Home › Forums › Big Races – Discussion › 2000 Guineas 2019
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May 4, 2019 at 09:20 #1430933
Not a race I’ve had great success with in recent times. Some of the principles not having raced this season doesn’t help from my point of view. That said my selection is ADVERTISE, solid form through Too Darn Hot last season and if he had ‘A O’Brien’ after his name instead of ‘M Meade’ he would be vying for favouritism. Might just be the one getting in a bit under the radar here.
May 4, 2019 at 09:28 #1430937Coolmore not running pacemakers is for me a sign that they don’t rate Magna Grecia enough. If they thought he would win, why would they not copy the tactics of the VF Trophy Stakes? Doesn’t make sense to me. (Remembering his 114 RPR rating in that is comfortably the worst winning rating in the last 10 runnings) It also maybe gives Ten Sovereigns hopes a positive boost as perhaps they think that he will settle with no problems under Ryan Moore, GT. Now there is much more chance of a muddling/tactical pace, which suits TS obviously, but definitely not MG.
Magna Grecia stays 8F as proven in the VFT Stakes, but for me he isn’t good enough to win a normal 2000 guineas 8F. Normal being the word however, as this might not be a normal 2000 Guineas, hence my saver on him. But Coolmore have given me no confidence in him at all now.
It might not be the sexiest 2000 Guineas, but it is such an intriguing one this year, with the chances in it and with how its going to be run, I can’t wait for it!
The more I think about it, the more I think Al Hilalee has been brought in to help the pace. Racing Post this morning also suggests Dark Vision could be the sacrificial lamb, but as you say GT, if he doesn’t get away then they can forget that.
So Al Hilalee, bred for the derby, being used a Derby trial, will I’m sure be leading or very prominent as Masar was last year and also to help the chances of Royal Marine I guess and try and run the race out of Ten Sovereigns.
A fascinating tactical battle! I’m still very very hopeful on Madhmoon, very happy with the 20s, got bags on and hoping for a big run!
Good luck everyone!
May 4, 2019 at 11:52 #1431086Magna Grecia ew 4 places, and Skardu 25s ew antepost for me.
Good luck with your picks.
May 4, 2019 at 12:00 #1431088I think there are doubts about the O’Brien pair being good enough but Magna Grecia has the form in the book to win a Guineas and a pacemaker is unnecessary here –
large field, TS has won over 6 and MG is proven over the trip; they should be covered if either is good enough.May 4, 2019 at 12:35 #1431095I will add a couple more to my Ante-post on Advertise at 18s.
Great Scot – 28s
Momkin -50sMomkin could be the dark horse on the race, probably wins the craven with a clear run and this not being the strongest field we’ve seen in recent years could mean that an underdog wins it.
I also want to have an each way on Emaaraty Ana at 66s (6 places on BET365).
May 4, 2019 at 14:15 #1431135Heavy rain at newmarket at the moment
But blue skies on the way
May 4, 2019 at 14:15 #1431136Magna Grecia looks a huge threat, as does Advertise and Madhmoon, but I will just stay loyal to Ten Sovereigns.
May 4, 2019 at 14:34 #1431142At the moment, and with Jash not taking his chance, I have all my eggs in the one
basket with Kick On, who I put up earlier on the thread at 40/1. I don’t think there
is a “monster” in the field this year, and it wouldn’t surprise me if one or two
of the would be “also rans” get into the places with 5 places being on offer. I’ve
taken a chance that King Of Change at 100/1 might just squeeze
in. On what he’s achieved he shouldn’t be in a Guineas to be honest, but he did look
to have improved a decent bit on his run this year at Nottingham and won it in a fast
time. I’d settle for 5th, and I think at the odds it’s worth a touch E/W.May 4, 2019 at 14:40 #1431144I’d just really like a non Coolmore horse to win it; I just get bored year in year out [sorry; got out of bed the wrong way today…].
May 4, 2019 at 15:33 #1431157Massive plunge on al Hilalee massive drift on royal marine
May 4, 2019 at 15:41 #1431161Get in 1st and 3rd!
Skardu for the notebook. Wrong side.
May 4, 2019 at 15:42 #1431162Meh.
they got fooled.
May 4, 2019 at 15:47 #1431163with 5 places being on offer. I’ve taken a chance that King Of Change at 100/1 might just squeeze
in.Nice priced 100/1 place BigG.
Value Is EverythingMay 4, 2019 at 15:50 #14311652000 Guineas day and once again Ryan Moore sacrificed by Coolmore. Last year went to USA in order to ride a much less likely Kentucky Derby horse. This term rides the very doubtful stayer, a doubtful stayer who needs the greater jockeyship/jockey (might pull his chance away)… All in order to maximise the combined chance of team Coolmore.
How long is the so called “number 1 jockey” going to put up with being deliberately put on horses with less chance of winning?…
…When doing so just so happens to put the trainer’s son on the horse with the best chance of winning.
Nepotism?
Value Is EverythingMay 4, 2019 at 15:51 #1431166Cheers Ginger, I’m happy to settle for that, and it was boosted to 117/1 by Willie Hills
May 4, 2019 at 16:05 #1431169Horse with the best form at the distance and with pace on his side of the draw
Sometimes it’s that simple.
Advertise – trainer’s horses aren’t running well
Al Hilalee -seemed to hate the Rowley Mile and the dipWell done those in profit !
May 4, 2019 at 16:06 #1431171Well done winners
Could pick the winner miles out
Mainly because nothing bar the 3 on the rail got into the race, they got the slip on the rest of the field
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