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shmeeko69

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Viewing 17 posts - 171 through 187 (of 210 total)
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  • in reply to: daily bets #256223
    Avatar photoshmeeko69
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    • Total Posts 237

    Today’s win & place selection.

    14:50 UTTOXETER CLASS5 2M GOOD

    GAELIC PRINCE BACK 10.0 E/WAY 2.98

    I think 10.0 to back & 2.98 e/way represents good value
    for this horse.

    Mark :mrgreen:

    in reply to: daily bets #255982
    Avatar photoshmeeko69
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    • Total Posts 237

    Todays win & place selection. Remember to only
    risk 5% of your Betfair/Bookie bank.

    LINGFIELD 14:40 CLASS1 (LISTED) 1M STD

    GREENISLAND 9.4 BACK / 2.84 E/WAY

    I think this represents good value as the trainer’s
    recent record & 3yo overall e/way record is excellent.

    Mark :clap:

    in reply to: daily bets #255640
    Avatar photoshmeeko69
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    • Total Posts 237

    Today’s win & place selection.

    YARMOUTH 13:40 CLASS5 7F GOOD

    LILEO 16.O BACK / 3.7 E/WAY

    Win/E/way adv. Trainer 2yo e/way record
    Trainer & Jockey comb.
    Pedigree

    Win E/way dis. Unknown quantity
    Trainer course record

    Mark :D

    in reply to: daily bets #254776
    Avatar photoshmeeko69
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    • Total Posts 237

    Todays selection ……….

    BRIGHTON 7F NURSERY CLASS5 GOOD

    TRANSFIXED 9.2 BACK

    Win adv. – Ground
    Distance
    Class
    Course Characteristics

    Win Disad. – Jockey booking
    Weight

    Quite a good value bet of 9.2 to back & 3.05 e/way

    Mark :D

    in reply to: daily bets #254588
    Avatar photoshmeeko69
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    • Total Posts 237

    Today’s win only selection. Remember to risk only 5% of your
    Betfair/Bookie account.

    SOUTHWELL (AW) 4:10 CLASS 6 MDN STKS 1M

    SEVERIO 6.8 BACK

    Win advant. – Class
    Distance
    Weight

    Win Disadv. – Trainer Record
    Surface
    Jockey Recent Win Record

    I think the race will be between R.M. Becketts horse
    Bennelong ridden & Severio. So I think there’s a bit
    of value with third favourite – Severio at 6.8 to Back

    Mark :D

    in reply to: Backing Selection #249682
    Avatar photoshmeeko69
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    • Total Posts 237

    My selection for today is a handicap. Remember only to risk
    5% of your Betfair/bookie account.

    2:50 FOLKESTONE CLASS5 H’CAP 5F GF

    CHANDIKA 2.28 E/WAY (3 PLACES)

    E/Way adv. – Course Characteristcs
    Trainer Recent Form
    Ground Conditions

    E/way disadv. – Weight

    Not the most original selection, but I think this horse represents
    decent value at 6.6 to back & 2.28 e/way.

    Mark :)

    in reply to: Backing Selection #249554
    Avatar photoshmeeko69
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    • Total Posts 237

    Todays selection is a h’cap race. Remember to only risk
    5% of your Betfair/bookie account.

    HAMILTON 15:40 CLASS5 H’CAP 1M 1F GOOD

    TRANSMISSION 3.5 E/WAY (4 PLACES)

    E/way Adv. – Trainer Recent Form
    Course Characteristics

    E/way Disadv. – Class ?
    Ground Conditions

    Don’t think the horse will win the race, but 17.0
    to back & 3.5 e/way represents decent value.

    Mark :)

    in reply to: Backing Selection #248956
    Avatar photoshmeeko69
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    • Total Posts 237

    Today selection once again a Maiden race. Remember to only
    risk 5% of your Betfair/bookie account.

    YARMOUTH 2:10 CLASS4 MDN 6F GF

    COJO 2.58 E/WAY (3 PLACES)

    E/Way Advantages – Pedigree :)
    Trainer Recent Form

    E/way Disadvantages – Unknown Quantity

    I expect the race to be conested between the top four in
    the market – Alice Alleyne,Dylanesque,Tia Juana & Cojo.
    I think the selected horse offers decent value at 2.58 e/way
    11.0 to back.

    Mark :)

    in reply to: Backing Selection #248833
    Avatar photoshmeeko69
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    • Total Posts 237

    Difficult to find a selection with the poor racing cards today,
    but this horse offers some e/way value.

    3:40 REDCAR CLASS5 H’CAP 1M 6F GF

    BOLLIN JUDITH 2.88 E/WAY (3 PLACES)

    E/way Advantages – Weight
    Distance
    Ground Conditions

    E/way Disadvantages – Trainer Overall E/way Record
    Class ?

    Whilst I expect Veiled & Twist Again to fight it out,
    I think Bollin Judith offers good value at 10 to back & 2.88 e/way.

    Mark :)

    in reply to: My Laying Method ……. #248778
    Avatar photoshmeeko69
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    • Total Posts 237

    I also forgot to mention when using this methodology, the
    lay odds on Betfair must be between 1.7 & 4.5 & our
    liability is always 5%.

    Example of £1000 start bank

    (i) £1000 bank – liability £50, if we win

    £1050 bank for next bet – liability = £52.50

    (ii) £1000 bank – liability £50, if we lose

    £950 bank – for next bet – liability = £47.50

    Cheers

    Mark :D

    in reply to: Backing Selection #248309
    Avatar photoshmeeko69
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    • Total Posts 237

    Not the most exciting selection ever, but here’s todays e/way bet.
    Remember only to risk 5% of your Betfair/bookie account.

    4:35 SANDOWN CLASS4 H’CAP 1M GF

    TRULY ASIA 2.28 E/WAY (3 PLACES)

    E/way Advantages – Distance
    Ground Conditions
    Trainer 3yo e/way %

    E/way Disadvantages – Course Characteristics ?

    Just about a value bet at 7.0 to back & 2.28 e/way & with
    Jimmy Fortune in the saddle, has a fair chance.

    Mark :D

    in reply to: Backing Selection #248158
    Avatar photoshmeeko69
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    • Total Posts 237

    Todays e/way selection bet. Remember to only risk 5% of your Betfair/
    bookie account.

    DONCASTER 16:20 2YO H’CAP NURSERY CLASS2 6F GF

    WATER BISCUIT 2.62 E/WAY (4 PLACES)

    E/way Advantages – Class
    Distance
    Trainer 2yo e/way %

    E/way Disadvantages – Trainer Course Record
    Course Characteristics

    I think this horse will be up there with R.Hannon’s horses & has an even
    money chance with four places. So at back odds of 9.4 & e/way odds
    of 2.62, think it represents a value bet.

    Mark :D

    in reply to: Backing Selection #248157
    Avatar photoshmeeko69
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    • Total Posts 237

    There’s no subsitute for stewing on the racing post &
    looking at all the possibilities.

    Complacency is a disease.

    Mark :)

    in reply to: Backing Selection #248028
    Avatar photoshmeeko69
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    • Total Posts 237

    Bit of a struggle to find anthying appealing today. Anyway
    today’s e/way handicap bet. Remember to only risk 5% of
    your Betfair/bookie account.

    EPSOM 17:00 CLASS4 H’CAP 7F GF/GOOD

    BELLE DES AIRS 2.44 E/WAY (3 PLACES)

    E/way advantages – Distance
    Class
    Trainer Recent Form
    Course 3yo Form

    E/way Disadvantages – Ground Conditions

    Whilst I expect Hi Shinko & Desert Falls to fight it out, I think our
    horse has a good ech way chance & represents reasonable value at
    8.2 back & 2.44 e/way.

    Mark :D

    in reply to: Backing Selection #247886
    Avatar photoshmeeko69
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    • Total Posts 237

    Thanks for your kind words Silkyu9.

    As i mentioned on my analysis, that Richard Fahey
    has a 38% e/way for 4yo+ & a 36% win rate for Hurdles
    at Sedgefield & therefore thought it offered good value.

    I never blindly follow the money, as it’s the quickest way
    to the poor house.

    Mark :mrgreen:

    in reply to: Backing Selection #247862
    Avatar photoshmeeko69
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    • Total Posts 237

    My e/way selection for today is once again a Maiden Race.
    Remember to only risk 5% of your Betfair/bookie account.

    1:50 SEDGEFIELD CLASS4 MDN HURDLE 2M 1F

    MESBAAH 4.5 E/WAY (3 PLACES)

    E/way Advantages – Trainer Hurdle % e/way
    Trainer Course Record

    E/way Disadavntages – Unknown Over Hurdles
    Flat Form

    Whilst I expect Mcmurdo Sound with A P McCoy on board &
    Timocracy to fight it out, I think Mesbaah might have an e/way
    chance & is good value at 4.5 e/way or 27 to back.

    Mark :)

    in reply to: Backing Selection #247730
    Avatar photoshmeeko69
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    • Total Posts 237

    Today’s each way is a bit of a punt & once again
    it’s a Maiden race ! Remember to only risk 5% of
    your Betfair/bookie account.

    2:30 NEWCASTLE CLASS5 6F GS

    KELLYS EYE 5.7 E/WAY (3 PLACES)

    E/way Advantages – Trainer 2yo e/way %
    Good Pedigree

    E/way Disadvantages – Unknown Quantity

    Whilst I expect the race to be contested between Aalsmeer &
    Love Delta, I expect a challenge from Namecheck & our horse
    Kellys Eye & at 5.7 e/way 45.0 to win, I think represent’s a
    value bet.

    Mark :)

Viewing 17 posts - 171 through 187 (of 210 total)