Forum Replies Created
- Posts
That’s a fair point that they’ve all beaten each other. Personally, I think he’s the most naturally talented of the three and his best is superior to the other two at their best. Not often you see a horse sprint like that at the end of a 3 mile chase.
Ahoy Senor showed that he is at least the best novice this side of the Irish Sea. Shame he couldn’t do it at Cheltenham as he was the only one who let me down for a £250k payout for a £3 bet placed last April. The new course will see him to much better effect and he’s a massive player. I concede BMG and L’Homme Presse weren’t at their best today but for raw talent they are not up to this lad’s level.
I doff my titfer to BMG; a real professional performance. Considering a few shuddering errors from AS on a track that didn’t suit, I’d still be fairly hopeful he’d turn it around at Cheltenham.
Any thoughts on Bear Ghylls for this? They may draw stumps and go novice chasing next season, however, Nicky Martin said he could go hurdling early next year. Finished really strongly in the Ballymore, when he could easily have fallen out the back of the tele, and would’ve caught BMG in another 50 yards. Had a bit of 180s on the machine.
Couldn’t agree more, Mike; his jumping needs a good bit of ironing out but the raw ability is there – dare I say more innate ability from a physical and cardio point of view than BMG. Couldn’t believe the disparity in prices between them at the start of the season (12s BMG and 40s AS), which just invited being backed. The Aintree run was not fluke and over 2m4f I’d maybe say BMG would shade it but over 3m plus I’d be all over AS like a cheap suit.
Hypothetical question: if Nicholls trained AS and Russell BMG and considering AS already has one decision over BMG over hurdles (albeit post-Cheltenham, so to be treated with some circumspection), would BMG be shorter than AS in the betting?
Hey, HDLTG, I’m not saying he’s the only UK hope, but could see him being the main one. If they both go to Kempton then we’ll get a better idea. BMG is as good a novice jumper of a fence that I have seen, of that there is no doubt. I thought AS thought jumped really well at Carlisle and less so yesterday and although it isn’t guaranteed, you would think that AS has potential for more improvement than BMG.
Not sure how the race fell apart. I’ll concede that Mr Incredible was below par but the others couldn’t live with him. The clock suggests it was run at a fairly steady pace and Lucinda Russell has already said that the RSA is the aim. If he brushes up on his jumping I can only see one winner if he clashes with BMG – he’s got more potential for improvement for one. Maybe it’s a small bit of pocket talking as I’m on @40s but I think he’ll be the main British hope come March.
I’d be of the complete opposite view. That was Ahoy Senor’s 6th run under rules. What BMG has shown – albeit very good – means that there’s nothing that can really be improved in the jumping department. Ahoy Senor, however, is more likely to show even more improvement, if you assume his jumping gets better with experience, along with the fact he’s had less runs than BMG. Not sure BMG is a true 3 miler and I don’t think he had that much in the tank at the finish last time out. Ahoy Senor has beaten some high 130 and 140 rated horses by upwards of 31 lengths in a decent enough time.
Make Me a Believer didn’t do the Bear Ghylls form any harm at all today. Bob Ollinger looks the one to beat but if he can brush up on his jumping he looks to me to be the best of the British contingent so far. Taking Runswick Bay as a form line he’s got the beating of Bravemansgame (I know you can’t take it that literally) who I think is a bit short in the betting and we all know the dreaded Challow Hurdle stat. Maybe there is a small bit of pocket talking as he’s my biggest antepost punt for the fez but this beast has a serious engine and still showing signs of greenness.
Bear Ghyll’s form continues to be franked. Bobhopeornohope won the first at Exeter today – beat a useful sort who ran in last season’s champion bumper and that was beaten nearly 50 lengths by the Bear in a Warwick bumper. Runswick Bay, 2nd to Bravemansgame today, was beaten over 80 lengths in the same bumper. Still can get 40s for this and would be a few points shorter if trained by a high profile trainer.
More than happy with Bear Ghylls’ reappearance; pulled a bit, a couple of novicey errors and still won hard held in what may turn out to be a fairly decent maiden. A stronger pace should see him to even better effect. Bet365 are 40s which is more than fair. I think he’s underrated because of the trainer not being high profile but she does very well with the ammo she’s got.
Any thoughts on Bear Ghylls? Won a Warwick bumper by 19 lengths (Chantry House won it last year). The second has come out and won and the 10th(beaten a distance)was beaten a short head. Your Darling was pulled up and had excuses, but even so he won it in a good time and ran very green up the home straight. Backed it at 66s for this and the Ballymore.
Any thoughts on Bear Ghylls? Won a Warwick bumper by 19 lengths (Chantry House won it last year). The second has come out and won and the 10th(beaten a distance)was beaten a short head. Your Darling was pulled up and had excuses, but even so he won it in a good time and ran very green up the home straight. Backed it at 66s for this and the Supreme.
I do see your point to a degree but I hope you’re wrong because I’ve been backing him in singles and accas since March. Personally, I don’t see any issue Minella Indo’s breeding (Beat Hollow’s sired some Cheltenham winners, albeit none I can recall over fences) and must’ve shown some fair ability in his point to be bought privately. Definitely stays and is certainly built for the job; he’s an absolute beast. Henry said his schooling has been ‘very good’. Who’d have thunk Tiger Roll would’ve done what he’s pulled off over fences, the dirty flat rat! 😉
I agree about Dynamite Dollars Krypton. 50s is huge and i’m rowing in behind you on that. Minella Indo is the one I’m most excited about @20s for the RSA. The way he pulled during the race and still beat a pretty decent Albert Bartlett field marks him out as a potential superstar in my book. Trying to get as much on in case he follows up at Punchestown.
