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2019 National Hunt Chase

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  • #1380404
    Avatar photoVenture to Cognac
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    • Total Posts 15046

    One of my favourite races of The Festival, always a strong line up.

    Blow By Blow is my long term fancy for this, and been chipping away at him for months. A very cosy winner of The Martin Pipe, a performance which suggested that there was plenty more to come. I think the trip is ideal for him, and his debut over fences at Galway was excellent. My main concerns would be a variety of stablemates, as well as the fact that he could easily head for RSA as well, but the “to win any race” market covers that eventuality, and had a fair old swing at that as well. My only big bet of The Festival so far, and I’d be very surprised if I have a bigger one. Strong fancy.

    Delta Work is a horse I see in a similar mound, though I much prefer him for RSA, and I’m hoping that’s where he heads. Smashing horse, who’ll be a player wherever he heads.

    Other obvious Giggs contenders would be Cracking Smart and Champagne Classic. I’ve actually put a few quid on Champagne for The Stayers, but I’d be surprised if he doesn’t go over fences.

    A real dark one from The Elliot yard though, could be Cubomania. I don’t think he immediately screams “4 Miles” but he’s in the market at 25’s, and he should have plenty to offer this year. I had initially bet It’s All Guesswork from the yard, but he may be one for The Ultima or Kim Muir, and I’ve since cashed out at original odds.

    I’ve always liked the idea of White Moon for this, and he could reappear at Cheltenham this week. He could potentially face Cubomania, and it could be a cracker. Very interesting for this, and the yard are flying. 33’s is seriously tempting.

    Understandably, Next Destination is being quoted for this, for last years winning yard, but the ones I really like from the stable areaBrahma Bull at 33’s, and the unquoted Fabulous Saga. Robin Des Foret could be an interesting contender at the same price as Brahma Bull.

    I’ve followed The Worlds End since his early days, and he had a good introduction over fences, while La Bague Au Roi could be another interesting one for the home team. I thought she advertises her claims for this nicely the other day.

    I’ll settle for Blow By Blow just now though, big fancy, and White Moon or Cubomania could be backups by Friday.

    Blow By Blow 25’s

    #1380405
    Avatar photocharlie87
    Participant
    • Total Posts 890

    100% agree VTC and have been backing BBB for this for months. Looks every inch a 4 mile chaser in the making, an opinion I held last year but even more convinced now I’ve seen over fences. Lobs along, does nothing flashy, accurate enough at his fences. Hopefully he stays well

    #1380410
    thewexfordman
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1200

    I’d include up for review as a good staying prospect. Probably looking for something slightly below top class, and a solid jumper.

    #1380416
    greenasgrass
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    • Total Posts 7655

    Up for Review had entries for this and the RSA last year but didn’t go to the festival. He won a beginners chase in March so doesn’t that stop him being a novice before Christmas sometime? I like him for the Ladbrokes and will back him if he goes there- gallops ands stays though am slightly concerned re jumping experience/lack of prep run.

    Robin des Foret is my one for the NH chase at the 2019 festival.

    #1380896
    Avatar photoVenture to Cognac
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    • Total Posts 15046

    I won’t be too concerned if Blow By Blow doesn’t win today, as it’s not absolutely essential for this. It’s a very strong race, miles stronger than his last spin. Stablemate Cubomania, as well as the rest, wont be pushovers.

    Happy with what I saw from White Moon the other day, would surely have won if not for coming down, and happy the 33’s held.

    I think that Ben Dundee and Ibis Du Rheu emerged as serious contenders for this over the weekend. The fact that Theatre Territory could provide Sam Waley-Cohen with the opportunity to ride his own horse in the race, brings her bang into the picture as well.

    #1380922
    Avatar photocharlie87
    Participant
    • Total Posts 890

    Not too worried about Ibis. Needs proper good ground which he won’t get in March and connections may bypass altogether for aintree.

    #1380953
    Cheltenham Novice Chase
    Participant
    • Total Posts 303

    I think Blow by Blow would have won comfortably today had his jumping been better. His jumping was pretty ropey today, particularly when the pace dropped. To lose by a neck, is no big deal with regards to the National Hunt Chase.

    #1380991
    Avatar photoMiddle_Of_March
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    • Total Posts 2833

    I’m also someone on Blow By Blow at 25/1 from last year.

    Not too bothered about being beaten yesterday. It was always going to be on the sharp side for him.

    #1381062
    Avatar photocharlie87
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    • Total Posts 890

    I was quite encouraged by yesterday. He guessed at a few of his fences losing momentum at stages, but overall I was quite happy, especially in how he picked up again towards the line. Don’t mind seeing novice like mistakes this side of Xmas and he will learn with each run. Loads of quality horses have not won the Florida Pearl and gone on to win at Cheltenham and Gordon does very well in this race having won 3 of the last 8 (Chicago Grey, Causes of Causes, Tiger Roll). It’s of note that BBB is available with multiple firms at 40’s for the RSA and 20’s for this.

    #1388302
    atthepost
    Participant
    • Total Posts 238

    I’ve backed ballyward at 33s. Run a good race in the AB. Hope PM gets the leg up. Good luck all

    #1389762
    Mike007
    Participant
    • Total Posts 7792

    Another one here for Ballyward.

    #1390068
    Avatar photoMarkTT
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    • Total Posts 2938

    Cobden is two from two on White Moon. Three different jockeys since, two over fences.

    Out of all the top trainers, Tizzard and Pipe baffles me the most. Must be a Devon / Dorset thing

    #1390126
    Avatar photoVenture to Cognac
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    • Total Posts 15046

    If he does go this route Mark, then I hope they make early arrangements for one of the better jocks.

    I think he’s flexible as regards races, so only a small amount on him so far anyway, but I could easily see me starting a book on this.

    Blow By Blow will remain my #1 for this, and still think he’ll head here. My enthusiasm hasn’t waned at all, despite that poor run last time.

    As I said though, could easily do a book in this, and there’s a few catching my eye in The Ballymaloe Chase at Leapordstown as well…

    Glenloe 25’s
    Pallasator 33’s

    are of serious interest for Cheltenham at those prices, and I’d have them as shortlist material for this target, while

    Any Second Now
    Champagne Classic
    Minellafordollars

    could easily head here at Cheltenham as well. That’s without mentioning the Mullins brigade who could also head for The Ballymoe Chase.

    Potentially one of the best Novice Chases of the season so far in Ireland, and I’d love to see a few of them confirmed.

    Pallasator in particular looks ideal for the “win any race” market.

    #1390156
    Avatar photoKevMc
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    • Total Posts 1326

    GE has mentioned both of those as likely 4 miler hopes, VTC.

    Glenloe especially, would be one i’d be interested in.
    Form with Delta Work looks very strong and he wasn’t exactly stopping over the 3.

    #1390255
    Avatar photoVenture to Cognac
    Moderator
    • Total Posts 15046

    Smashing Kev, that’s good news.

    I suppose Glenloe would be the more obvious of the pair, but he’s still a fair price. Pallasator is 20’s for “any race” as well, which is seriously tempting as well.

    Thanks for that info mate.

    #1390728
    Mike007
    Participant
    • Total Posts 7792

    I’ve joined the Blow By Blow club. Liking the campaign of grade 1s over shorter trips.

    #1390843
    Mike007
    Participant
    • Total Posts 7792

    Ballyward runs tomorrow in the 12.15. With the Mullins horses of late wouldn’t be surprised if he came on for it.

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