2019 Gold Cup

Good answer on The RSA

Congratulations Peter and welcome to the winners enclosure.

The season started off at sunny sandown
Odds on favourite Terrefort
They all stated he couldn’t be caught
Left 50 lengths behind with the form figure nought
A 2018 festival winner ran in that race
Yet 6 minutes 27 seconds later Coo Star was put in his place
Thomas Patrick was 3 wins from 4 and they all thought he was going to win
But by the time of the line he was dumped in the bin

So they all said after the race that the result was a fluke
So the team went to Newbury to witness the nuke

The ladbrokes trophy such a famous race
The legendary great one close up with the pace
But the run came to soon and as Harry was getting ready to pounce
Disaster had struck and EE was on the bounce
A fantastic run all the same
My confidence now grown this is the best in the game
Spreadeagled the rest carrying all that weight
The signs had now appeared that he is ready to become a great

Next up we went to the Welsh Grand National
Victory here or else I look irrational
The legend lined up and looked sublime
Carrying 11 stone 8 he went for the line
Victory was ours it was Elegant Time

One of the great weight carrying performances that chase fans ever did see

But whatever happened to the one paced plodding tree?

A 4 times gold cup winner
A bar named after him
A Statue at cheltenham
A race named after him
And his own tv show ensured his status is Eternally LEGENDARY

THIS IS THE LEGEND
ELEGANT ESCAPE
GREATEST RACEHORSE OF ALL TIME

I think the theory is that any upper respiratory obstruction- like a soft palate flopping about over the entrance to the larynx- narrows the diameter of the airway and thus the horse needs to generate more negative pressure, ie a stronger vacuum, to suck air in (try it yourself by pinching your nose then breathing through a wide straw then a narrow straw- an extreme example but you get the point)

This strong vacuum has to start down in the lungs themselves…so the big negative “sucking” pressure within the alveoli (lung air spaces) at exercise, combined with the increased blood pressure in the fine, thin walled capillaries round these air spaces, results in the bleeding into the air spaces.

This explains it better
thehorse.com/16537/eiph-exercise-induced-pulmonary-hemorrhage/

An analogy for the increased negative pressure causing bleeding would be love bites….if the skin on teenage girls’ necks was as thin as the wall of lung aveoli, adolescent trips to the cinema would be horrific

Given the Gold Cup can really take it out of a horse the season after, there must be a chance some of the contenders from last year are very much worth taking on. The ground last year perhaps makes this even more important. I wonder whether the horses with a nice soft campaign this year will benefit like Native River did last year?

Might Bite is already looking goosed.

Native River has run below par slightly this year, probably under not perfect conditions both times, so he’s hard to place with certainty under this rule, but at his price it’s worth considering.

Anibale Fly, could fall under this category, but running in a GC + GN last season surely will test his longevity?

Road To Respect- given his owners are giggy, he was unlikely to be allowed to have a short campagign.

Presenting Percy fits this theory nicely, and his novice form isn’t bad- 4s is short and would put me off him for now.

Clan Des Obeaux having won KG is a big contender, and is very young- he had a light campaign last year, due to a layoff.

I haven’t quite put my finger on what i like yet, but this might be a theory i’ll follow.

No chance joe, he will never be stepped up to 3m+ cant one week say hes more likely to run in the kings stand then the following week say he might go for it next year, he never will and he never should, its just short sighted gold cup addicts that believe everything needs stepped up to it or it was a waste… not to mention 1 gruelling tilt at the gold cup and it could finish him forever, whats to gain from this?

Wish everyone would leave him be at 2m and stop with the fascination of this need for the gold cup, let him be the king at 2m until he isnt…

Twitter says Oddschecker reporting a flurry of bets on Altior for the Gold Cup

I think it’s more to do with the people taking a chance NRNB…Unibet are 66s which tells us all we need to know!

I see the new marks for some key horses after Christmas period are:

Bristol de Mai – 174
Native River – 173
Clan Des Obeaux – 173
Thistlecrack – 170
Might Bite – 169
Politilogue – 168

In the Irish comparison:

Road to Respect – 169
Bellshill – 168
Kemboy – 167
Al Boum Photo – 164
Monalee – 161
Outlander – 159
Total Recall – 156

I know it’s unlikely that any of these horses will run in handicaps, it is still an indication of the disparity between handicap systems Is it any wonder that British horses end up so poorly handicapped by the time the big festivals come around? Either the Irish handicappers are too low or the British are too high. The performances of Kemboy or Al Boum photo are easily enough to be higher rated than Politilogue, but if they were to meet in a Handicap over 3miles Politilogue would have to concede weight to both.
The other ridiculous thing is total Recall has just been beaten by 6.5 lengths getting ten pounds from ABP, yet the handicapper now only has 8 pounds between their mark. Baffling

Potato I would be quite confident that if Elegant escape were to race outlander off level weights that EE would win. Should be higher than 159

and I wold be confident that Elegamt Escape would beat each and every one of those horses in the list off level weights.

On March 15th they will all find out if I was correct.

The team have predicted sensational scenes