- This topic has 117 replies, 7 voices, and was last updated 13 years ago by
.
- Posts
There is a cracking 7f handicap at Kempton today and the runner I thought represented a bit of value was
Hazzard County
. Last time out he was caught a bit flat footed when Chillii Green took a chunk out the field up front and was miles back 3 out and turning in he was in last place had no chance as they sprinted for home. He’s best running here at Kempton on this the most galloping of the pollytrack courses giving him time to wind up a run and three of his wins have come here. He ran a nice race previously behind Piscean at Wolverhampton when he travelled well in rear and though not as well the winner they had very different trips in the final two as Pisceans rider stayed farside to come through runners Hazzard County was brought a lot wider for his outside the field and kept on well but couldn’t close on Piscean well enough. He might have a tough task getting to Piscean on that evidence, both are well handicapped pollytrack runners to their best but 7f at Kempton will bring out the best in Hazard County and he has run well here already in recent times when a fast finisher chasing home The Rectifier and Clockmaker in a conditions event. All in, he has a lot going for him and he looks over priced today.
1pt win
Hazzard County
12/1 general
Haydock 2.40
1pt win
Little Hercules
12/1 general
Been disappointing on his latest couple of starts but I think he still promises more to come, thought him a horse to follow when second here to Desert Cry in November and back to the track he reproduced his best effort hopefully will bring about a revival.
Thought you had disappeared as well tb, good to see Goats Cheese back, and best of luck with Hercules, and future selections, looks a decent price @ 12’s.
Thank you for your kind comments VTC.
Unplaced but ran on well eventually when looking like going nowhere, suspect still needed it a little bit and as I thought was evident with him originally he probably wants soft ground to be seen at his best, his knees are practically at right angles!!!
Wolverhampton 2.35
1pt win
Restless Bay
16/1 general
Squeeky bum ride from Spencer on the winner
love him or hate him makes for great viewing when he puts one up on the line like that! Class!Had prepared a write up for Pinerolo but price contracted too much for me. Bloody hell Sue Smith has come back to some kind of form, had a terrible time of it through Jan/Feb. Arthbutnot an Bowen are two I’m waiting to see a revival from also. Though Bowen will no doubt be in the summer when my eye is off the jumps game!!
3.20
1pt win
Marine Commando
11/1 bet365
Fahey yard notoriously start well and plenty ran well to back up that angle yesterday. Ran a cracker here last season against Internationaldebut, raced closest to pace that day of those that finished around him and travelled like a dream but no answer to the winner who was in insane form at the time. Still could prove well handicapped and looks to hold a good chance.
Nottingham 3.40
2pt win
Zuider Zee
7/1 coral, 6/1 general
Impressed by him when he won the November handicap and think he can progress this season. Conditions look in favour and I expect he’ll be more ready to go than others. John Gosden is always a strong starter in april/may with his runners from a break and that has continued this season with 3/7 winner (43%) and 6/7 placed (86%). Last season was only 18% strike rate at a loss to sp but the previous 3 years was over 25% each season with profitable returns so it’s a good time to go for his runners.
Goodwood 3.10
2pt win
Piscean
11/2 best price
Be surprised and gutted if he loses, should be too good for these lot today. Ground to soft lto and has shown improvement up to 7f in the winter. Loves the track, handicapped to canter over these.
Single handedly the most profitable horse I have ever backed and when things set right for him he usually delivers!
Very unlucky tb, liked your confidence this morning. Hopefully he’ll come in for you next time.
Goodwood 3.10
2pt win
Piscean
11/2 best price
Be surprised and gutted if he loses, should be too good for these lot today. Ground to soft lto and has shown improvement up to 7f in the winter. Loves the track, handicapped to canter over these.
Single handedly the most profitable horse I have ever backed and when things set right for him he usually delivers!
Bridle horse TB,bridle horse I’m afraid,0-90’s on the All weathers his game! Where have you been lately?
Won’t have a bit of it Gordon! Biggest problem for him has always been settling. Love him!
Thanks VTC also, was confident today and loaded up on the drift as I have done on a couple of his victories! no takings for today though!
Always go quiet over the change over Gord tend to spend a month watching more than punting until about now but also been stuffed for time with a few other things just haven’t got on here! Will get on more regular now!
Don’t imagine you’ve been watching a lot of all weather racing but Charlie Hills put out an interesting runner called Basseterre recently who looks well above the average maiden runners you see round about now!
There’s one I remembered posting in your thread in the winter!
Keep an eye on this Al Khawaneej beast as well Simcock has got winning at the moment, he’s a brute!
How’s things been going for you guys? Hope you are both well
Hey tb,same old same old with me, ‘Win some, lose some its all the same to me’ Thats the biggest load of bollox I’ve heard in a song that line from ‘Ace of spades’ by Motorhead! Looking forward to
Astrology winning the Derby
Its in the stars mate!
Not been on this for a while, few things took me away in the summer. Was 8.5pts up still when I left it, will post sporadically over the winter and disappear in summer again I expect!
Borders National @ Kelso
Cotswold Charmer very interesting runner, form working out well from his Bangor race and he looks a type to relish a test, Nigel can certainly train them to stay as well but he is no price at all at a top show of 2/1.
I also like Harouet though, he is an improving staying chaser at the moment and won well at Carlisle last time out and I think he will relish the test. Looks way over priced for this
2pt win
Harouet
@ 7/1 Paddypower
2.40
Fabled City looked like he would be suited to this step up in trip on his last run, he was off the bridle heading to 3 out and looking outpaced in mid field, he finished well and was keeping on all the time up the home straight and beaten only a length and finishing clear with the 1st and 2nd it looked a good run back off a small break. He was impressive winning at Epsom when seen before this appearance and he looks like he can improve a bit further yet and is unexposed on the pollytrack, he may well prove better on the fibresand given his pedigree but he proved himself very able on the pollytrack last time out and he looks to have a big chance here.
2pt win Fabled City @ 6/1 betfred (bog), totesport
3.40
An hour later a competitive event at the end of the card and I felt Mother Jones had been a bit over looked. She looked outpaced over 5f last time out in a better race and looks crying out for a step back up in trip. She romped away with a race previously at Wolverhampton over 6f and although she has won at 5f reasonably recently, last time was not the first time in recent races the 5f has looked short and this looks a better race for her. I think her jockey Eoin Walsh is an apprentice worth keeping an eye on and looks a very useful 7lb claimer. 7
1pt win
Mother Jones
@ 17/2 Victor Chandler (bog)
Looks the ideal race for
Ajjaadd
. Bit to keen last time out at Kempton in a better race than this, was unlucky over the sharper five furlong at Kempton before that when staying on from the rear having had plenty to do and not getting a clear run. He has been thriving and is in peak form at the moment and dropping back to five furlong is a significant factor for him as he really is a specialist at the distance. There is a lot of pace for him to run at and he has an outstanding chance.
2pt win
Ajjaadd
@ 6/1 Victor Chandler (bog)
Ajjaadd is proving a very consistent horse for me, backed him 3 times, finished 3rd three times! Every time on the nose of course.
Not a lot I find of interest today, the 4.45 at Kempton looks worth a small poke.
A very competitive stayers event and there are a handful of chance horses but I think
Somemothersdohavem
is a horse still worth following. He is an out and out pollytrack horse and in what should be a more solid run race than last time out I think he has a good chance of turning the tables with Gabrial’s King and Honourable Knight simply. He is still open to further improvement and we have not seen the best of him yet on the pollytrack I feel, his win over Arch Villain reads very well. He lines up against a stable mate here who is also in good form and the yard are absolutely flying at the moment and I would be at all surprised if they are battling out the finish.
1pt win
Somemothersdohavem
@ 11/1 whilliam hills (bog)
love him or hate him makes for great viewing when he puts one up on the line like that! Class!
- You must be logged in to reply to this topic.