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Tagged: Ratings Handicaps
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robnorth.
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- July 27, 2021 at 15:26 #1552191
Races cut up at Goodwood with a significant going change from Sunday. Hopefully tomorrow’s entries will have the gonig change factored in and there won’t be as many non-runners.
WEDNESDAY JULY 28
Goodwood
1.50 Vina Bay 117; Nagano 112; Siskany 110; Kings Prince 110; Recovery Run 109; Pleasant Man 109; Chase The Dollar 109
4.45 Wait For The Lord 109; Prado 108; Seattle Rock 100; Percy’s Pride 99; Kaledioscopic 98
5.20 Desert Doctor 106; Epic Endeavour 102; Hieronymus 100; Enough Already 100; Be Prepared 99; Zhui Feng 99Perth
2.35 Kajaki 131; Island Mahee 129; Bellaney Gem 128; Stonific 125; For Three 125
3.10 Cracking Destiny 134; Solar Impulse 130; Amlfi Doug 129; Ardera Cross 114Sandown
7.55 Far Hope 97; Rebel Territory 97; Bashosh 96; Motawaafeq 96;July 28, 2021 at 16:17 #1552369A liberal sprinkling of winners at goodwood which is pleasing at a meeting I’ve struggled at recently. Used to mint it at Goodwood in the 1980s but lost my way for a good while after that.
Tomorrow sees a couple of Goodwood handicaps but also a card of 0-90 Class 3 handicaps for the Racing League at Newcastle. Can’t say this project is particularly welcome becin it’s a closed shop, and haven’t investigated the latter in depth as yet, but they look pretty run of the mill fare. If there is one that catches the eye it’s the Irish filly Bright Idea who has threatened to win a decent handicap in Ireland and could be too good for the rest in the 8.25.
At Goodwood either Alfaadhel is snip of the year in what used to be the ‘Extel’ or is flattered by an inflated rating via quirk of the method! The three-year-old sprint looks a tight ‘un. Ironically now drying ground could be the problem runner wise rather than the soft.
Goodwood
1.50 Alfaadhel 130; King Frankel 115; Qaader 114; Dingle 114; Patient Dream 113
5.20 Digital 108; Whenthedealinsdone 107; First company 107; Isle Of Lismore 107; Jojo Rabbit 107; Nomadic Empire 105; Fantasy Master 105Stratford
2.45 Ronde Du Nuit 131; Green Or Black 126; Lady Reset 123; Solstilla 119Newcastle
6.25 Kingsholm 105; Spoof 103; Copinet 103; Saluti 99; Soapys Sister 98
6.55 Imperial Froce 107; Ppapa Stour 95; Strike Red 94; Royal Musketeer 92; Irish Acclaim 91
7.25 Woven 99; Rodin 98; Royal Pleasure 97; French Rain 96; Gambon 96
7.55 Crownthorpe 97; Bonneval 96; Toronado Grey 96; Tenbury Wells 95; Buckingham 95
8.25 Bright Idea 100; Bollin Joan 98; King Of Tsavo 97; Greystoke 94; Oslo 93
8.55 Marshall Plan 99; Pearl Beach 99; Igraine 99; Steel An Icon 98; Cadeau D’Or 97July 29, 2021 at 16:24 #1552521Listed quite a few for that handicaps as there’s more rain forecast and one or two have already run at the meeting. Charlie Johnston inferred that Qaader won’t take up his engagemment, which is rather taking the p*** with entries on consecutive days, but then we’re only punters and financing the sport so what do we matter? Hopefully one of the reserves gets in…
FRIDAY JULY 30
Goodwood
1.50 The Grand Visir 114; Rajinsky 114; Thai Terrier 113; Couer De Lion 112; Who Dares Wins 111; Buriram 111; Smart Champion 111
3.00 Hartswood 121; Maydanny 116; Epic Endeavour 115; Qaysar 114; Path Of Thunder 114; Ebury(R) 114; Greenside 113
5.20 Barn Owl 102; Mickydee 102; Champagne Piaff 99; Something Enticing 99; Scampi 98; State Of Bliss 95Bangor
2.10 Oscar Nomination 148; Havan Hermano 141; Rock On Rocco 137; Cesar Et Rosalie 136;Musselburgh
8.22 Get Boosting 93; Kraken Power 93; Victory Angel 92; Primo’s Comet 92July 30, 2021 at 15:03 #1552710A real grind to get through the ratings for the weekend with two huge fields of sprinters at Goodwood. I’m happy with the ratings though and it will be disappointting if I’m somewhere near with both races. I particular like the prospects of Music Society in the Consolation race as he’s in rattlnig good form and has gone up in the ratings after the weights were published.
SATURDAY JULY 31
Goodwood
1.20 Just Frank 112; Run To Freedom 112; Quintillus 108; Oo De Lally 107
1.55 Music Society 106; National League 105; Show Me Show Me 105; The Lamplighter 105; Embour 102; Boundless Power 102
2.30 Hochfeld 116; Prince Alex 115; Aaddeey 112; My Frankel 111; Win O’Clock 110; The Trader 110
3.40 Great Ambassador 128; Bielsa 122; Lampang 120; Atalanta’s Boy 120; Mr Lupton 119; Hurricane Ivor 118
4.45 Hundred Isles 97; Turntable 96; Zwayyan 94; HMS President 93; Ebury 93; Topanticipation 93; Rebel Territory 93; The Whipmaster 93Newmarket
3.20 Big Kitten 104; War Leader 103; Law Of One 99; Untold Story 98
3.55 Fangorn 104; Twaasol 102; Final Watch 100; Existent 98; Evening Song 98Doncaster
3.30 Strait Of Hormuz 107; Bear Force One 104; Benadolid 104; Spanish Archer 103; Finest Sound 102; Baryshnikov 102
4.02 Bergerac 106; Dream Composer 105; Imperium Blue 102; Baba Reza 102; Ascot Adventure 99Hamilton
7.20 Chichester 109; Jump The Gun 108; Artistic Rifles 107; Home Before Dusk 106SUNDAY AUGUST 1
Thirsk
3.25 Candescence 92; Liberated Lady 91; Shawaamekh 91; Cassy O 91; Zip 90;
3.57 Satono Japan 94; Itkaann 94; Trinity Lake 94; Global Spirit 93; Headingley 93; Just Hiss 93; Give It Some Teddy 93Chester
4.45 Jumaira Bay 102; Lincoln Park 99; Fizzy Feet 97; Baby Steps 97; Gabrial The Devil 95August 1, 2021 at 12:58 #1553055MONDAY AUGUST 2
Kempton
3.50 Horsefly 97; Hyanna 95; Goolwa 93
Ripon
3.42 Paws For Thought 99; Gale Force Maya 97; Macho Pride 91
Windsor
6.45 A Sure Welcome 113; Tinto 111; Indian Creak 111; Lihou 110; Flying Pursuit 110August 2, 2021 at 11:28 #1553193TUESDAY AUGUST 3
Chelmsford
4.18 Jack The Truth 105; Top Breeze 99; Lomu 99; Raaeb 97; Rewaayat 97August 3, 2021 at 14:26 #1553285Three races on Wednesday including the Brighton Mile, which is always a competitive event at its level and, sicne this meeting used to be one of my regular favourites, I’ve taken the liberty of including this Class 4 and the feature races on Thursday and Friday.
Update on annual results:
Top: 154/948 returning 898.41
5lbs Clear: 42/261 returning 237.78
Shortest Priced From Top 3: 198/843 returning 771.40
All Races: 400/843 (47.4%)
Single Top: 138/843 returning 804.92A decent return from the top three of 47% winners. Single top selection is proving a better marker than using the shortest of the top 3 in the betting, in direct contrast to results from the Irish Ratings thread. Returns from single top are 95.4% at SP which is very decent from blind support of one horse in each race and I suspect stands well against comercially available ratings, particularly at the most competitve end of the handicapping spectrum.
The above notwithstanding I was disappointed overall with July results, though with some judicious filtering did manage to turn a profit on my over bets over the period.
WEDNESDAY AUGUST 4
Bath
2.45 Arctic Victory 92; Anmaat 91; Leroy Leroy 90; Ridgeway 88Brighton
4.10 Masked Identity 92; Chief Of Staff 89; De Vegas Kid 87; Dawn View 82; Urban War 81Pontefract
3.10 Prince Imperial 97; Military Two Step 97; Let Me Be 95; Tashkhan 95August 4, 2021 at 16:42 #1553378A busy Thursday principally due to another bout of Racing League 0-90s at Doncaster. While I think this project is flawed it does present a batch of crackable handicaps at ‘my level’. Good profit from backing the top three at Newcastle last week, headlined by 20/1 winner in joint top rated Pearl Beach. Rain forecast for tomorrow so presumably any withdrawals will bash a hole in some teams’ resources, as if it matters.
Once again I’ve thrown in the feature race at Brighton which is the Challenge Cup, though this race is a light of former days when won by top class animal Park Top in the 60s. She won it twice and as a 3yo had previously won the Ribblesdale Stakes.
THURSDAY AUGUST 5
Brighton
2.30 Squelch 85; Ravens Ark 82; Clongowes 80; Atalanta Breeze 80; Kelmscott 79Redcar
3.20 Byron’s Choice 101; Thunder Of Niagara 100; Scottish Summit 96; Aquaman 96Sandown
7.02 Farhan 102; Rewired 102; Mashhoor 101; Without Revenge 100; Royal Air Force 94Doncaster
5.42 Autumn Forest 100; Ballintoy Harbour 100; Irish Acclaim 100; Tenaya Canyon 96; Copper Knight 95; Equitation 95
6.13 Jonah Jones 99; Akkeringa 99; Golden Apollo 97; Ivathengine 95; Night Of Romance 94
6.48 Strongbowe 106; Rovaniemi 98; Typhoon Ten 95; Dilawara 94; Revolutionise 92; Blackheath 92; Foxtrot Sizzler 92
7.20 Canoodled 109; Air To Air 103; Celtic Empress 94; Serenading 93; Sir Edward Elgar 93 (appropriate that these last two should be on the same mark)
7.53 Russian Virtue 102; Sarvan 98; HMS President 95; Khagan 95; Duckett’s Grove 94
8.25 Furzig 96; Amir Kabir 95; Currency Exchange 94; Moon Daisy 94; Au Clair De Lune 93August 5, 2021 at 20:41 #1553503Struggling to find even a placed horse at Doncaster this evening, but my own betting at these Racing League meetings is going to be very selective as it’s bang average fare.
More Team Racing at Ascot on Saturday though the standard of the Shergar Cup races looks a bit better than the Racing League. A couple of decent handicaps at Musselburgh tomorrow. There’s a 3 runner contest at Newmarket (7.08) but I can only rate 2 on handicap form so will give that one a miss.
FRIDAY AUGUST 6
Brighton
3.00 Sir Oliver 94; Tin Hat 93; Bezzas Lad 89; Pagan 86; Tyger Bay 86Musselburgh
3.10 Wise Eagle 106; Raymond 104; Watersmeet 103; Glasses Up 100; Red Force One 100
3.45 Makanah 109; Mokaatil 105; Sunday Sovereign 104; Jabbarockie 102Newmarket
6.38 Zabeel Champion 107; Volcanic Sky 106; Boss Power 101; Makram 98
7.38 Beyond Equal 94; Dancinginthewoods 92; Soar Above 85; Green Power 84August 6, 2021 at 19:57 #1553624SATURDAY AUGUST 7
Ascot
12.50 Aplomb 116; King Of Stars 110; Tis Marvellous 104; Snazzy Jazzy 102
1.25 Indianaplois 105; Hasanabad 105; Indigo Times 105; Reshoun(R) 103; Call My Bluff 102
2.00 Master The Stars 115; Mancini 106; Spanish Kiss 105; Restorer 104; Sam Cooke 104; Group One Power 104; Torcello(R) 104
2.35 Power Of Darkness(R) 109; Corazon Espinado 109(R) 109; Young Fire 108; Dashing Roger 105; Dance Fever 104; Vintager 104
3.10 Barn Owl 99; Contact 98; Annandale 96; Buxted Too 95
3.45 Dream Composer 107; Cairn Corm 105; Mitrosonfire 104; Royal Scimitar 100; Bowman 100Haydock
2.25 Fantastic Fox 97; Dubai Mirage 95; A Boy Named Ivy 94; Bakersboy 93
5.10 Fools Rush In 109; Inveigle 101; Il Bandito 100; Entwistle 98Newmarket
4.30 Chief Little Hawk 110; Fame And Acclaim 101; Quintillus 101; Mustarrid 100
5.00 The City’s Phantom 103; Bugle Major 102; Classical Wave 102; Sky Defender 99
5.30 Lucky Deal 99; Autumn War 98; Dancing Harry 96; Amazing Red 93SUNDAY AUGUST 8
Windsor
2.35 Mars Landing 100; Ghaly 99; Arafi 94; Ajyaall 92August 8, 2021 at 11:15 #1553891A good spread of winners in the top 3 yesterday and I managed to get on enough of them to turn a profit. Betting wise I’ve been attmepting to identify the progressive types from those near the top.
Just a couple of small field races tomorrow and then nothing else Class 3 or better until Thursday when there’s a batch of so-so Class 3s in the Lingfield leg of the Racing League.
MONDAY AUGUST 9
Ayr
3.00 Kolisi 98; Chichester 91; Platinumcard 90; Khagan 86Ripon
7.25 Fast Medicine 95; Cuban Dancer 92; Blu Boy 90; Cosmos Raj 88August 11, 2021 at 18:29 #1554431Very quiet before the weekend apart from a bout of Racing League at Lingfield.
THURSDAY AUGUST 12
Salisbury
4.40 Percy’s Pride 103; Maytal 102; Hyanna 100; Horsefly 100Lingfield
5.38 Isle Of Lismore 98; Talbot 97; Copinet 96; Isalbella Swan 95; Strike Red 95
6.08 Mid Winster 96; Papa Stour 95; Lady Celia 94; Jack The Truth 92
6.38 Mohareb 97; French Rain 96; Golden Force 96; La Maquina 95; Royal Pleasure 95; Isola Rossa 95
7.08 Run Forrest Run 93; Music To My Ears 91; River Dawn 89; Atheeb 88; Glentaneous 88
7.38 Menai Bridge 96; Fame N Fortune 95; Oslo 95; Rival 94; Easily 94
8.08 Pure Bubbles 105; Red October 98; Songkran 96; Nikolayeva 95August 12, 2021 at 17:03 #1554799Three not particularly exciting handicaps to cover on Friday. A small field at Newmarket, something that has happened too often recently at this level and doesn’t reflect well on local stables. That said holding a 1m 6f class 2 event on Saturday a few days before the Ebor doesn’t strike me as particularly smart programming. Doesn’t explain 5 entered for Friday’s Class 3 mile race mind.
FRIDAY AUGUST 13
Nottingham
3.35 Stargazer 96; Byron Hill 96; Couer De Lion 95; Vis A Vis 94
4.10 True Scarlet 86; Crown Power 83; Babindi 77; Tregony 76Newmarket
7.38 Power Of Darkness 108; Maxi Boy 104; Variyann 102; Thibaan 98August 13, 2021 at 16:31 #1555091Racing League top rated continued in profit with Menai Bridge at 9/1, but I really encourage them. Another couple of top rated this afternoon, though fields were small.
The two ‘divisons’ of the Great St Wilfrid both look real toughies with the majority within 7lbs on my figures in both.
SATURDAY AUGUST 14
Newmarket
2.00 Makawee 113; Eileendover 106; Quenelle D’Or 106; Military Two Step 104
3.05 Premier Power 117; First Folio 113; Rathbone 110; Sunset Breeze 108Newbury
2.55 Silver Samurai 100; Ajyaall 95; Magical Wish 94; Starshiba 93Doncaster
2.25 Getit 102; Caroline Dale 97; Blue De Vega 94; Saluti 93
3.00 Inveigle 104; Dance Fever 103; Admirality 102; Repartee 100Ripon
3.10 Ehrmann 95; Mythmaker 95; Ghathanfar 94; Cooperation 94; John Kirkup 93; Gabrial The Devil 92; Out the Hat 92; Danzan 92; True Mason 92
3.45 Abate 113; Lampang 112; Staxton 112; Manigordo 111; Brad The Brief 109; Intrinsic Bond 109; Gale Force Maya 109; Embour 109; Muscika 109
4.20 Poet’s Dawn 98; Garden Oasis 98; Safran 97; Enigmatic 94; Kettle Hill 94Perth
3.20 Minella Trump 154; Esendash 153; Juge Et Parti 143; Presentandcounting 139
3.50 Histroic Heart 152; Peaked Too Soon 141; Blakeney Point 137; Ingleby Hollow 137
4.20 Bellaney Gem 141; Pammi 137; Caius Marcius 132; Shetland Bus 132SUNDAY AUGUST 15
Chelmsford
3.35 Hala Joud 97; Tomouh 82; Lethal Talent 77; Mathamisa 68 (remaining two runners prmoising, lightly raced and no handicap form)Pontefract
2.35 Possible Man 96; Arrow Of Gold 95; Kings Prince 94; Dash Of Spice 91
3.45 Baby Alya 103; Tadreeb 102; Duty Of Care 98?; Ready to vEnture 91August 15, 2021 at 12:48 #1556113A quiet start to the week before the York meeting from Wednesday. Progressive Legendary Day ran well in a decent contest on step up to Class 3 and looks very interesting making the long trip from East Ilsley to Hamilton on Tuesday.
MONDAY AUGUST 16
Bangor
7.05 Calum Gilhooley 134; Morraman 131; Catchmeifyoucan 130; Justatenner 129TUESDAY AUGUST 17
Hamilton
3.25 Legendary Day 97; Bringitonboris 96; Where’s Jeff 92; Freak Out 91; Battle Of Wills 90August 17, 2021 at 12:35 #1557067WEDNESDAY AUGUST 18
York
1.50 Twilight Calls 114; Pendleton 113; Mondammej 113; Jawwaal 112; Live In The Moment 111; Hurricane Ivor 110
4.10 Makawee 113; Platform Nienteen 111; Arcadian Sunrise 110; Elysian Flame 108; Torcello 108
4.45 Ice Station Zebra 103; Ballintoy Harbour 102; Four Adaay 102; Mid Winster 101; Not On Your Nellie 98Worcester
5.30 Longhouse Sale 141; Duke Of Navan 140; Bathiva 138; Leapaway 132
6.00 Little Bruce 161; Royal Village 158; Pink Eyed Pedro 153; Haul Away 151August 18, 2021 at 15:13 #1557246A couple of typically tough contests at York tomorrow. The Windsor Racing League card on the same day is a case of the organisers having their heads stuck up their own rears regarding this project, not surprisingly with the clash there’s not a full compliment of 12 in any race. Handicapper seems to have a hold of many of these horses who have been racing against each other and most are close contests.
THURSDAY AUGUST 19
Stratford
2.40 Lock’s Corner 169; Mercian Prince 158; Cracknig Destiny 152; YCCS Portocervo 149York
3.00 Ametist 118; Magical Morning 112; Cruyff Turn 112; Gifted Ruler 112; Cliffs Of Capri 111
5.20 Arousing 110; Arousing 109; Star Of Emeraaty 106; Coul Queen 106; Arabian Romance 104Windsor
5.25 Leodis Dream 97; Enduring 97; Kool Moe Dee 94; Boundless Power 93; Lady Celia 93
5.55 Temple Bruer 95; Asad 92; Tanfantic 92; Golden Dragon 92; Smeaton’s Light 91; Natural Path 91; Night Of Romance 91
6.25 Toronado Grey 106; Echo Beach 102; Dark Lion 99; Double Dealing 99; Larado 99
6.55 Lord Neidin 98; Gin Palace 98; Delgrey Boy 96; Hieronymus 95; Currency Exchange 95
7.25 Oslo 96; Miss monarch94; Fierospeed 94; Epidemic 93; Champagne Piaff 92; Semper Augustus 92; Barenboim 92
7.55 Red October 99; Luigi Vampa 97; Igraine 96; Dreamweaver 95; Songkran 94 - AuthorPosts
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