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The home of intelligent horse racing discussion

mickeyjp

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Viewing 17 posts - 1,939 through 1,955 (of 1,968 total)
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  • in reply to: The Oaks 2015 #1090144
    mickeyjp
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1990

    If found runs up to her boussac form then she will take all the beating.

    in reply to: French Derby 2015 #1088111
    mickeyjp
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1990

    Matt was excited because of a form line with Washington, D.C. And round two. Looks very promising. The next outing will tell us more.

    in reply to: The Derby 2015 #1088110
    mickeyjp
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1990

    I wonder if coolmore wished they had entered highland reel in the Derby. Cracking run in the French derby and looks like a decent bet. The eclipse will probably be the next run.

    in reply to: The Oaks 2015 #1087174
    mickeyjp
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1990

    I agree on together forever as she looks the typical late developing Obrien filly like peeping fawn and ran a great race at York and looks a cracking bet at 10-1. Found has disappointed so far but ryan Moore gave her a lot to do at the curragh and was running on strongly and got beat by a rapidly improving filly. Legatissamo looked a cracking winner of the guineas and looks the worthy favourite. This race does look stronger to me than the Derby and will put my wee wager on together forever.

    in reply to: The Derby 2015 #1087168
    mickeyjp
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1990

    All about opinionss and here’s mine. Golden horn looks like a 10f horse who may stay the distance but I wouldn’t back him at that price. Elm Park to me ran a very good race in the Dante but tired in the end. He obviously needs it softer but it was a poor racing post trophy so it could be he just isn’t good enough but of course he could improve loads for the run. Jack Hobbs seems to be the forgotten horse. His Dante run was a huge step up on previous form and if he improves again must have a chance. Hans holbiens form looks better after storm the Stars won at goodwood and I think he will improve a lot for better ground. Kilimanjaro looked like a queens vase horse and I can’t see it winning. Zawraq is only so high in the betting because of having not run and with huge doubts about his stamina and dermot welds poor record in the Derby is better watched. So for me hans holbien is the best option with a wee side bet on jack Hobbs. I’m sure this may look foolish in hindsight but there you go.

    in reply to: The Derby 2015 #1076240
    mickeyjp
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1990

    Can’t remember a derby when so many of the trainers didn’t know if they will stay the trip. Sounds like it’s not many were planning to go for the derby but decided to do so when the field cut up. You never know of course and a winner as good as troy may emerge but I’m not very confident that will happen. Hans Holbein ew seems to be a bet to nothing for me.

    in reply to: Irish 1000 Guineas 2015 #1032541
    mickeyjp
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1990

    If found has progressed from her first run back then she will take a lot of beating. Kissed by angels would be my pick and I’d take 7/1 now as I doubt she will be that price on the day.

    in reply to: The Derby 2015 #1022646
    mickeyjp
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1990

    Giovanni caneletto is the only horse I can see shaking up the betting. He could well end up running in the Irish 2000 guineas. He does look a top horse in the making but as with many ballydoyle 3yos has had a troubled year. Hans Holbein in a normal year would be third at best but as we can see this isn’t a normal year and much as it seems unlikely he’ll win it can’t be ruled out totally.

    in reply to: The Derby 2015 #1003730
    mickeyjp
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1990

    The fact that gosden and team hummed and hawed so much over supplementing makes me think that ghost could well be outstayed especially if team ballydoyle set a searching gallop. He seem very likely to stay on his Dante running but we won’t know until race day. As for Zawraq. I’d leave well alone with welds record in the Derby and it’s very stuttering prep. This could well be the year a 20 or 33 to 1 shot comes in. Maybe highland reel could be that one. What a strange Derby build up.

    in reply to: The Derby 2015 #1003729
    mickeyjp
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1990

    With the front four bunched at the finish it doesn’t suggest that it was a vintage lockinge. Gleneagles looks the top miler around but whether he will go for the Sussex stakes remains to be seen as the international at York could be on the agenda. Glad to see arod running so well,could well be getting better with age.

    in reply to: The Derby 2015 #999812
    mickeyjp
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1990

    Giovanni caneletti is entered in the king edward stakes at royal ascot so i think he will run at the curragh beforehand with a view to royal ascot.Unless coolmore run him in the derby with just 1 2yo run.They may be tempted given the poor state of the derby field but i hope common sense prevails and they give the horse time to get over the wee setbacks it has obviously had.

    in reply to: St Leger 2015 #977836
    mickeyjp
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1990

    Maybe aob has a bunch of stayers in his 3yos as Kilimanjaro looks another ideal St leger type. Maybe both could be ascot gold cup horses as John magnier loves winning that race.

    in reply to: The Oaks 2015 #977834
    mickeyjp
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1990

    I too was most impressed with kissed by angels. Was a winner a long way out and afterwards seamie heffernan said he was very surprised she got beat on debut. Diamondsandrubies was equally as impressive at Chester and looks nailed on to be at least placed at Epsom. If both these horses and found turn up at the oaks ryan Moore has a tough choice. There is also together forever who runs in the musidora at york tomorrow so aob looks to have a very good bunch of fillies. I suspect two will go for the oaks and the other two will go to royal ascot for either the coronation stakes or the ribblesdale.

    in reply to: Dante 2015 #977818
    mickeyjp
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1990

    Punters need to remember ballydoyle is a fairly unique breeding operation whose almost sole purpose is to produce stallions. As for the Dante I think ol man river has a very good chance of winning if ge runs up to his 2yo form. You can never tell if horses will train on but if he has then he has too much natural speed not to be at least competitive in what is a Dante minus a true champion. I can see ol Man river making the running,Joseph slowing it up and trying to skip the field. I hope we get a top horse out of the race but don’t be surprised if it is not one of the ballydoyle duo.

    in reply to: 2000 guineas 2015 #956028
    mickeyjp
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1990

    Gleneagles is a mighty handsome horse. His running style reminds me so much of giants causeway except he has searing pace. Hope he ends up at York in the international and then the Irish champion.i see time form rated him one of the best guineas winners of recent years.

    in reply to: 2000 guineas 2015 #936107
    mickeyjp
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1990

    Having the market decided by bookies hunches seem to be the norm these days. Gleneagles on form should have been no higher than 3-1 the weeks before the race and around 2-1 on the day. It was the form choice after territories franked the lagadhere form. That was a top notch first run of the season and I’m sure there’s loads more to come. As a mile/10f seems to be more attractive stud wise he will probably stay at a max of 10f.

    in reply to: 2000 guineas 2015 #897530
    mickeyjp
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1990

    As more and more of last years top 2yos go by the wayside the path is open for an as yet un heralded horse to come through.it doesn’t help that thevgoingbis heavy in Ireland and good in England making any form comparisons very difficult to evaluate, the value bet in the guineas is highland reel to me but wouldn’t be surprised if one emerged from the unexposed horses.

Viewing 17 posts - 1,939 through 1,955 (of 1,968 total)