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He Didnt Like Ground.
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- January 26, 2019 at 16:13 #1393832
Nail in the coffin time for EE Potato. Admit defeat, cash out if you can and move on.
January 26, 2019 at 16:40 #1393838To be fair on Elegant Escape he was staying on well at the finish. An extra furlong and a little more cut under foot would still make him a live outsider with place possibilities at least. I wouldn’t give up the ghost just yet.
January 26, 2019 at 17:13 #1393851Safe to say the greatest chaser of all time is on the back burner now. Saying that, if you were on EW at big prices you would be quite happy with that on reflection. Must of been a personal best from him today and not out the question to see him run into a place if turning up
January 26, 2019 at 17:24 #1393854Hopefully everythings ok with Potato.
EE is a boat and struggled to overcome a horse paddling at the finish.
Decent horse, probably could run similar to Minella Rocco in the GC when he finished 2nd, but i’d be shocked if he’s every good enough.
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!January 26, 2019 at 17:50 #1393865EE looked disinclined to go with the others when they got racing and received a couple of stern cracks behind the saddle after the third last, to which he didn’t really respond much. OK he was able to run on up the hill as his stamina kicked in but I thought Terrefort showed a better attitude despite finishing behind him.
January 26, 2019 at 18:17 #1393869If it came up deep ground there’s nothing I’d want to know bar Elegant Escape. He must have a proper engine to finish so close today after being outpaced more than once and throwing in some sketchy jumps. It was a fine finish for him under the circumstances. He is dead honest, full of courage and a thoroughly admirable steeplechaser.
I mentioned on the Cotswold thread that I thought something went wrong for him close home. He’d made up 6 lengths from the last, most of it in the final 150 yards. When he reached Frodon’s quarters his run stopped and I’d bet Frodon took his ground at that point. I’m not saying he’d have won but it might have been a neck or a head. He is a very good horse and getting better with every run. Even on decent ground in March, if they go mad up front – Frodon, Bristol De Mai, Native River, Coneygree, he could easily pick up the pieces. There’ll be many worse festival bets, although I think that with ordinary luck he’d win a Grand National by a furlong.
Having seen that today, which of the first two would you back in the Gold Cup? Bear in mind that because of rail movements today, the Gold Cup will be just 83 yards farther.
January 26, 2019 at 18:22 #1393870Having seen that today, which of the first two would you back in the Gold Cup? Bear in mind that because of rail movements today, the Gold Cup will be just 83 yards farther.
Have seen some say Frodon possibly idled- for me he had no gas left. So EE would be better over slightly further than Frodon. Considering in my opinion, Frodon isn’t a 3m1 horse the fact EE couldn’t actually beat him is a negative.
EE could, as i said above run like a MRocco did and finish in the money running on at the finish. I doubt he has the class or the tactical pace in parts of the race to actually win it. Unless it turned up the heaviest GC in history. Even then his stablemate would have stronger claims of winning 2 GCs.
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!January 26, 2019 at 19:26 #1393877I doubt tactical pace is important in races beyond 20f, Jack. GC history is riddled with horses coming from impossible positions to finish in the money, many of them without the class or progressive profile of Elegant Escape.
January 26, 2019 at 21:12 #139388333/1 pre race that’s all gone post race and as short as 14/1 in places.
The stop start pace was against EE and he is a big beast who needs a fast pace to get into a consistent jumping rhythm.
Native River will front run and ensure the gold cup is ran at one simple pace ie flat out all the way. That’s what a gold cup is about.
Todays run probably came too soon after the welsh natinal but with 50 days to get this horse ready and a1 and in the condition of his life then the gold cup remains his to lose.Will jump like a stag off the gc pace and when they collapse up front he will run past all of them up the hill.
FAR FROM BEING OVER
THE GOLD CUP IS VERY MUCH ONABSOLUTE BEAST OF A HORSE WHO NEVER SAYS DIE
SINGLE FIGURES ON THE DAY FOR THE GOLD CUP. IM SAYING 8/1
WILL BOLT UP IN THE GOLD CUP
ABSOLUTELY NO DOUBTS
January 26, 2019 at 21:40 #1393887The legend really showed us the signs of a champion today.
Despite nothing going right for him, the changing pace destroying his jumping rhythm and really making it almost impossible to win today.
This horse was beaten he had terrefprt, Alyson Monterg and Frodon well ahead of him and he was struggling today.
He has the spirit of a champion though and doesnt understand the word defeat, he kept fighting and almost won despite how the race was run.
This is a champion alright, make no mistake about that.
January 26, 2019 at 23:31 #1393890So Spud, you’ve basically just admitted that everything has to go absolutely perfectly for this horse to have any chance at all. Great horses don’t need perfect conditions
January 26, 2019 at 23:38 #1393892I doubt tactical pace is important in races beyond 20f, Jack. GC history is riddled with horses coming from impossible positions to finish in the money,
I did say above i think he could well place like MRocco did….I don’t think he’s good enough to win unless he meets the extreme conditions i said as well.
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!January 27, 2019 at 09:09 #1393935No horse in the last 18 years has won a Gold Cup without winning a grade 1 chase. More good news for us Percy fans bad news for EE fans.
January 27, 2019 at 12:36 #1393941Mike I have already told you on this thread that you use ‘stats’ to prove how Elegant Escape cant win yet you have backed one of the statistically worst looking gold cup horses of all time。
You are what is known as a walking talking contradiction.
Stats are for pratt’s. Any stat.or trend can and will be broken.
January 27, 2019 at 13:56 #1393947I’m really starting to wish you had stayed true to your word Potato and never posted again after EE didn’t win the RSA. You call Mike contradictory and use phrases like ‘stats are for prats’ when you have said:
In the last 25 years 3 horses have won the welsh grand national carrying 11 stone plus/rated 150 plus and raced in the cheltenham gold cup.
All 3 WON the cheltenham gold cup.
This is a devastating fact that should send chills down the spine of anybody who has backed any other horse who’s name is not Elegant Escape for this race.
So happy using stats when it suits you, but not when others make them? That is as contradictory as it gets. Your non stop childish antics (which were initially amusing) have basically hijacked this thread and completely diluted what otherwise made for a good read
January 27, 2019 at 14:22 #1393949I don’t think we learnt anything about Elegant Escape yesterday that we didn’t already we know. We know he is laden with stamina. We know it’s likely he will get outpaced at some stage in a race. I thought he made at least a couple of jumping errors when getting in too close, so there’s definitely room for improvement if he can iron out those errors. The problem is he will come up against better horses in the Gold Cup than those he raced against yesterday. If it’s very soft or heavy he has a real chance but this doesn’t look likely at this stage given the fair weather we’ve had.
January 27, 2019 at 14:47 #1393955CNC even if it came up soft or heavy I think Native River is the better horse anyway.
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