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The home of intelligent horse racing discussion

Hawk

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  • November 7, 2013 at 17:58 in reply to: Paddy Power Gold Cup 2013 #457547
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    Why is Ballynagour available at 45/1 on Betfair then? With no takers?

    December 14, 2011 at 17:14 in reply to: The Ladbroke 2011 #382649
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    Prospect Wells

    is hotpot favourite for this but a line through

    Steps to Freedom

    makes

    Sailors Warn

    potentially well handicapped. 6th in the Triumph hurdle he would also appreciate the likely soft ground.

    At a bigger price, I like

    Third Intention

    just behind Sailors Warn in the Triumph. Line through

    Via Galilei

    gives him 3lb in hand of

    Gibbs River

    (though that was Gibbs Rivers first run – Not sure if will like really soft ground?)

    Cheers,
    Hawk

    December 1, 2011 at 23:00 in reply to: You can be a jockey for one race… #380583
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    If we are talking turnovers… Then I would have wished to ride Wayward Lad to beat Dawn run in the ’86 Gold cup.

    Otherwise I would have loved to be on Dancing Brave in the Arc…

    Hawk

    March 14, 2011 at 23:04 in reply to: The Supreme Cheltenham 2011 #345005
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    I’m going to take advantage of Paddy Power’s offer of ‘money back if Cue Card wins’ and back HIDDEN UNIVERSE in the hope that good ground will bring improvement. I’ve lost count of how many times Dermot Weld has pulled something special out of the fire. On seasonal debut wasn’t that far behind some good horses… Got to improve…

    August 5, 2007 at 15:13 in reply to: You Tube Stuff #110599
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    This cracks me up.

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OFwThh-JQCw

    May 7, 2004 at 21:14 in reply to: Bots – Fact or fiction? #93351
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    Don’t be silly. Of course Bots don’t exist. Its Betfair propaganda to make naive people believe that you can actually make money from horse racing without even opening a form book.

    I make a good living from racing and the 23 hours a day spent perusing the form book are a joy…

    June 25, 2003 at 21:58 in reply to: If each race is unique then… #91414
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    Is bad value easier to find than good value? Most of my success has come from looking for a hyped up favourite and then looking for the value in the race.

    Now with the advent of betting exchanges I wonder if I’d have made more money by laying the ‘bad value’ favourite?

    June 25, 2003 at 20:57 in reply to: If each race is unique then… #91412
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    Personally, I find the more time I’ve spent on a race. The more likely I’ll come to the correct conclusion. Somehow the amalgamation of as many factors as possible, including seeing in your minds eye how it will be run, strengthens my opinions rather than confusing them.

    But four hours is an excessive amount of time especially if you end up with no conclusion. Even so, hopefully you will have learnt something about the contenders for a future race.

    February 10, 2002 at 20:04 in reply to: Baccanal #98527
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    I was disapointed iwith his jumping too but the fact remains that in seven races he’s won five, fallen once and been third in a King George.

    Soft ground gives him a better chance but I still remember him powering up Cheltenhams hill to win the Stayers hurdle on Good/Firm.

    I’m not hedging my 16/1 Antepost voucher yet…

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