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No bet yet, but interested in the Cheltenham 4 miler form – recent winners Beshabar and Gods Me Judge, so of those that ran this year Adrenalin Flight catches the eye.
I have backed Always Right – I like his course form, recent good run and previous close up 3rd two years ago – the weight he is carrying is the worry.
Also backed Big Occasion despite his age, he was vey impressive at Uttoxeter, hope the jockey Ennis keeps the ride he seems to know how to ride this keen sort.
I like Merigo, Always Right and I also think Emma Lavelle’s Ouzbeck is the dark one @ 20/1+
Nobody fancy Dance Island?
Been looking at the pedigree – lots of 4 mile plus stamina evident, Brush Aside on dam side for starters.
Beat Dream Alliance at Chepstow last year – Ok it was a hurdle race. Recent defeat to King Fontaine who is now unbeaten four straight reads well.
Notre Pere would also seem an each way prospect – I feel an exacta bet may be on.I know the 10 year stats say 90% of winners were aged 6-8, but I’m hoping for more rain – that will suit 10 year old The Sawyer. Cyfor Malta was 9 in 2002 and was a 16/1 winner so shocks can happen as we all know.
First of all have to say, find this post really interesting. Have been trying out the pedigree link etc..
I was interested in NTDs Rimsky – his pedigree has Sadlers Hall and Top Ville yet he does not stay 4 miles having tried many times – why?Have to admit to being a bit gutted, having backed three horses in the race win only – 2nd, 3rd & 4th. Congrats to Church Island’s trainer – well plotted! I haven’t seen the race as I was out playing cricket, but it sounds like it was a good end to the NH season.
Horses have won this race twice in the past – Ad Hoc for one, so have had a v.small win only investment on Lacdoudal and Monkerhostin, with formerly placed Hoo La Baloo.
I love you Arceye!!!!
Found these trends @ Easyodds.com
Key Race Trends (Last nine runnings)7/9 – Carried 10-13 or LESS
7/9 – Aged 9 or younger
5/9 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
4/9 – Ran at Aintree last time out
4/9 – Came 1st or 2nd in their previous race
2/9 – Ran in the Grand National last time out
2/9 – Ran in the Scottish Grand National last time out
2/9 – Won by AP McCoy
2/9 – Won by Ruby Walsh
2/9 – Won by Paul Nicholls
2/9 – Won by Phillip Hobbs
2/9 – Won by the Pipe stable
0/9 – Won by the favouriteThankyou Andy Newton!
Talking through my wallet – would have to say after winning the Welsh National after injury – Dream Alliance.
I think I read somewhere – could’ve been the RP, that Eric won’t run if firm is in the going description. He does seem to require cut in the ground, so am less inclined to have him following the dry spell.
Eric’s Charm is due to run at Sandown – would think he has an each way chance too.
Merigo for me at Ayr.Jim McGrath was pretty ordinary yesterday. Had to chuckle during the Bowl, when he kept repeating himself concerning Carruthers and Nacarat cutting each others throats and then Richard Dunwoody disagreeing totally! I suppose when the field is small it must be difficult finding some way of keeping the commentary interesting.
