November 12, 2018 at 20:09 #1380404
One of my favourite races of The Festival, always a strong line up.
Blow By Blow is my long term fancy for this, and been chipping away at him for months. A very cosy winner of The Martin Pipe, a performance which suggested that there was plenty more to come. I think the trip is ideal for him, and his debut over fences at Galway was excellent. My main concerns would be a variety of stablemates, as well as the fact that he could easily head for RSA as well, but the “to win any race” market covers that eventuality, and had a fair old swing at that as well. My only big bet of The Festival so far, and I’d be very surprised if I have a bigger one. Strong fancy.
Delta Work is a horse I see in a similar mound, though I much prefer him for RSA, and I’m hoping that’s where he heads. Smashing horse, who’ll be a player wherever he heads.
Other obvious Giggs contenders would be Cracking Smart and Champagne Classic. I’ve actually put a few quid on Champagne for The Stayers, but I’d be surprised if he doesn’t go over fences.
A real dark one from The Elliot yard though, could be Cubomania. I don’t think he immediately screams “4 Miles” but he’s in the market at 25’s, and he should have plenty to offer this year. I had initially bet It’s All Guesswork from the yard, but he may be one for The Ultima or Kim Muir, and I’ve since cashed out at original odds.
I’ve always liked the idea of White Moon for this, and he could reappear at Cheltenham this week. He could potentially face Cubomania, and it could be a cracker. Very interesting for this, and the yard are flying. 33’s is seriously tempting.
Understandably, Next Destination is being quoted for this, for last years winning yard, but the ones I really like from the stable areaBrahma Bull at 33’s, and the unquoted Fabulous Saga. Robin Des Foret could be an interesting contender at the same price as Brahma Bull.
I’ve followed The Worlds End since his early days, and he had a good introduction over fences, while La Bague Au Roi could be another interesting one for the home team. I thought she advertises her claims for this nicely the other day.
I’ll settle for Blow By Blow just now though, big fancy, and White Moon or Cubomania could be backups by Friday.
Blow By Blow 25’sNovember 12, 2018 at 20:39 #1380405
100% agree VTC and have been backing BBB for this for months. Looks every inch a 4 mile chaser in the making, an opinion I held last year but even more convinced now I’ve seen over fences. Lobs along, does nothing flashy, accurate enough at his fences. Hopefully he stays wellNovember 12, 2018 at 21:26 #1380410
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I’d include up for review as a good staying prospect. Probably looking for something slightly below top class, and a solid jumper.November 12, 2018 at 22:19 #1380416
- Total Posts 1626
Up for Review had entries for this and the RSA last year but didn’t go to the festival. He won a beginners chase in March so doesn’t that stop him being a novice before Christmas sometime? I like him for the Ladbrokes and will back him if he goes there- gallops ands stays though am slightly concerned re jumping experience/lack of prep run.
Robin des Foret is my one for the NH chase at the 2019 festival.November 18, 2018 at 11:26 #1380896
I won’t be too concerned if Blow By Blow doesn’t win today, as it’s not absolutely essential for this. It’s a very strong race, miles stronger than his last spin. Stablemate Cubomania, as well as the rest, wont be pushovers.
Happy with what I saw from White Moon the other day, would surely have won if not for coming down, and happy the 33’s held.
I think that Ben Dundee and Ibis Du Rheu emerged as serious contenders for this over the weekend. The fact that Theatre Territory could provide Sam Waley-Cohen with the opportunity to ride his own horse in the race, brings her bang into the picture as well.November 18, 2018 at 13:36 #1380922
Not too worried about Ibis. Needs proper good ground which he won’t get in March and connections may bypass altogether for aintree.November 18, 2018 at 15:22 #1380953
Cheltenham Novice ChaseParticipant
- Total Posts 239
I think Blow by Blow would have won comfortably today had his jumping been better. His jumping was pretty ropey today, particularly when the pace dropped. To lose by a neck, is no big deal with regards to the National Hunt Chase.November 19, 2018 at 06:05 #1380991
- Total Posts 2153
I’m also someone on Blow By Blow at 25/1 from last year.
Not too bothered about being beaten yesterday. It was always going to be on the sharp side for him.November 19, 2018 at 15:45 #1381062
I was quite encouraged by yesterday. He guessed at a few of his fences losing momentum at stages, but overall I was quite happy, especially in how he picked up again towards the line. Don’t mind seeing novice like mistakes this side of Xmas and he will learn with each run. Loads of quality horses have not won the Florida Pearl and gone on to win at Cheltenham and Gordon does very well in this race having won 3 of the last 8 (Chicago Grey, Causes of Causes, Tiger Roll). It’s of note that BBB is available with multiple firms at 40’s for the RSA and 20’s for this.December 6, 2018 at 21:50 #1388283
Still happy with Blow By Blow, and he’s still my #1, but I had to add White Moon here at 33’s.
Like BBB, I won’t be too concerned if he doesn’t win every race in the build up, but still hoping for a big run tomorrow at Exeter.
Not quite the proper long term fancy that BBB is for this, but I have had this in mind for him for a good while now. Also added him at 20’s to win any race, as he could have a few options, but I do think he should head here.
White Moon 33’s EWDecember 7, 2018 at 04:56 #1388302
- Total Posts 190
I’ve backed ballyward at 33s. Run a good race in the AB. Hope PM gets the leg up. Good luck allDecember 20, 2018 at 10:40 #1389762
- Total Posts 701
Another one here for Ballyward.December 23, 2018 at 10:16 #1390068
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Cobden is two from two on White Moon. Three different jockeys since, two over fences.
Out of all the top trainers, Tizzard and Pipe baffles me the most. Must be a Devon / Dorset thingDecember 23, 2018 at 23:28 #1390126
If he does go this route Mark, then I hope they make early arrangements for one of the better jocks.
I think he’s flexible as regards races, so only a small amount on him so far anyway, but I could easily see me starting a book on this.
Blow By Blow will remain my #1 for this, and still think he’ll head here. My enthusiasm hasn’t waned at all, despite that poor run last time.
As I said though, could easily do a book in this, and there’s a few catching my eye in The Ballymaloe Chase at Leapordstown as well…
are of serious interest for Cheltenham at those prices, and I’d have them as shortlist material for this target, while
Any Second Now
could easily head here at Cheltenham as well. That’s without mentioning the Mullins brigade who could also head for The Ballymoe Chase.
Potentially one of the best Novice Chases of the season so far in Ireland, and I’d love to see a few of them confirmed.
Pallasator in particular looks ideal for the “win any race” market.December 24, 2018 at 13:35 #1390156
- Total Posts 729
GE has mentioned both of those as likely 4 miler hopes, VTC.
Glenloe especially, would be one i’d be interested in.
Form with Delta Work looks very strong and he wasn’t exactly stopping over the 3.
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