mistake at the last in the RSA may have cost it a winning chance. The winner that day was CHAMP who although I had ante-post for the RSA I cannot touch with a barge-pole. He jumps like a table – lay, lay, lay. The third that day was ALLAHO, I can see contesting the Ryanair and is worthy of interest if he goes there.
    Mares Novice Hurdle
    Gordon Elliot ran a very lightly raced mare in last seasons Bumper who was only running her second ever race under rules – QUEENS BROOK was sent off 6/1 second fav and she ran a tremendous race in third. A compact mare who is quoted at 12/1 second fav behind GYPSY ISLAND (who has been out injured for a year) for this race. Although a very good mare, I cannot have a horse when they’ve been out for such a long time injured.
    TO WIN ANY RACE
    SAINT ROI (receiving 12lb) won the County with tons in hand and was clearly the handicap snip from this festival from this summer’s jumping sensation ARAMON. Watching the race again SAINT ROI was always travelling sweetly and used an explosive turn of foot after the last to win by 4 ½ lengths, winning it very cosily to say the least. JP owns and Mullins trains and I wouldn’t be surprised to see this going Champion Hurdle route. 20/1 widely available for that but 14/1 to win any race.

    #1506747
    Yogi
    Participant
    • Total Posts 38

    Apologies…..In regards to previous post with my selections (I did write and select these in late July) :good:
    i know some prices incorrect…

    #1506754
    TakeYourTime
    Participant
    • Total Posts 76

    Agree with most of your comments, Yogi :good:

    So far i’ve only dabbled with a couple of low stakes multiples. Abracadabras (Champion Hurdle), Monkfish (RSA) and Fury Road (Stayers Hurdle). £5 returns a little over £8k.

    Also got a speculative £5 each way on Captain Guinness for the Arkle (16/1), Concertista in the Champion Hurdle (33/1), Put The Kettle On in Champion Chase (16/1) and Melon for the Ryanair (16/1). If all were to win, i’ll be close to becoming a millionaire :good:

    #1506762
    Yogi
    Participant
    • Total Posts 38

    “If all were to win, i’ll be close to becoming a millionaire :good:”

    Ha Ha Ha, the times I’ve said that, Good luck and nice to speak via forum TYT

    #1506767
    Venture to Cognac
    Moderator
    • Total Posts 17076

    Welcome to TRF Yogi

    #1506779
    Yogi
    Participant
    • Total Posts 38

    Thank you VTC, I’ve been reading this forum for years now with great interest. Some very smart judges on here with in-depth ante post write ups (your good self included). Looking forward to interacting with my thoughts when I can. Its all about opinions and if we can help each other find a winner or two, that’s all the better.

    #1506845
    FinalFurlong91
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2360

    Aramax already looking like a plot job for a Cheltenham handicap

    #1506866
    Venture to Cognac
    Moderator
    • Total Posts 17076

    Yeah FF, I’d like to see what they do with him next time, but I’d imagine there’s a long term plan there.

    #1506943
    Middle_Of_March
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2725

    The Envoi & Shiskin (Marsh & Arkle) double was around 40/1 on the weekend after Cheltenham and I’ve been backing it weekly since. Around 16s now I believe.

    Saint Roi wins the champion hurdle too.

    #1506945
    Yogi
    Participant
    • Total Posts 38

    Excellent call there Middle of March, I also have multiples which include those 3, amongst others in my post above, lets hope they all get there

    #1507257
    He Didnt Like Ground
    Participant
    • Total Posts 542

    Got a e.w lucky 15 in yesterday so going to play following

    Lucky 15

    Shiskin Arkle , banker …did anyone hear Mick Fitz yesterday about his first sight of him over a fence ….

    Envoi Allen Marsh , I’ve played him already for RSA but this looks more likely

    Abracadbras Champion hurdle , that run on the flat has me worried about Goshen after I’d played him earlier , I reckon
    this fellow is the value now

    Chacun poi soi Champion Chase , I’m worried Henderson may do a sprinter sacre in this with Altior but this fella is a deserved favourite

    Lucky 15 e.w

    Mcfabulous Stayers , missed the bigger prices but this horse is still value

    RSA Commander of fleet …..I admit this is an absolute punt ..but hey you only live once

    National Hunt Chase Mossy Fen , I really think this fella will be in front of Galvin in this , monster of a horse

    GC Lostintranslation , I’ve said before I’ll say again his price for this
    is nuts , ran a monster for a yard in the doldrums last year …yet more than double the price of slow boat santini …. And he does stay

    #1507292
    Nathan Hughes
    Participant
    • Total Posts 22942

    I missed it, what did he say.?

    I did hear him say that he’d like to see West Approach traveling better which I found a bit silly as he was crusing around and if anything lost it on the jumping whereas Froden was pinning every fence

    Member since March 2008
    #1507299
    Istabraq
    Participant
    • Total Posts 294

    he said shiskhin was a sight to behold jumping over fences or something like that

    #1507307
    Nathan Hughes
    Participant
    • Total Posts 22942

    Thanks.
    I’ll take what Mick says with a pinch of salt but that’s positive news nonetheless

    Member since March 2008
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