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Ratings Method – Dusted Off!

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  • #1521158
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    Supremely Lucky was a nice winner at 10/1 to give profit for the top 3 across the two races.

    THURSDAY FEBRUARY 4

    Wincanton
    2.10 Darlac 169; Springfield Fox 151; Ballycross 150
    2.45 Mustang Alpha 148; Stormy Flight 139; And The New 138

    Chelmsford
    5.30 Sun Power 109; Watchable 104; Edraak 103; Last Page 103
    8.00 Recon Mission 102; Rovaniemi 99; Leodis Dream 97

    Very wet and cold up here at the moment, but hopeful that Musselburgh will soak up the rain well enough for a decent two day meeting to take place. Sandown’s Saturday meeting is now all chases, unusual these days but the Royal Artillery meeting used to be and all chase affair.

    #1521311
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    FRIDAY FEBRUARY 5

    Lingfield
    2.40 Oslo 98; Pactolus 97; Society Red 96

    Catterick
    2.00 Exo’Dela 136; Small Present 136; Bailarico 135
    2.30 gipsy Rose Lee 134; Whatsdastory 133; Lucca Lady 112

    #1521423
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    Small Present top rated and shortest price in top 3 gave us a winner at 7/2.

    Weather dependent for what’s actually on tomorrow, but Musselburgh looks OK if likely to be testing. Sunday would require the course to miss forecast snow.

    SATURDAY FEBRUARY 6

    Musselburgh
    1.29 Ramonex 138; Cracking Find 134; Oscar Ceremony 128; Pougne Bobbi 127
    2.05 Newtown Boy 162; Ashington 162; Dear Sire 155; Christopher Wood 152
    2.40 Return Ticket 153; Ruinous 150; Boy’s On Tour 147; Monsieur Co 140
    3.45 Classic Escape 154; The Delray Munky 145; Stay Humble 144; Billy Bronco 144

    Sandown
    1.15 Mr One More 162; Dolos 154; Paddy’s Poem 151; Moonlighter 149
    2.55 Alnadam 141; Evander 140; Doitforthevillage 139; Gardefort 135
    3.30 Ask Me Early 137; A Toi Phil 136; Coo Star Sivola 133; Dominateur 130

    Wetherby
    3.00 Adicci 140; Kalaharry 140; Eternally Yours 136; Multellie 135; Ebony Jewel 135; Eaton Hill 135
    3.35 Hasankey 127; Laskadine 121; Dharan 119; Countister 100

    #1521575
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    SUNDAY FEBRUARY 7

    Musselburgh
    2.55 Mount Mews 145; Chapel Stile 142; Keeper Hill 141

    #1522057
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    My nightmare horse Taxmeifyoucan snatched the hurdle at Musselburgh. A decent horse on his day, but invariably I’m on him when he has an off day and let him run on his good days!

    A light load for the next couple of days and weather may well have a say for the turf meetings.

    MONDAY FEBRUARY 8

    Carlisle
    3.10 Haul Us In 128; Leverock Lass 121; Kapga De Lily 113

    TUESDAY FEBRUARY 9

    Taunton
    3.30 Broadclyst 140; Cuban Pete 138; Eclair Surf 137; Orrisdale 137

    #1522340
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    Not much action other than artificial surface at the moment. I missed this evening’s race so here are ratings and one qualifying contest at Wolves tomorrow.

    TUESDAY FEBRUARY 9
    Southwell 6.15 Tynecastle Park 94; Alfredo 90; Indigo Times 90

    WEDNESDAY FEBRUARY 10
    Wolverhampton 6.15 Revolutionise 117; Sir Maximilian 111; Keyser Soze 108

    #1522385
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    A nice 11/1 winner at Southwell this evening and I got lucky betting wise. I’m using Shortest Priced of Top 3 to decide my selection and at SP that was Tynecastle Park at 17/2. However, when I took a snap shot of the market the winner was at the shortest price and the subsequent bet (at a tad over 13/1 Betfair SP) has put me tidily in profit for the year. I suspect there will be these difference between my bets and the ‘qualifying selection’ but I would expect it would even itself out in the long run.

    #1522510
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    Fill your boots time today with Revolutionise a tidy 3/1 winner in a weakly contested Class 2 race where teh favourite looked up against it at the weights.

    No races qualifying tomorrow and I suspect we will probably be artificial surface races only through to Sunday. Six inches of snow and counting in our area of Dunfermline!

    #1522618
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    No all-weather contests at a good enough level for me tomorrow and, assuming the jumps card are called off at the weekend, not awful lot better Saturday and Sunday. I may be forced to rate some Class 4 handicaps to give myself some, and we aren’t overloaded with those!

    Current spell of weather reminds me of my youth when there would be much talk over preceding weeks and days about Newbury’s Schweppes Gold Trophy before it was frozen or snowed off! Bit more imaginative these days and it’s likely to be run next Saturday if the freezer is still turned on this week.

    Dunfermline Weather update – Bright and gloriously sunny today but perishing cold.

    #1522760
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    Sparse action tomorrow and waiting on Lingfield inspection for the 4-runenr contest there. Two of these haven’t run in handicaps, but they have run against horses with ORs so I’ve ‘fudged’ ratings for that race which I’m happy with.

    SATURDAY FEBRUARY 13

    Lingfield
    2.00 Twilight Heir 108; Charlie Fellowes 107; Water Of Leith 94

    Wolverhampton
    7.15 Lord Riddiford 109; Lihou 109; Tone The Barone 106

    #1522978
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    A good day for the figures today with two top rated winners at 3/1 and 8/1 and the finishing places at Lingfield reflected the figures.

    SUNDAY FEBRUARY 14

    Exeter
    3.40 Soupy Soups 167; Another Venture 154; Late Romantic 154; Yalltari 152
    4.10 Flemcara 169; Perfect Man 167; Ask Dillon 163; Agrapart 162; Champagne Platinum 162; Southfields Harvest 162; Potters Corner 162

    #1523084
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    MONDAY FEBRUARY 15

    Warwick
    3.55 Mister Whittaker 162; Spiritofthegames 160; Gala Ball 160

    Wolverhampton
    5.30 Lucky Deal 109; Charlie D 109; True Destiny 108
    6.30 Sky Defender 110; Power Of States 110; Crownthorpe 110

    Three very competitive events and little to choose between the top few in each event. Only 3lbs cover all bar one of the 5.10 field, and only a slightly bigger spread covers the whole field in the 6.10. Good thing is that these top class A/W handicaps do work otu very well.

    #1523158
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    Some decent midweek contests as jump racing returns after the cold spell. The 2.15 staying chase at Catterick looks a very decent contest for a midweek Class 3.

    TUESDAY FEBRUARY 16

    Catterick
    2.15 Schiehallion Munro 149; Who’s In The Box 148; Justforjames 144
    2.45 Oscars Leader 137; Pop The cork 137; Maskada 129

    Newcastle
    4.40 King Of the South 98; Sweet Celebration 97; Auutmn War 96; Horn Of Plenty 96; Jack Yeats 96

    #1523259
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    A couple of key non-runners bashed a hole in the 2.45 at Catterick. Amended top 3 are as follows:

    2.45 Maskada 129; Pyramid Place 125; The Some Dance Kid 120

    #1523333
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    A couple of short priced winners today, King Of The South at 2/1 and Pyramid Place at 1/1, both qualifiers as shortest of top 3.

    WEDNESDAY FEBRUARY 17

    Wetherby
    2.05 Hollywoodien 156; Comis D’Office 151; Marracudja 149; The Paddy Pie 146
    2.40 En Meme Temps 153; No Comment 152; Miah Grace 151; Nightboattoclyro 146

    Hereford
    4.05 Dame du Soir 136; Legends Ryde 132; Coded Message 127; Royal Claret 122

    Kempton
    5.15 Ghaith 114; May Sonic 113; Premier Power 110; Tinto 110; Streamline 110

    #1523452
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    THURSDAY FEBRUARY 18

    Leicester
    2.05 Arian 144; The Bay Birch 133; Little Light 130

    Sandown
    1.55 Enzo D’Airy 145; Enrichissant 144; Belareus 144; Grey Diamond 140
    3.05 Mac Tottie 143; Doitforthevillage 143; Twenty Twenty 141; No Getaway 139
    4.15 Cuban Pete 144; Eclair Surf 141; Skipthecuddles 138; Highest Sun 136

    Chelmsford
    6.00 Combine 99; Protected Guest 98; Indigo Times 97

    #1523512
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    With one race to go a nice collection of winners top or near top today and I was on the right ones myself. I typed Belargus’s name wrong because I couldn’t read my own writing, due presumably to creeping old age!

    Some interesting contests tomorrow warming up for a weekend of cracking handicaps. Decent strength in depth amongst the Northern steeplechasers at the moment and some useful contenders for the Kelso Class 2 staying handicap at 2.50. I hold the top rated in particularly high regard. Fakenham also have a decent contest and they have done better with fields sizes over the past year and just a pity their faithful members can’t be there.

    FRIDAY FEBRUARY 19

    Lingfield
    1.30 Majestic Tejaan 98; Rahaan 94; Nortonthorpe Boy 91

    Kelso
    2.50 Claud And Goldie 159; Jonniesofa 157; Crixus’s Escape 156; Up Helly AA King 156
    3.20 Battle Of Wills 142; Ebony Jewel 134; Serious Ego 125

    Fakenham
    3.42 Lord Scoundrel 135; Catamaran De Seuil 134; The Dubai Way 132; Bridle Loanan 129

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