[shmeeko69]

Following this methodology with racing,
you won’t become rich overnight, but you
will show a reasonable return each month,
because of the rules & compounding your profits.

Mark

[shmeeko69]

Like you Snowman, not sure what we are supposed to be looking for in the RP or what the proper filters might be.

I ran the rule over this yesterday using the basic rules and found seven selections. These were the shortest price on BF at the time of looking so may not have gone off favourite.

Not wanting to track it race by race the liability was £5 for each race from a mythical £100 bank.

After the first five selections lost the bank had increased to a creditable £108.22, then the last two won leaving the bank at £98.22, not a disaster in the land of laying.

Using the basic rules again these are the selections for today based on BF prices at 10:20am. The liability on each is £4.91

13:10 Aint 1 Wendel 3.45
14:55 Aint 1 Shadow Dancer 4.50

12:50 Muss 10 Irish Poli 4.20

12:25 Towc 3 Great Tsar 3.20
15:20 Towc 2 Mayeul 4.40

A clean sweep today with all selections losing. The bank now stands at £106.40

The criteria for selection is as mentioned above.
If any of these conditions are’nt met, then no bet.

RP info – Is what you’d normally look for when
either backing or laying a particular horse –
Previous form, Trainer recent & course record,
Ground Conditions to suit, Distance of Race, Weight,
Class.

So we don’t blindly back a horse just because it
meet’s the above criteria, It also has to have
weaknesses before we consider laying the horse &
there has to be at least two other horses in the race
with a genuine chance of winning.

Cheers

Mark

[shmeeko69]

Hi Mark,

good luck with this.

Your list of rules seems straight forward. What do you need to look at RP for? Seems all your rules could be covered by looking at BF – or have I misunderstood?

What your looking for is a selection which meets
the criteria I mentioned above & to obtain
information you can still get for free with the RP &
to find out the odds from the exchange or bookmaker.

RP info – Previous horse form, ground conditions to suit,
distances run, trainer recent & course form &
laying the horse with the exchange between 10 & 20 mins
before the selected race.

Cheers

Mark

[shmeeko69]

Todays win & place 80/20 selection bet.

SEDGEFIELD 13:20 BEG.CHASE 2M 4F CLASS 5 SOFT

APRIL SAN BACK 22.0 | 3.9 E/WAY

Win & Place Adv. – Stamina
Ground Conditions
Trainer E/way Chase Record

Win & Place Disadv – Distance
Jockey Booking

Whilst I expect Knockavilla to be the one to beat,
I think the odds for April San are reasonable value.

Mark

[shmeeko69]

When you initially upgraded the site
a couple of months ago, It did’nt
look or feel that good, but It’s
looking much better now & more
user friendly.

You’ll always get teething problems
when you change the layout or design,
but you have to move with the times.

Keep up the good work.

Mark

[shmeeko69]

Todays win & place selection. Remember
to only risk up to 5% of your Betfair/Bookie account.

14:25 KELSO 2M 2F CLASS3 H’CAP HURDLE HEAVY

WELL DISGUISED BACK 12.5 | 3.3 E/WAY (3 PLACES)

Win & Place Adv. – Class
Ground Conditions
Recent Form

Win & Place Disadv – Weight
Trainer Course Record
Distance

Whilst I think Dontpaytheferryman is the horse, I
think that Well Disgiused offers reasonable value at
12.5 to back & 3.3 for the places.

Mark

[shmeeko69]

Todays win & place selection.

15:00 WINCANTON CLASS4 3M 3F H’CAP CHASE GD – SFT

DEEP QUEST BACK 18.5 | 4.9 E/WAY (3 PLACES)

Win & Place Adv. – Stamina
Class
Ground Conditions

Win & Place Disadv. – Weight
Age Of Horse
Days Since Last Race

Mark

[shmeeko69]

Today’s Win only selection.

19:20 KEMPTON CLASS5 1M 2F STD

FLORENTIA 4.6 BACK ONLY

Win Adv. – Distance
Weight
Trainer 3yo Win Record

Win Disadv. – Trainer 3yo Course Record

Mark

[shmeeko69]

Todays win only selection & not the most
original choice I’ve ever made.

14:10 LEICESTER CLASS4 2M 4F NOV. HURDLE GOOD

GOOD OLD THYME BACK 2.12

Win Adv. – RP Rating
Trainer Course Record
Weight

Win Disadv. – Distance

I think this horse has a better than evens chance of
winning & therefore 2.12 offers reasonable value.

Mark

[shmeeko69]

Todays win & place selection. Remember to
only risk 5% of your Betfair/Bookie account.

14:40 TAUNTON CLASS5 2M 1F SELL.HURDLE GOOD

BOLD PIONEER 18.0 BACK | 4.5 E/WAY (3 places)

Win & Place Adv. – Distance
Ground Conditions
Jockey Booking

Disadvantages – 2yr Absence
Weight

I think this horse offers good e/way prospects –
18 to back & 4.5 e/way.

Mark

[shmeeko69]

Todays win & place selection.

14:10 BANGOR CLASS3 H’CAP CHASE 3M SOFT

SKIPPERS BRIG 9.8 BACK | 2,96 E/WAY

Represents a good value bet.

Mark

[shmeeko69]

Todays win & place selection. Remember to only risk 5% of
your Betfair/Bookie account.

LINGFIELD 14:30 CLASS5 H’CAP CHASE 2M 4F GOOD

COUNT THE COST BACK 8.2 | E/WAY 2.26 (3 PLACES)

Win & Place Adv. – Ground Conditions
Recent Form

Disadvantages – Distance
Trainer Overall Form
Jockey Booking

Whilst there are negatives about the selected horse, I feel
that the horse’s recent form & course experience, gives it
good e/way chances.

Mark

[shmeeko69]

Todays win & place selection.

SOUTHWELL 14:45 NOV. HURDLE CLASS4 2M GD – FM

HI TIDE BACK 9.2 | E/WAY 2.22 (3 PLACES)

Win & placee adv. – Distance
Ground Conditions
Class

Win & e/way disadv. – Trainer overall form

Mark

[shmeeko69]

Today win & place selection.

HEXHAM 14:20 CLASS3 NOV. CHASE 3M 1F GD-SFT

MR BARNACLE BACK 13.0 | 3.30 E/WAY

Win & E/way Adv. – Trainer E/way Chase Record
Weight
Ground Conditions

Disadvantages – Distance

I think this represents good value to back at 13.5
& 3.30 e/way.

Mark

[shmeeko69]

Todays Win & Place selection. Whilst I’m not a fan of
the all weather todays pick is from Lingfield.

LINGFIELD 16:00 CLASS5 2M STD

L’HOMME DE NUIT BACK 8.2 | E/WAY 2.28

Win & Place Adv. – Trainer E/Way Record
Horse AW Experience
Distance

Disadvantages – Weight

Whilst the chosen horse has to carry top weight, I
think there’s still value to back at 8.2 & 2.28 e/way.

Mark

[shmeeko69]

Todays win & place selection. Remember to only
risk 5% of your Betfair/Bookie account.

14:40 CHEPSTOW CLASS4 3M CHASE SOFT

PRINCE NOORA BACK 9.8 | E/WAY 3.0 (3 PLACES

Win & Place adv. – Distance
Weight
Trainer Overall E/way Chase Record

Diasdvantages – Ground Conditions ?
Trainer Course Record

Whilst I expect this to be a slog, I think our horse
has got the stamina to be in the places & 9.8 to Back
& 3.0 E/way represents good value.

Mark

[shmeeko69]

Not the most original selection, but today’s
win & place selection. Remember to risk only
5% of your Betfair/Bookie account.

14:50 KEMPTON CLASS5 5F STD

BOOKIESINDEXBOY 7.0 BACK / E/WAY 2.42 (3 PLACES)

Win & E/way Adv. Distance
AW experience
Jockey Booking

Disadv. – Trainer E/way Record
Trainer Course Record

I think this represents reasonable value to back at 7.0 &
2.42 e/way.

Mark

[Author]

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