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Thanks for response guys
I’ve signed up for Geegeez Gold as they are also offering reduced cost currently.
Twitter - @danny_TLDR
Think the Oaks is shaping up to be a fine race. In the trials we’ve seen so far I really liked Zeeyadah at Chester. Trainer was fairly confident she’d come on for the run and I think she shaped much the best horse. Looking forward to the Musidora this week. Also looking forward to seeing Snow Lantern again, wherever she may appear..
Twitter - @danny_TLDR
It’s a bit of a tired cliche but i think it rings true here: If Vanillier were trained by WPM he’d be odds on in the 3m novice hurdle wouldn’t he? There looks to be no fluke about his Albert Bartlett win. 10/3 looks very fair to me.
Twitter - @danny_TLDR
Mr Patrick Mullins jocked up on Livelovelaugh… bit of a choker I’ll be honest having taken the early prices.
Twitter - @danny_TLDR
The Skelton’s put up Solomon Grey to pick up £7.5k in the Cyrname/Altior Christy 1965 Chase a couple years back. Ratings; 176, 175, 138. Beaten 65L.
Twitter - @danny_TLDR
I personally wouldn’t be too concerned about Sneezy. Cullentra would have been clear top trainer at Cheltenham had they not lost the Cheveley horses. They didn’t send a particularly strong squad to Fairyhouse and she still nearly had the big one.
Twitter - @danny_TLDR
It looks like there will be plenty of toe on here with Silver Streak, Jason The Militant, Not So Sleepy all generally keen to crack on. It should be fascinating to watch. I can see McFabulous getting outpaced and having to use up plenty of petrol just getting on terms. It looks set up perfectly for the strong travelling Abacadabras. His jumping just needs to be a little slicker. That was his first fall in the Champion Hurdle and it could just sharpen him up at his obstacles. An easy 2m4 on decent ground with a fast pace to aim at… If he doesn’t win here, I won’t be backing him again that’s for sure!
Twitter - @danny_TLDR
It’s a fascinating little race for sure, perhaps not the strongest renewal of all time but it’s a fun puzzle.
With nearly all of these having questions of varying urgency to answer, I thought Clondaw Castle looked a fair price at 9/1. He comes here in flying form, off the back of a career-best performance when upped to 3m for the first time. He’s never screamed ‘Grade 1 horse!’ but then as touched upon, this looks as winnable as any renewal. Will enjoy the ground. Ticks plenty of boxes 📦 ✅
Twitter - @danny_TLDR
Yeah interesting- thankfully I managed to resist pulling the trigger! Looking forward to seeing prices for the Manifesto today.
Twitter - @danny_TLDR
I wonder if The Shunter does indeed travel over it would be the 3m novice hurdle they opt for. It’s a Grade 1 after all and would be consistent with their M.O of targeting the lowest hanging fruit.
I really like Remastered too. Would love to see him in a Welsh National next year.
Protektorat is the one I want to back here at 16s. It looks like Hitman will run in the Manifesto so makes sense for the owners to split them up. I’m convinced the better ground is crucial to his chances, he was so impressive in his first 2 chase starts. However, whether he truly wants 3m would be a Q mark.
Twitter - @danny_TLDR
Fair point. I just wonder if it’s the pace that puts his jumping under pressure.
Twitter - @danny_TLDR
Crossed My Mind
Cork 4.05
9/1 (Betfair/PP)Crossed My Mind has been in fine form over fences this season, winning twice and finishing midfield in a warm DRF handicap. This return to hurdles represents a significant drop in class, and when you take into account Simon Torrens valuable 5lb claim, he races off a 12lb lower mark than that over fences. It also means he races here only 1lb higher than when winning this same race in 2019. This looks a smart bit of placing, and he should arrive here a fresh horse. With 5 places on offer, it looks a bet to nothing.
Twitter - @danny_TLDR
A race almost impossible to feel you have ‘covered’ in an antepost sense but Mike has done an incredible job there!
I have:
Le Breuil X
Presenting Percy X
Kimberlite Candy 33s
The Storyteller 50s
Discorama 22sI’ll add a few more extra places come the day. Like any other handicap ran in the UK currently, I’d see no reason to abandon the theory that the Irish are just better handicapped, so I’ll stick to that broadly.
Twitter - @danny_TLDR
Is there a concern with Zanza he might not be suited to a big-field cavalry charge? Looking back at the grand annual he looked to be out on his feet and struggling to hold a position before he was hampered.
I thought On The Slopes was the one to take from the GA for this. A bold, aggressive jumper, he’ll prefer the flat track and will be able to hold his position up in the van. Unfortunately the books agree and there’s not much juice in the 7/1 given he’s not long had a hard race.
I was also quite keen to back Frero Banbou but his price is truly shocking given what he has achieved!
Twitter - @danny_TLDR
Sir Valentine
Market Rasen 3.30
8/1 (Betfair/PP)Sir Valentine rates a keen e/w selection here in the context of this race. Any one of three graded handicap hurdle performances last season would pretty much be the standout piece of form here. He runs off 2lb lower than when finishing a length 4th in last season’s Betfair Hurdle. He began the season novice chasing, and 2nd place finishes to Fusil Raffles and Malystic have hardly disgraced him. He’s run once over hurdles already this season, and it’s that performance on which the market seems happy to disregard his chance here, but I’d be more than willing to draw a line through that- the ground at Warwick that day was horrendous and it would not have suited him at all. The step up in trip on a sharp track should be no issue for a strong finisher over 2m. The addition of a visor can be interpreted any number of ways, but it would t put me off- And in fact, the cynic within can view at as a sign that they are at least trying to win.
Twitter - @danny_TLDR
