The home of intelligent horse racing discussion
The home of intelligent horse racing discussion

Supreme Novices Hurdle 2020

Home Forums Archive Topics Cheltenham Archive Cheltenham 2020 Supreme Novices Hurdle 2020

Viewing 17 posts - 86 through 102 (of 182 total)
  • Author
    Posts
  • #1482157
    ham
    Participant
    • Total Posts 3633

    Shishkin being cut fir the supreme after that, why?….

    #1482159
    FinalFurlong91
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6657

    Henderson has confirmed he will run here is probably why

    #1482413
    FinalFurlong91
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6657

    Thoughts on chantry house?

    looked to have plenty of speed to me

    #1482501
    ham
    Participant
    • Total Posts 3633

    Confirming him coming here shouldnt make him 3/1 for this, miles away from whats needed, chantry house a much better candidate, asterion should be clear favourite, sectionals, visually, form all tie in with whats needed for this, if one was to go ballymore it should be shishkin after what asterion has done to this point

    Chantry house looked good, but im skeptical on the race

    #1482503
    Avatar photoKevMc
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1326

    There’s a pink button on the machine you should be bashing if that’s the case?

    #1482507
    FinalFurlong91
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6657

    Couldnt back asterion forlonge myself

    His jumping to the right puts me off and he still looked very green, wouldve liked him to have another run

    Cheltenham may come too soon for him

    Not a race I will be playing ante post as the bookies will be doing all sorts of offers on the day and other than shiskin/abacadabras we are guessing as to what turns up

    #1482522
    Avatar photoMarkTT
    Participant
    • Total Posts 3080

    I liked CHs performance and think he’ll appreciate the hill but the Ballymore would possibly be the more suitable

    Sporting John couldn’t race today and I expect they’ll want to keep them apart

    #1483473
    FinalFurlong91
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6657

    Skybet are money back as cash if you lose up to £10 on this race

    They arent giving good prices though so probably best to wait till the day

    #1483770
    Avatar photojackh1092
    Participant
    • Total Posts 3939

    That offer has fairly dropped FF which is disappointing. I read they lost like 10m from the offer last year, but still a company that size shouldn’t be concerned.

    Only so many accounts i can be assed opening for £10 bets…..

    He has the best form in theory, but the one im most against here is Abacadabras. Don’t think Cheltenham will suit him and i also don’t think that novice form is as strong as some do.

    Twitter: Jackh1092
    Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!

    #1483777
    FinalFurlong91
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6657

    Cant see him getting up the hill jack

    He was cruising turning for home in the bumper and found nothing at all for pressure

    #1483781
    Avatar photojackh1092
    Participant
    • Total Posts 3939

    Agreed FF. I can understand why people would back him on a price basis compared to the other front ones in the market. Just not for me. I think he’ll be overtaken by some of the other novices.

    Twitter: Jackh1092
    Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!

    #1483796
    Mike007
    Participant
    • Total Posts 9548

    I’m on Abracadabras. :-)

    #1483836
    ham
    Participant
    • Total Posts 3633

    not a hard race to assess for me personally i think asterion will bolt up should he make it, cant for the life of me see why shishkin is a short fav, abacadabras will be this years mengli khan, sporting john going elsewhere (mistake) chantry house through the stolen silver formline doesnt have a prayer but may improve, doubt it would be good enough to beat asterion

    The nrnb bet price at 5/1 for him looks fair to me, no chance if he runs to form hes out the first 3, think he will bolt up, wasnt the strongest grade 1 LTO but easywork was almost fav for this prior to that and mt leinster is half decent and he could have lapped both of them, shishkin looks a stayer to be which may suit him here and im not totally writing him off, but he shouldnt be that price

    #1483839
    FinalFurlong91
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6657

    The fly in the ointment could be the rain

    As if it continues to fall and it’s very soft at the festival envoi allen will likely run here

    #1483840
    Avatar photoKevMc
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1326

    If Shishkin is a stayer and Asterion Forlonge isn’t then i’m Sheikh Mohammed.

    #1483843
    FinalFurlong91
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6657

    The race on sunday showed the mt Leinster, easywork, andy dusfresne and captain guiness form lines are all weak

    Obviously asterion forlonge was miles better than them though but I will always have that doubt about him jumping to the right and how green he was

    At this stage I couldn’t possibly pick one and probably wouldnt even have a bet if skybet werent refunding all losers

    Cant find one that doesnt have negatives attached

    #1483893
    PedroCollingo
    Participant
    • Total Posts 5

    FF, what are the negatives you see with Chantry House? I agree with you on the others but for me CH looks great value at 7s. He has won all 3 starts beaten the likes of Stolen silver and Pipesmoker over hurdles and comfortably beat Edwardstone last year in a bumper. To me that form is rock solid. He’ll obviously need to improve again but sure so do the rest of them!

Viewing 17 posts - 86 through 102 (of 182 total)
  • You must be logged in to reply to this topic.