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National Hunt Chase 2020

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Viewing 17 posts - 52 through 68 (of 92 total)
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  • #1480626
    Avatar photojackh1092
    Participant
    • Total Posts 3923

    That lasted long…not even entered. Lovely, very strange.

    Twitter: Jackh1092
    Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!

    #1480909
    Mike007
    Participant
    • Total Posts 9262

    I was never convinced in Carefully Selected on half decent ground been saying for a while. Today was further evidence. Now that the race is less of a stamina test I’ve convinced myself that a sound Champagne Classic will coast home.

    #1480914
    Avatar photoMarkTT
    Participant
    • Total Posts 3036

    The mistakes are when he leads, so hopefully he’ll be dropped in at Cheltenham. Don’t know why Townend keeps making tha same mistake.

    #1480915
    FinalFurlong91
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6657

    A fair few firms have cut champagne classic and lengthened carefully selected

    Not surprising as he walked through that fence, make a mistake like that against better opposition and its race ove

    #1480916
    Mike007
    Participant
    • Total Posts 9262

    Don’t think it made any difference today that he led as he was lobbing along his own pace without being pressured. At Cheltenham his jumping will get found out whatever the tactics unless he sorts it out.

    #1480917
    Avatar photoMarkTT
    Participant
    • Total Posts 3036

    Well I’ve also seen horses jump poorly and still win at Cheltenham. Tiger Roll hit a few fences in his renewal.

    I think it’s between the two and I think this lad will improve if given a lead

    They’ve raced wide at Naas so that’s a very stiff 3 miles he’s run.

    #1480922
    Avatar photojackh1092
    Participant
    • Total Posts 3923

    Don’t think it made any difference today that he led as he was lobbing along his own pace without being pressured.

    That’s exactly the point, he’s probably losing concentration lobbing along…..

    He made one mistake the rest he was fine. Nothing flashy but fine.

    Twitter: Jackh1092
    Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!

    #1480956
    Avatar photoVenture to Cognac
    Moderator
    • Total Posts 15973

    With that shock absence of Early Doors, I’m even happier to have taken the early profit on Champagne Classic.

    I’m still green with CC, but the plan was always to to top up once NRNB. Price not quite what I’m looking for on that front, so I’ll hold off for now.

    The big one for me in the entries is Galvin. He’s a long term fancy of mine for this in the same vein as Champagne Classic. I’ll have as big a bet on him as I did on CC, once there is more NRNB, but until then, I’ll start chipping away at that 33’s (edit took 44’s)

    Galvin 44’s

    #1480984
    Avatar photoVautour
    Participant
    • Total Posts 720

    I really like Carefully Selected but I’d be against him here. 3 runs over fences is not usually the profile for the winner of this. You usually need more experience; he’s also quite short..

    #1481059
    Avatar photoKevMc
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    • Total Posts 1326

    Bobby not sure if you’re aware or not mate but Galvin hasn’t qualified for this race yet.

    Noticed as his entry this weekend is over 2m 5F in a handicap.

    #1481061
    Avatar photoVenture to Cognac
    Moderator
    • Total Posts 15973

    Yeah, I’d clocked that Kev, been trying to second guess him all season. I’m hoping he doesn’t run on Sunday, and he’s held back for something else. If he does run Sunday, I’m assuming it’ll be Close Bros for him. I’d actually already bet him for that race, then decided to cash out.

    Already in a decent position on this race thanks to Champagne Classic, so happy to risk a few quid, as it’s one of my three big races of the week betting wise.

    Thanks for the heads up though mate, appreciated.

    #1481120
    Avatar photoMarkTT
    Participant
    • Total Posts 3036

    Lord Du Mesnil looks a crazy price at 33s.

    #1481121
    Avatar photoVenture to Cognac
    Moderator
    • Total Posts 15973

    Agree Mark, more to come from him I reckon

    #1484464
    Avatar photoVenture to Cognac
    Moderator
    • Total Posts 15973

    Strange situation for me here, as this is one of my big three betting races.

    Already well ahead on it thanks to Champagne Classic. He was my 4th biggest Antepost bet ever, so one of my better decisions to take the money and run.

    Main problem I have now is finding a new selection. It was going to be Copperhead, but he looks RSA bound. Can’t possibly bet one now, with Final Decs a few days away, but this is the current shortlist….

    At The Acorn
    Forza Milan
    Dallas Des Pictons
    Christmas In April

    All nice prices, but might as well wait now, particularly so I can gauge jockey bookings.

    #1484479
    Avatar photoKevMc
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1326

    As a Copperhead NRNB taker i’ve had to re-assess after yesterdays confirmation.

    Forza Milan 16/1 NRNB is the bet. Can see him going off half that next week especially with the likeliness of a top Irish jock on-board.
    Half brother to One For Arthur, he should love the trip and being by Milan the ground turning nicer should be in his favour also. He was fragile for Jonjo but they loved him before he got badly injured in the Pertemps.

    #1484481
    Avatar photojackh1092
    Participant
    • Total Posts 3923

    Took some 16s on him too Kev as a saver. Agree with all of that, and it’s a terrible renewal.

    I can’t see Carefully Selected being beaten as long as he stays up, and to be fair to him, he’s shown enough to stay up when making mistakes. I’ve a 12s ticket, but not an overly big one. I mean he made a pretty bad mistake last time, beat Forza still 4Ls giving him 6?

    He’s everybit a grade 1 horse and i’d be surprised if there’s anything else in the race better than a handicapper.

    Twitter: Jackh1092
    Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!

    #1484489
    Avatar photoLemons68
    Participant
    • Total Posts 627

    Forza Milan for me as well lads, the 16-1 Non Runner No Bet was a good price.

Viewing 17 posts - 52 through 68 (of 92 total)
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