Ratings Method – Dusted Off!

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FRIDAY SEPTEMBER 13

Doncaster
1.50 Evaluation 106; Quantum Leap 105; Faylaq 103; Dream Harder 102
4.10 Ayyab 97; THere’s The door 95; Meribella 95; Beatrice Shilling 94

Sandown
4.15 Darkness 106; Star Of Orion 105; Back See Daa 105; Billy Mill 105

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SATURDAY SEPTEMBER 14

Lingfield
2.35 Cover Point 98; Mc loven 96; Michaela’s Boy 95; Invincible Speed 93

Leopardstown
4.35 Spasiba 114; Mo Ghille Mor 111; Barnso 109; Lot Of Joy 109; New Years Honour 109
5.10 Verhoyen (Res) 109; Dance Night Andday 108; I Am superman 105; Physique 104; Hurricane Ivor 104; Dunum 104

Chester
2.40 Emiyn 124; Goobinator 124; Vera Verto 114; Solent Gateway 114
4.05 Gallant Lion 104; Have Secret 101; Maghlaak 100; Zarabanda 100; Paddy The Squire 100; Stressfree 100

Doncaster
2.25 Walbank 114; Aberama Gold 114; Apollo One 112; Get It 112; Holkham Bay 112; Wodao 112
4.15 Rathgar 116; Paradias 115; Daysofourlives 115; Mr King 114
5.25 Raadobarg 115; Dear My Friend 114; Rhythm Master 111; Storm Star 111

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SUNDAY SEPTEMBER 15

Bath
3.40 Masterdream 91; Cherry Cola 87; Beggarman 86; Myriad 85; Boy George 81
4.20 Brian The Snail 85; Beyond Equal 84; Delagate The Lord 83; Vaunted 83; Treacherous 82; Sarah’s Verse 82; Under Curfew 82; Foreseeable Future 82

Doncaster
2.05 Existent 108; Venture Capital 105; Badri 103; Ready Freddie Go 102
2.40 Newsreader 116; Burdett 113; Golden Mind 112; Paborus 111
4.15 King’s Lynn 114; Knebworth 114; Rhythm Master 113; Baldomero 113; Orazio 112

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MONDAY SEPTEMBER 16

Worcester
1.55 Silent Revolution 133; Minella Double 125; Isabella Bee 122
2.25 Grey Skies 135; Watergrange Jack 131; Bagheera Ginge 127

TUESDAY SEPTEMBER 17

Yarmouth
4.35 Alcazan 100; Apeeling 98; Kitai 96; Zouky 95

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Back down to Kelso to catch up with the ‘jumping mob’ on Wednesday. Reasonable card for the evening meeting and two decent handicaps for this thread. It must be said, a handful of the ‘jumping mob’ turned up at Musselburgh flat meetings over the summer but did look a little lost!

WEDNESDAY SEPTEMBER 18

Yarmouth
4.05 Majestic 104; Arctic Mountain 100; Luanrion 99

Kelso
5.05 Baron De Midleton 137; Kaleb 132; Well Educated 132; Ashington 132
5.35 Grey Diamond 136; Arthur’s Quay 135; Mint gold 135; Garde Des Champs 134

Bust A Move miles in front at Ayr on Thursday courtesy of running down the field behind the now Group class Kalpana. Not run since so there’s a big cautionary note.

At Yarmouth First Folio continues to look well treated though on a run of 15 without a win, tried in an eyeshield this time.

THURSDAY SEPTEMBER 19

Ayr
3.42 Bust A Move 138; Bennetot 107; Arthur’s Realm 107; Barley 105

Yarmouth
4.25 First Folio 102; Amazionian Dream 101; Rocking Ends 99; Buccabay 94; The Good Biscuit 94

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Bronze Cup is the first of 3 big field sprint handicaps in 2 days at Ayr. As you would expect of a field where most have been running against each other all season the field is generally closely matched. However, Jonny Concrete has a potential advantage in the Bronze Cup.

FRIDAY SEPTEMBER 20

Ayr
4.15 Jonny Concrete 90; Moyola 85; Roundhay Park 84; Havana Rum 84; The Ridler 84; Trilby 83; Parisiac 83

Newton Abbot
4.55 Wonderful Eagle 138; Clearance 136; Onemorefortheroad 134; War Lord 128

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Ayr gold Cup looks very close with most of the runners within 7lbs of the top, conditions and draw peerahps a stronger factor than ratings. The handicapper has got a hold on most and they have now been moved up to reflect good form in similar events. This does create opportunities for others and one who has been running decent races through the season without winning is Strike Red who comes out a couple of pounds in front of the others and looks decent each-way material where bookmakers offer 6 places.

In the Silver Cup Rhythm N Hooves ran well last time after a string of so-so runs and looks placed to take advantage of his current mark.

*** EDITED FOR NON-RUNNERS 21/09/24 13:04 ***

SATURDAY SEPTEMBER 21

Ayr
1.15 Padishaikh 103; Yantarni 101; Red Hat Eagle 100; Yermanthere 100
2.25 Rhythm N Hooves 100; Be Proud 99; Sergeant Pep 99; Londoner 98; Twelfth Knight 98; Rock Opera 97; Brooklyn Nine Nine 97
3.35 Strike Red 116; Commanche Falls 114; Jordan Electrics 114; Pilgrim 114; Billyjoh 114; Dare to Hope 114; Korker 113; Orazio 113; Aleezdancer 113; Aramis Grey 113
5.15 Kihavah 98; Kitsune Power 97; Mountain Road 90; La Pulga 89

Newbury
2.05 Not So Sleepy 114; Grand Applause 113; Chillingham 113; Knightswood 112;
2.40 Whip Cracker 120; Houstonn 117; Mustazeed 110; Involvement 109
5.00 City Of York 100; King Cabo 97; Run Boy Run 96

Newmarket
3.55 Tactician 111; Duke Of Verona 110; The Grand Visir 110; Trooper Bisdee 109; Diamond Bay 109

Chester
4.15 Night On Earth 98; Secret Mistral 95; Roman Dragon 93; Almaty Star 93; Bang On The Bell 93

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SUNDAY SEPTEMBER 22

Plumpton
3.50 Enthused 138; Donnie Azoff 136; King’s Castle 135; Addosh 122

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TUESDAY SEPTEMBER 24

Warwick
3.30 Presentandcounting 141; Sacre Coeur 140; Innisfree Lad 139; Planned Paradise 138

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WEDNESDAY SEPTEMBER 25

Perth
3.03 Hidden Depths 150; Statuario 146; Inis Oirr 145

Goodwood
2.55 Love De Vega 108; Magic Memories 107; Hafeet Alain 106
5.15 Plus Point 94; Divine Presence 94; Entrancement 91

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THURSDAY SEPTEMBER 26

Perth
1.52 Whistle Stop Tour 146; Autumn Return 146; Cadell 140
3.02 La Renommee 133; Wasdell Dundalk 133; Idem 129; City Derby 129

Newmarket
2.45 Executive Decision 121; Funny Story 110; Dance And Romance 107; Kinta 101

Pontefract
3.10 Whathappensinvegas 106; Baryshnikov 104; Lightening Company 104; Educate 101

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FRIDAY SEPTEMBER 27

Haydock
3.25 King Of Light 112; Up THe Clarets 110; Teej A 103
4.00 Walter Hartright 102; Hot Fuss 102; Sam Hawkens 100; Calvert 100
5.10 Yanifer 96; Quest For Fun 95; Feel The Need 95; Lexington Belle 89
5.40 Woodstock 94; Lord Bertie 93; Myal 85

Newmarket
5.20 More Thunder 100; Westridge 99; Siempre Arturo 98; Glucestershire 96; Mortlake 96; Battle Queen 96

Worcester
3.45 Captain Attridge 149; Fine Margin 141; Bob Bob Ricard 137; Harrar 136

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SATURDAY SEPTEMBER 28

Newmarket
1.15 Timefall 104; Royal Equerry 97; Beauty Nation 96; Creative Lady 96; Harmonia 88
3.40 Poniros (Res 2) 116; La Trinidad 115; Dutch Decoy 114; Coeur d’Or 113; Ron O 113; Andaleep 113; Bemnentot 112
4.45 Mission To Moon 108; Spangled Mac 107; Run Boy run 106; Street Kid 104; Spanish Blaze 104

Haydock
1.30 Dashing Darcey 108; Raadobarg 103; Whiskey Pete 103; Rhoscolyn 92
2.40 Knebworth 94; Trilby 94; Mister sox 94; Chairmanoftheboard 93; Parisiac 93

ripon
3.20 Tacarib Bay 107; Secret Guest 107; Fortamour 107; Tropical Island 106; Eye Of Dubai 105

Market Rasen
4.35 West To The Bridge 147; Castel Gandolfo 146; Oslo 146; Our Champ 142; Greyval 142
5.10 Small Bad Bob 144; Francky Du Berlais 141; Envious Eater 137

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SUNDAY SEPTEMBER 29

Epsom
4.05 Arthur’s Realm 102; Whiskey Pete 101; Roarin’ Success 98; Fast Steps 98

MONDAY SEPTEMBER 30

Hamilton
3.35 Zarabanda 95; Austrian Theory 95; Beraz 92; Faylaq 89
4.10 Good Earth 98; Digital 98; Origntrail 97; Ventura Express 96

Newton Abbot
4.20 Inca De Lafayette 132; Home Free 130; Moveit Like Minnie 122
4.55 Bells Of Peterboro 135; Investmaent Manager 134; Fantastikas 134

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A nice winner at Hamilton yesterday with Zarabanda dotting up at 7/2, followed home by joint top rated Austrian Thoery and the 3rd rated Beraz. A good one to watch from the stands as she had the race won from 2 out.

Good Earth finished second at 5/1 in our other rated contest at Hamilton. Only a handful of bookmakers had 5/1 on their boards until just before the off. Backing their opinion in the ring isn’t prevalent these days but the Billy Morton firm essentially backed the favourite Never Dark having that short and going long on most of the rest. It paid too as there was a queue at the Morton stand all through the preliminaries and Never Dark put in a solid perforamcne to win the race. THe Racing Post did a Q & A with Billy Morton on the day (behind a pay wall) unfortunately and that would make interesting reading, but it seems the firm were willing to ‘have a go’ which is heartening in a weak on-course situation. It was a Glasgow Public Holiday yesterday with a decent crowd in attendance despite the wet weather and that must have helped.

It was rainy at Hamilton yesterday but really the first serious rain we have had up here for a couple of weeks. Meanwhile Newton Abbot fell to the wet weather down south and Nottingham has to survive a morning inspection tomorrow.

WEDNESDAY OCTOBER 2

Nottingham
3.10 Blewburton 96; Eighteencaratgold 96; Rare Change 94
3.45 The Ridler 91; Hierarchy 86; Music Society 94; Havana Pursuit 94; So Grateful 84
4.20 Corsican Caper 91; Expressionless 90; Alpine Stroll 90; Wahraan 89
4.55 Ardbraccan 91; Elladonna 87; Tribal Wisdom 87; Amancio 84

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THURSDAY OCTOBER 3

Warwick
2.55 Genois 148; Asta La Pasta 143; Big Blue Moon 136
3.30 Harjo 136; Gris Majeur 129; Long Draw 121; Foveros 120

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September has historically been one of the better months for the ratings on this thread in over 4 years of it’s history. However, nitroduction of a slightly different and simpler ‘recent form’ filter seems to have brought about a signiifcant improvement in returns.

All top rated – 16 winenrs from 92 races returning 106.35pts to 1 pt win stake, fair profit nad encouraging.

However, ignoring all those at SP over 10/1 see a significant improvement:
14 winners from 57 (24.6%) with returns of 93.35pts (163.7%)

Taking the lowest priced of the top 3 gives worse returns 18 wins from 92 with a small loss 88.80. Suggest teh top rated is now more signifcant, particularly if the market prioce backs it up.

Overall from top 3 – 35 wins from 92 races (38%) which is acceptalbe in what is a month full of competitive contests.

Promising but will not take anything for granted and will keep monitoring. I hope one or two readers bagged a decent winner or two last month.

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