July 22, 2009 at 21:03 #12137
My methodology consists of laying horses only in handicap race.
The rules are :-
8 or more runners
lay odds between 1.8 – 4.5 (Betfair)
Check horses form with Racing Post (£7.50 p/m for extensive details)
There has to be 2 other horses with odds of 10.0 or less
Place bet between 10min. & 1/2 hour before the off
5% max. liability of Betfair bank.
That’s basically how I’ve been operating with Betfair & Horse Racing for the past 17 months with reasonable success
MarkAugust 14, 2009 at 15:17 #243858
My lay for today is as follows. Remember to only risk 5% of your Betfair or Bookie account.
NOTTINGHAM 2:35 6F FILLIES H’CAP CLASS 4
HIGH ACHIEVED 3.05 LAY
Laying Advantages – CLASS
Laying Disadvantages – DISTANCE
TRAINER 3yo STATS
If there’s no rain today at Nottingham, then the course could get a little firmer & that would suit the selected horse, if it stays Good & not GF then all the better !
MarkAugust 15, 2009 at 11:06 #243993tafflizgregParticipant
- Total Posts 6
well done good start usually goes pear shaped first posting up and runningAugust 18, 2009 at 18:21 #244538
Thanks for your kind words….. I have been using that methodology for well over a year now & stick to it through thick & thin & has returned a decent profit. The key is DISCIPLINE & never blindly follow the crowd !
MarkAugust 21, 2009 at 22:55 #245195mogulMember
- Total Posts 1
Hi people, first post – go easy on me!
So shmeeko69, when you say you’ve had some success with ouyr method, how many points are you making per week, month or year roughly?
I also agree that you have to stick with a method through thick and thin, many people fall at that hurdle and is why they never make any money.August 24, 2009 at 17:26 #245542
Strangely enough, I’ve never operated a points system. I risk 5% of my Betfair bank on particular races. My criteria is –
H’cap races only
8 runners or more
At least 2 other horses odds less than 10
Check racing post form guide
risk 5% of bank
I have tweaked this from other systems I’ve bought & always return’s a
reasonable profit weekly/monthly
MarkSeptember 14, 2009 at 12:41 #248778
I also forgot to mention when using this methodology, the
lay odds on Betfair must be between 1.7 & 4.5 & our
liability is always 5%.
Example of £1000 start bank
(i) £1000 bank – liability £50, if we win
£1050 bank for next bet – liability = £52.50
(ii) £1000 bank – liability £50, if we lose
£950 bank – for next bet – liability = £47.50
MarkSeptember 15, 2009 at 14:39 #248945snowmanParticipant
- Total Posts 556
good luck with this.
In your 1st post you give an odds range of 1.8 – 4.5, however your last post says 1.7 – 4.5, could you clarify?
I know its only a matter of terminology but I think you’re actually using 5% of bank for the ‘backers stake’ so your liability actually ranges from 4% of bank – 1.8 shot – to 17.5% (when laying a 4.5 shot).
Therefore your losing example would only be correct if you happened to lay at exactly evens.
Good luck again, look forward to next selection
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