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I guess I’m one of the unusual people the way I’m going to approach my Arc betting. From day 1 that Coolmore acquired controlling interest of So You Think, I’ve said I didn’t believe 12f would be a problem for him, and I still don’t think it will be. There’s no doubt So You Think has the kind of class of class that a horse needs to win an Arc, and I really don’t believe Coolmore would be sending him to Longchamp if they didn’t believe that he was ready to run in the Arc. So my prediction on this year’s Arc is as follows:
So You Think-Win
Sarafina-Place
Galikova-Show
Snow Fairy-4thThat’s what unique about my betting angle. I’m playing 3 fillies in my super-fecta.
The last card of potential starters for the 2010 Irish Derby that I looked was about 4 or 5 hours ago on AtTheRaces.com. It had Aiden O’Brien and Coolmoore-Ballydoyle slated as starting 4 horses in the race. Cape Blanco, Jan Vermeer, Midas Touch, and At First Sight. I’m quite sure that At First Sight is being entered for pace making duties. And if he happens to run another big race like he did at Epsom? All the better. O’Brien says Johnny Murtagh has a tough decision to choose between Cape Blanco and Jan Vermeer for the Irish Derby. Personally, If I’m Murtagh, I hop on Cape Blanco and don’t look back. Simply because I believe he’s more talented than Jan Vermeer, Midas Touch, or At First Sight. His run at York over the extended 10 furlongs looked to me like a colt that wouldn’t have a problem stretching on out to 12 furlongs. I know he flopped at basically the same distance as the Dante Stakes at Chantilly in the Prix Du Jockey Club. But I believe that had more to do with the quick turn around, York to Chantilly, more than distance. I think Jan Vermeer is a very talented colt as well. He’s proven he can stay 12 furlongs in the Epsom Derby. But his Epsom Derby run was rather unimpressive as well. He didn’t quicken at all when ask by Murtagh. If Cape Blanco can get 12 furlongs? Everyone else is running for 2nd place money. Jan Vermeer, Midas Touch, At First Sight, Chabel, and Coordinated Cut included. JMO.
Unlucky at Ascot?? LOL. You must have named this post after me. As much as I enjoyed the Royal-Ascot meet this past week. I had a terrible week betting the races. I did finally manage to hit a couple of races towards the end of the meet. Which kept me from being totally bankrupt. LOL. But many of the horses that I thought would and should perform well at Ascot just simply didn’t deliver. My biggest loss of the week came in the Prince of Wales Stakes. I backed Presvis the heaviest in the race. Which turned out to be a terrible decision on my part.
JJMSports,
The last article that I read about Dar Re Mi, which was this morning on Racing Post, said that Gosden is in France doing some so-called "weather watching" and would supposedly have a decision today or tomorrow at the latest as to whether Dar Re Mi is going to race in the 2010 Prix Saint-Alary or the 2010 Coral Eclipse? Initially, I was hoping that Gosden would decide to keep her at Sandown and race in the Coral-Eclipse Stakes. Especially given the total "hose job" the Stewards at Longchamp laid on her in the 2009 Prix Vermille. When Dar Re Mi was disqualified for bumping Soberania, and placed 5th. Which moved Stacelita up to the winners slot. Still one of the absolute worst D.Q.’s I’ve ever witnessed in all my years of watching thoroughbred racing. But today I found out that if Dar Re Mi does indeed go to France. That the outstanding French filly, Daryakana, is also set to start in the Prix Saint-Alary. A potential match-up between Dar Re Mi and Daryakana certainly has a mouth watering appeal to it. It could also help determine how one might bet the Arc come October. But the Sheema Classic winner going against the Hong Kong Vase winner would make for excellent racing. IMO.Goldikova showed why she’s considered the best miler in the world in the Queen Anne Stakes. But she’s got some company at the top this season. Paco Boy, without question, is a much improved colt from 2009 to 2010. I think Goldikova stealing first run and starting for home early may be what saved her the race. Because Paco Boy was finishing all over the top of her at races end. Rip Van Winkle ran extremely poorly. But, in all fairness, it was an awfully tough race for him to make his 2010 debut in. But to me, the thing about Rip Van Winkle, is there always seems to be lots of excuses swirling around about this colt. The bottom line is, he’s never come remotely close to living up to the expectations or reputation that Ballydoyle put out on him in 2009 as a 3yr.old. Which basically leads me to believe, if you compare Rip Van Winkle to the reputation that he carries, he’s massively overrated. Just my opinion.
Byword has ran off a string of 3 very solid races now. Having won the Prix Muguet. He was the only horse in the field that ran any kind of meaningful race at all against Goldikova in the Prix d’Ispahan, where he finished 2nd. Then turned around and ran a great Prince of Wales Stakes for the win. Twice Over ran very well also for 2nd place. I knew Twice Over had ran well in the 09’Prince of Wales Stakes. But my hesitancy about him this year was him being off the track since the Dubai World Cup back in March. Tazeez also ran strong in the race, as did the German colt Wiener Walzer, and also Debussy. For me, the three huge disappointments of the race were, no doubt, Presvis, Cavalryman, and Allybar. I thought all three of those colts would run a much better Prince of Wales Stakes than they ultimately did.
Old Bahram,
Why in the good Lords name would Andrew Loyd Weber and Lady Weber even consider letting Gosden take Dar Re Mi back to France after the total "hose job" they pulled on this great mare in the 2009 Prix Vermille? Still, one of the worst D.Q.’s I’ve ever seen in many years of following racing. And I’ve followed racing all my life, and I’m now 50yrs. old.I hope Dar Re Mi runs in the Coral Eclipse. I was really surprised that Gosden didn’t race her in the Coronation Cup after how she handled the Sheema Classic field. I’d like to see her at Sandown. For no other reason than to see her back on the track. Since she’s yet to race since her Sheema Classic victory in Dubai back in March. That said, the Coral Eclipse, being a 10 furlong race may not suite her as well as the King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes over 12 furlongs. But either route she decides to go, I eagerly await that wonderful race-mare’s return to the turf.
Sir Michael Stoute, genius trainer that he is, has really brought Harbinger along beautifully as a 4yr.old. The colt has done nothing wrong to this point in 2010. Having run rough shod over the Surprise Stakes field at Newbury, the Ormonde Stakes field at Chester, and now the Hardwicke Stakes field at Ascot. I think it’s likely that Stoute will enter both Harbinger and Workforce in the 2010 King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes. Which, IMO, makes for a much tougher decision this year for Ryan Moore, choosing whether to ride Harbinger or Workforce, than he had in 2009 having to choose between Conduit, Tartan Bearer, and Ask. That’s just my opinion.
