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The home of intelligent horse racing discussion

MDeering

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  • in reply to: The Dubai International Racing Carnival #143354
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    Forgot to mention – Premium Tap is defending his title in tonight’s local Group 1 King’s Cup in Saudi Arabia, where is raced under the name of Allam.

    Premium Tap made Invasor work for all his worth in last year’s Dubai World Cup, and he would be set to give Curlin a great challenge if his preparation stays on course with another solid effort tonight.

    in reply to: Greetings from Oz! #143353
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    That’s where I salvage my Timeform from, Charlie.

    in reply to: The Dubai International Racing Carnival #143352
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    I was clearly playing safe – selecting Honour Devil to win the UAE 2,000 Guineas. And sure enough, he responded by holding out Royal Vintage. Sensational race. The de Kock pair with Godolphin’s charge probably finding the race a little too sharp.

    I agree with the sentiment on Royal Vintage – he probably becomes my UAE Derby selection for now.

    Halicarnassus was OK. He was heading backwards 500m out but I think the jock was needing to shift off the rails to find clear running room. He boxed on well. Aspiring for the Dubai World Cup, however … :roll:

    With Interest was superb. Takes a pretty nice horse to stroll in 2nd gear in front on the top of the NAS straight, but it doesn’t necessarily mean when the pedal is floored that he will respond with more. That was the case … until the horse clicked 200m out and won. Very good!

    That was the Thursday, 14th February card in the Dubai International Racing Carnival! Next week is another double-header of racing: the 21st features the Al Fahidi Fort over 1 mile on turf, won in the past 2 years by Linngari. The 22nd card includes the Balanchine over the Dubai Duty Free trip for fillies and mares.

    I don’t think one can go past Godolphin at this point – another hat-trick last night and with horses like Ramonti, Literato and Al Shemali to be turned out in the major races to come …

    in reply to: Numaany – must be some horse! #143339
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    The Japanese horse is Broad Appeal. He can in the Dubai Golden Shaheen in 2000 or 2001 and finished fifth.

    in reply to: Greetings from Oz! #143338
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    Thankyou for the warm welcome Robert. When I have time, I’ll explain to you who Robbie Waterhouse is.

    in reply to: The Dubai International Racing Carnival #143337
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    I am unsure how one can gauge the success of Karaka, BSB, when you consider it was the first yearling sale post-EI.

    in reply to: Greetings from Oz! #143334
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    Your average Joe six-pack is a regular punter, Zoso. "Mug punting" is a bigger business than those who actually know what they are doing. Hence, why bother creating elaborate formguides in the betting shops?

    It just means a sweeter price for the guy who knows his stuff. Happy days.

    in reply to: Gambler to sue William Hill #143099
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    Only in America …

    … hang on … :? :wink:

    How did the court hearings result from the obese people suing McDonalds? Did they win? There is William Hill’s exhibit A. Case closed.

    in reply to: Greetings from Oz! #143097
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    I wait for the day in which a group of enthusiastic Australian entrepreneurs develop the antipodean Racing Post. :)

    in reply to: The Dubai International Racing Carnival #143095
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    Mike de Kock has recently turned out Victory Moon and Asiatic Boy to win this race – on the flipside, Saeed bin Suroor has trained a fair few to win the UAE 2,000 Guineas as well.

    The NH 3YOs are still immature and those like Honour Devil are very mature Classic horses capable of staying out races so you can understand the 4kg is probably enough. Why not more? Who would want to race the current New Approach against Peeping Fawn?

    in reply to: All Weather Lays and Plays #143089
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    When I break through in this industry Max, I’ll be reporting on and selecting from tracks all across the globe. This is my unbreakable passion.

    in reply to: The Dubai International Racing Carnival #143013
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    Plenty of other business to attend for today and the issue of no tote betting available for Dubai down under frustrates me – this is a much more exciting card then Southwell AWT or Vaal in South Africa.

    Accountforthe Gold looks an upcoming type for Godolphin in Race 2.

    Halicarnassus returns to the track in the Sport Extra Handicap over 1 mile 2 furlong on turf. Would dash World Cup hopes if he cannot win this.

    UAE 2,000 Guineas – I don’t want to go past Etched and regardless of my selection, I hope he wins and smashes them. I’m leaning to Honour Devil with the runs on the board, however he gives 4kg to Etched.

    in reply to: Question for tha racing media #142989
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    You are not a punter your a maths teacher :lol:

    I agree, upon reading the post your were referring to.

    Technically, yes … 4 horses in a race all have a 25% chance of winning. But we’re talking about punting here; if you don’t have punting commonsense you may as well toss out any elaborate system you have created from scratch.

    in reply to: Greetings from Oz! #142983
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    Yes – I am very up-to-date with Timeform. However, it is widely considered a non-existant organisation in Australia.

    There are various form books and organisations, some of the leading entities include Best Bets, Winning Post and The Sportsman.

    A horseman friend and I – both of similar ages – push for Timeform to be more widespread in Australia but it simply is left alone. Everyone who has a worthy opinion of a horse, race, trainer or jockey is published in some shape or form.

    We don’t have a principal leader in racing and it is something I am hoping to improve upon. There is no Racing Post-like organisation … there is no epicentre. Searching for the right information and form has to be traced through various branches of racing media and analysis, and it can lead some punters into dead-ends.

    in reply to: Question for tha racing media #142978
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    I made it an obligation to make contact with as many fellow punters and horseman friends as possible yesterday, to ask them about The Table Of Odds And Chances.

    Never – heard – a – thing – of – it.

    However, half the blokes commented that they believed British punters are far superior to any others on earth.

    in reply to: All Weather Lays and Plays #142977
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    We’re only covering the opening three races on the card tonight Max.

    The local radio’s international tipster (whom I am jealous of, but am aware I can perform better than) has selected:

    Race 1: General Feeling to beat Sir Bond and Government.

    Race 2: Maria Antonia – a special.

    Race 3: Red Fama, which he insisted was some value. I question "value" in a 5-horse race :lol:

    Good luck Max!

    in reply to: Numaany – must be some horse! #142975
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    Ted Durcan is on board tonight – considering that Dettori and McEvoy are on Etched and My Indy, it’s worth noting in the back of your mind.

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