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The home of intelligent horse racing discussion

Karinga Bay

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Viewing 17 posts - 18 through 34 (of 86 total)
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  • in reply to: Trying To Get Lucky #1240906
    Karinga Bay
    Participant
    • Total Posts 88

    Well, I have started the Flat season with a bang – AW Finals day I got a 225-1 double up with Alben Star and Captain Joy as well as the place part of an ew treble which included Metropol who came a length and a short head 3rd (would have been near on 5,000-1 if it had hung on!! :cry:) Then weekend just gone at the Curragh I got a 235-1 ew double up with Onenightidreamed and Zhukova!
    I didn’t post them on here as I only had minimal stakes on and also did some alternative bets and this is supposed to be saved for my more confident selections. (bodes well hopefully!)
    I backed Mobsta at 16’s in the Cammidge on Saturday as well as 2 or 3 others in the same race and on Sat. night I looked at the Curragh card and backed a few including Zhukova and Flight Risk.
    Then I got thinking about why it had paid off to get involved in the Cammidge (bear in mind I work a lot on instinct and not too many details) basically I had felt there were question marks over the market leaders and others in the race weren’t too far away on class/form and were available at much nicer prices, so I looked again at the 2 Curragh races and felt that the same situation was happening in both of those, made 2 selections in each race combined doubles and it paid off!
    It is still a learning curve for me and I tend to be rather cautious these days. For the 2nd time on this thread i feel that I’ve missed an opportunity to win big (curragh not lingfield) I think it is partly the extra pressure of wanting to do well on here but also maybe the fact that I’m tending to select 2 or 3 horse in a race at the moment therefore watering down my stake to a point that it is not worth putting on the thread.
    Bedtime!

    in reply to: Trying To Get Lucky #1240355
    Karinga Bay
    Participant
    • Total Posts 88

    10 pts down so far :negative: but should be getting a bit more action soon!

    I’m already on at 33’s this one but I’ll put it on this thread at …. 0.5 pt ew MARCEL in 2000 Guineas @ 25-1 various firms.
    I’ll probably have some more on nearer the time if confirmed.

    in reply to: Trying To Get Lucky #1238385
    Karinga Bay
    Participant
    • Total Posts 88

    1 pt win double for me tomorrow

    1.30 Footpad @ 10-1
    2.50 Long Dog @ 8-1

    B365

    in reply to: Trying To Get Lucky #1237539
    Karinga Bay
    Participant
    • Total Posts 88

    At the prices this morning I’m having a go at these…

    0.25 pt ew trixie

    Tombstone @ 14-1
    Sempre Medici @ 25-1
    Bitofapuzzle @ 16-1

    Betvictor

    in reply to: Trying To Get Lucky #1235271
    Karinga Bay
    Participant
    • Total Posts 88

    and a 1pt win double, same races Move in Time @ 6-1 with Tullius @ 8-1 (Hills)

    in reply to: Trying To Get Lucky #1235259
    Karinga Bay
    Participant
    • Total Posts 88

    Flemenstar let us down big time Raymo! :yes:

    Hoping for better with these, though quite a few unknown factors and quality opposition in both races….

    1.45 Lingfield – Gamgoom @ 8-1
    3.20 Lingfield – Maverick Wave @ 12-1

    0.5 pt ew double B365 (quarter 123)

    in reply to: Trying To Get Lucky #1234364
    Karinga Bay
    Participant
    • Total Posts 88

    1 pt win double
    1.50 Ascot – Le Mercurey @ 14-1
    3.35 Ascot – Flemenstar @ 7-1 BFred

    in reply to: Meydan 2016 #1234169
    Karinga Bay
    Participant
    • Total Posts 88

    Well done N, race played out exactly as you predicted :good:

    in reply to: Meydan 2016 #1234154
    Karinga Bay
    Participant
    • Total Posts 88

    Fun small stake ew double, hoping reapplied headgear has effect on both of these 3.35- Glory Awaits @ 16’s with 5.20- Green Door @ 25’s BV
    Opened account with Betway to take the 20’s on Tellina last night and put it on DLAP
    Good luck N!

    in reply to: Trying To Get Lucky #1234077
    Karinga Bay
    Participant
    • Total Posts 88

    4.45 Meydan – Tellina 1pt win @ 20-1 betway

    in reply to: Meydan 2016 #1234062
    Karinga Bay
    Participant
    • Total Posts 88

    Tellina looks a big price to me at 20-1 (lads) in the 4.45, just missed it with PP, hoping one of the others go the same when all are up….

    Karinga Bay
    Participant
    • Total Posts 88

    As you and GT have said, all down to what suits the individual at the end of the day. For a few years I tried to bet by going for a horse which I thought was nailed on but I couldn’t make it pay doing it that way myself.

    Karinga Bay
    Participant
    • Total Posts 88

    Do you have a standard stake N? If you do change it, do you do so because you think it is a better value bet?

    Karinga Bay
    Participant
    • Total Posts 88

    Me too, I’ll be back….. :-)

    Karinga Bay
    Participant
    • Total Posts 88

    Sorry just realised that you haven’t!

    Karinga Bay
    Participant
    • Total Posts 88

    You’ve answered it yourself N – (when you gave the boxing example earlier on this thread)

    Karinga Bay
    Participant
    • Total Posts 88

    Makes sense to me too!
    Every horse in any race has some chance of winning, however small it may be, some of my best and most memorable bets have been losing bets! :yes:
    All about personal strike rate against price taken at the end of the day.

Viewing 17 posts - 18 through 34 (of 86 total)