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TUESDAY OCTOBER 20
Exeter
2.15 Whatthebutlersaw 122; Oscars Moonshine 114; Umndeni 112; Talktomenow 112
2.50 Commodore Barry 142; Portway Flyer 141; Kitty’s Light 130Newcastle
3.00 Brian The Snail 104; Many A Star 101; Blackheath 98Results have picked up again in recent days and Brain The Snail was a satisfying winner at 11/1. One of these instances where you have a proven performer at class, course and distance allowed to start at surprisingly long odds.
WEDNESDAY OCTOBER 21
Newmarket
3.20 Sun bear 111; Manaabit 108; Zezenia 106Hereford
3.00 Atlantic Storm 131; Falcon Sun 122; Ballyvic Boru 121Fontwell
3.10 Presence Of Mind 144; The Russian Doyen 141; Distingo 140Upward curve continued today for top rates, Atlantic Storm winning at 13/2. Just a couple of qualifying races tomorrow before a busy period Friday to Sunday.
THURSDAY OCTOBER 22
Carlisle
2.50 Romeo Brown 140; Flamboyant Joyeux 137; Fin and Game 136
3.25 Lough Derg Farmer 126; Boric 126; Crank Em Up 126 (Just 3lbs separate the 6 runners)This Friday was always a must go to Newbury day when I was down south. Some decent handicaps as a prelude to a quality weekend.
FRIDAY OCTOBER 23
Newbury
3.25 Moomba 113; Coconut 108; Gentleman At Arms 102
4.00 Typhoon Ten 102; Gambon 100; Soar Above 98
4.35 Eye Of The Water 102; Whelans Way 100; Roundhay Park 99Doncaster
2.40 Rathbone 111; Aplomb 110; Tinto 108
3.15 Hochfeld 100; Rhythmic Intent 98; Calculation 98
3.50 Amir Kabir 105; Pride Of America 101; Kaleidoscopic 101CHELTENHAM
3.00 Hometown Boy 158; Up The Straight 145; Dagueneau 145; Exod’ela 145; Lungarno Prince 145
3.35 Azzuri 169; Doitforthevillage 169; Dolos 168
5.15 Byron Flyer 153; Benny’s Bridge 149; Miss Heritage 149; Scorched Earth 149A low key ‘change of the seasons’ day today, with just a couple of winners from top 3.
SATURDAY OCTOBER 24
Kelso
2.33 Some Chaos 165; Claud and Goldie 163; The Hollow Ginge 162; Chidswell 162Doncaster
1.10 Tulip Fields 127; Cepheus 113; Iconic Choice 113
2.20 Came From The Dark 114; Venturous 113; Orvar 110
4.05 Breanski 106; Bear Force One 103; Musicality 103Newbury
4.45 Tempus 112; Surrey Pride 110; Chatez 105Cheltenham
3.15 Honest Vic 161; Goodbye Dancer 161; Flinck 156
3.50 Frodon 175; Bob Mahler 172; Cogry 171
5.00 Young Turk 140; Alminar 138; Ballymalin 136Interesting one for me is second rated in the staying chase at Kelso (2.33) CLAUD AND GOLDIE. Very lightly raced for a veteran and arguably still on the upgrade. Has been produced fit first time before and Sandy Forster will have this one ready.
A cracking day with Some Chaos 11/4 (and top-2 forecast with a 14/1), Tulip Fields 9/1, Honest Vic 12/1 and Frodon 9/2.
Plenty of rain about so I’ve given top 4 for each race tomorrow just in case of non-runenrs.
SUNDAY OCTOBER 25
Aintree
1.22 One Style 159; Sametegal 152; Perfect Candidate 151; Brother Tedd 151
1.57 Really Super 168; Oldgrangewood 167; Cracking Destiny 163; Magic Saint 159
3.07 Neverbeen To Paris 141; Yes No Maybe So 136; Three Ways 136; Dell’Arca 132; Vancouver 132
3.42 Caius Marcius 161; En Meme Temps 159; Jolly’s Cracked It 158; Marlborough Sounds 157Wincanton
2.52 Worthy Farm 155; (Manofothemountain 142*); Step Back 137; Beau De Brizais 133
* ran today so likely non-runnerI’ll update the updated figures for performance of the ratings tomorrow. I had assumed the wheels would have come off by now but, after a very poor September, method has bounced back in the last 2 weeks and top rated still nicely in front. Suppose I’ll have to keep going for my faithful reader!
Lovely work today Rob. I’m interested in Really Super tomorrow too and put her in the antepost comp.
Hi greenasgrass. Yes, that Market Rasen form looks very solid and as a 6yo you must suspect there’s still some improvement in the locker. The flat win at Chelmsford was encouraging.
3.07 is a bit of a carve up. Amended top 3 are:
Three Ways 136; Dell’Arca 132; Legalized 131
Results update
Top Rated: 90/638 (14.1%) Returns 688.46 (108%)
5lbs Clear: 21/131 (16%) Returns 158.91 (121.3%)Still a decent margin which is very pleasing for blind backing of top rated in competitive races. I’ve avoided posting those races where there were a number of handicap newcomers, but total results show 111% so maybe the newcomers aren’t the foe I feared.
Jumps returns have produced most of the profit, though the flat really struggled in September.
MONDAY OCTOBER 26
Redcar
1.15 Al Erayg 97; Stone Soldier 96; Striding Edge 94Leicester
2.00 Win O’Clock 103; Buriram 99; Natural History 95 (Natural History had a tough race at Newbury on Saturday so this will presumably be a match)
2.35 King Carney 114; Walhaan 110; Hartswood 108Nothing above Class 4 on Tuesday so a day off.
Win O’Clock won the match at Leicester 4/9.
A couple of races tomorrow, with another contest at Kempton having only 3 out of 6 have handicap form.
WEDNESDAY OCTOBER 28
Nottingham
2.50 Chicago Doll 102; Orin Swift 100; Multellie 95Taunton
3.10 Foreign Secretary 140; Nebuchadnezzar 140; Friend Or Foe 135THURSDAY OCTOBER 29
Stratford
2.06 Prairie Town 147; Twin Parks 144; Fanzio 142Lingfield
2.15 Ghalyoon 114; Magical Wish 112; Huraiz 111Newton Abbot
3.28 Killer Clown 136; Not A Role Model 136; Diamond Fort 132Southwell
6.15 Samovar 104; Crosse Fire 104; Katheefa 103Top all out in the 3.28 at Newton Abbot so here are the amended ratings for the record:
Newton Abbot
3.28 Eceparti 126; Carrick Roads 125; Night Of Sin 124FRIDAY OCTOBER 30 (Amended for non-runners 9:20am 30/10)
Wetherby
1.35 Fin And Game 141; William H Bonney 137; Jamacho 134
2.10 Sizing Platinum 164; Charmant 164; Huntsman Son 162
3.20 Smiths Cross 140; Ballyvic Boru 127; Some Reign 126Newmarket
2.20 *
3.30 Kryptos 96; Awake My Soul 88; Dolphin Vista 88
4.05 Badenscoth 103; Modmin 103; Mascat 101* The 2.20 has two runners and they are joint top rated, so toss of a coin is advised. That aside, there has been much whining from connections about the level of prize money but that rather falls flat when just 2 horses turn up for an £11,500 pot.
Top rated winner was Ballyvic Boru at 7/2 (Smiths Cross NR) 2nd rated Awake My Soul won at 5/1 and 3rd rated Huntsman Cross won at 14/1. Still get the impression the turning of the seasons is keeping the success rate down.
Heavy rain forecast tomorrow which may have a bearing on results and non-runner numbers. I give top 4 and joints for each race jsut in case.
SATURDAY OCTOBER 31
Ascot
1.55 Little Light 157; Ibleo 156; Molineaux 154; Flaminger 150
3.05 Byron Flyer 157; Caius Marcius 155; Countister 149; Scaramanga 147
3.40 Django Django 176; Whatmore 173; Mister Malarky 171; Walk In The Mill 170; Regal Encore 170Wetherby
1.35 Niven 133; Bollin Ace 133; Minella For Me 132; Thomas Todd 130
3.55 Shang Tang 155; War Lord 154; Calum Gilhooley 136; Henrietta Bell 135Ayr
1.42 Strong Economy 135; Craiganboy 130; Caltex 125; She’sasupermack 123
2.17 Skipthescales 141; Better Getalong 137; Off The Hook 137; Planet Nine 136
2.52 Drumconnor Lad 144; Clan Legend 143; Ardera Cross 143; Flowery 138
3.27 McGowan’s Pass 154; Goobinator 143; Hasankey 136; Saint Freule 135One top rated winner today, Drumconnor Lad at 7/2, a liberal sprinkling of places and Minella For Me won at Wetherby. The 3.27 at Ayr was 1-2-3 but not quite in rating order! Almost as frustrating was the 3.55 at Wetherby where the top four filled 2nd to 5th places in a 19 runner race!
Decent meeting at Carlisle tomorrow
SUNDAY NOVEMBER 1
Carlisle
3.10 Silva Eclipse 149; West to The Bridge 148; Teescomponents Lad 146
3.45 Sojourn 149; Fortified Bay 145; The Delray Munky 138; Amateur 138Today’s races quite well covered, Sojourn won the 3.45 at 11/4 and the four top rated occupied in the first four places. £273 Trifecta for those playing the combinations.
Top Rated: 94/668 Returns 702.65
5lbs Clear: 21/134 Returns 158.91Profit margin has been whittled away during September/October but I would hope today’s accuracy signals an uptick in performance. All things equal I’ll start betting myself after the finish of the turf flat season, old habits die hard and all that!
MONDAY NOVEMBER 2
Plumpton
1.55 Langer Dan 147; Vive Le Roi 142; Gunnery 142
3.05 Constancio 126; Harefield 124; Meteorite 124; Brambledown 124; Officer Drivel 124Kempton
5.05 Sky Defender 111; Sweet Promise 110; Lawn Ranger 109Not a day to get heavily involved. Plumpton races don’t look easy, the 3.05 in particular is tough and Constancio keeps popping up as well handicapped without being able to take advantage. The Kempton race is a decent contest but a number of well exposed sorts seems evenly matched.
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