Forum Replies Created
- Posts
One I’m looking forward to seeing reappear this upcoming season is Belle D’Or for Gosden, think she could be much better than her current mark of 104 over 8 or 9 furlongs. Very lightly raced for a 5yo, and Gosden could be targeting a handicap coup for this one. If he does I’ll have to back her.
I know someone who had a horse in her stable over here in a recent season, they had a 2yo newcomer, told me months in advance it would win at ‘good odds’. The horse opened at around 8/1 and went out to 25/1 in the minutes before the off. The horse pissed up.
I should add they backed the favourite of the race really hard just before the off, to cover themselves but more importantly to push the price of their one out. Cheeky b***ards know how to make the most of best odds guaranteed! To be fair this is probably all common practise in the game.
Taquin Du Seuil, was mighty impressed with his novice chase season, showing he’s a horse who can jump, travel at a high speed, has a nice turn of foot and can hold his own in a battle up the Cheltenham hill. Very disappointing at the festival last year and this season but has been racing over 3m which he doesn’t want. Came back to form last time out and is now favourite for the 2m5f Brown Advisory Plate (between 10/1 and 14/1).
Same as me, love reading the race by race rants as you called them, very amusing if you need a chuckle.
Haha if you want the definition of ‘sore loser’ go on the betfair forum the minute after a favourite loses, every race is bent!!
Na mate don’t think so, did them all on bet365 about 2-3 weeks ago and pretty sure they aren’t NRNB on accas
I know someone who had a horse in her stable over here in a recent season, they had a 2yo newcomer, told me months in advance it would win at ‘good odds’. The horse opened at around 8/1 and went out to 25/1 in the minutes before the off. The horse pissed up.
You’ve got a great strike rate over the last few years when backing ‘shorties’ Ginge (for you I’d call that around the evens mark), all about that patience and discipline. Well done today.
You’re spot on Joe, IMO although Willie can keep his targets quiet until close to the festival, when he does open his mouth he very rarely misleads punters.
A mighty ante-post book to say the least, very impressive! Love a lot of those bets, too many to name them all, but especially like the cheekiness of Townshend at 50/1, crazy price for a horse that you just know has been kept under wraps ready to be unleashed at the festival.
Gutted, not only has it stung my bets but I won’t get to see Faugheen regain his title in the flesh, the Tuesday will still be a great day though.
Obviously VVM goes for the Mares (only race she can will at the festival) and with Artic Fire not being owned by the Yanks wife you’d have to assume Rich will send Annie to the Champion Hurdle. Though I do think she’d be an incredibly strong yardstick in the world hurdle.
99% sure (based on no inside info) Min, UDS and Douvan will remain with their current targets and VVM goes to the Mares with Arctic Fire and Annie Power going to the Champion hurdle.
And of course Willie’s going to have a bunch of handicap runners/winners. That lot he had running in the Betfair hurdle had a nice easy warm-up.
Forgot about Artic Fire, perhaps they will send Annie to the world hurdle because Willie will be quietly confident the Fire can win the Champion Hurdle and then the Aintree Hurdle.
******* Faugheen, at least I didn’t put it in all my bets and have held off until March to do my bigger bets too, also means Thistlecrack won’t have to take on Annie Power in the World Hurdle.
Closely related to the ‘O Brien’ special on the flat, sometimes these two even manage to combine like we saw on the weekend when the O’Brien hotpot got turned over by one of the thousand runners Mullins had in the race. That was a really good fix, get all the Mullins horses to block the Aiden horse in and win on the 3rd string Mullins one.
Oh god, you’re telling me that the Mullins other string is going to ‘bounce back’ and win at big odds? That’d be a first for the Mullins stable LOL, bloody fixers maybe I’m on the wrong horse! They love a good false favourite to give them good odds on their actual selection. Me and my mate like to call it the ‘willie special’.
I think a lot of the favourites in the big races at the festival this year seem very classy and appear to act on most grounds, but in the handicaps I definitely see some surprise outcomes, expect to see a lot of horses who’ve finished way back in the heavy ground recently or even been kept off the track for a few months to feature prominently in the coral cup and county hurdle amongst others.
I’m very keen on Hargam in whatever handicap (guessing coral cup) he runs in as long as it’s good(ish) ground, also keen to back the Nichols trained Vincenzo Mio if he gets his chance in a handicap.
I wouldn’t say Ruby makes big mistakes at the final fence, but he doesn’t exactly ‘gear up’ a horse towards the last and ask it for a big leap, instead he lets the horse sort itself out and jump more at its own accord. If he told the horse it had to jump big and let the horse know this through the reigns then he’d have less falls at the last. So in short he doesn’t do much wrong at the last but he doesn’t do the extra things that help the horse know it has to take a big leap.
