The home of intelligent horse racing discussion
The home of intelligent horse racing discussion

Melbourne Cup 2017

Home Forums Big Races – Discussion Melbourne Cup 2017

Viewing 17 posts - 18 through 34 (of 89 total)
  • Author
    Posts
  • #1325299
    Avatar photoCharlesOlney
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2031

    The Aussie’s are well and truly on it trying to stop the European horses from winning looking at the draw!

    Red Cardinal – 24 (of 24)
    Tiberian – 23
    U S Army Ranger – 22
    Thomas Hobson – 21
    Nakeeta – 19
    Marmelo – 16
    Wall Of Fire – 15

    #1325303
    Avatar photofollyhoog
    Participant
    • Total Posts 211

    I think I’m going mad the forgotten horse rekindling ..running on in the Leger after a poor ride 2m is going to suit decent draw low weight I hope and pray a Aussie jockey is on board if Capri was in here off the same weight draw what price would he be ? 2/1 my moneys down.

    #1325322
    Avatar photobotchy1
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6563

    Max Dynamite drawn 2 with Top Hong Kong jockey Zac Purton booked to ride.

    Getting quietly confident of a big run from him. 6 lb lower than when he should of won in 2015

    Reports in the press that he has been working the house down this week at Weribee and back to the form he was in then.

    #1325328
    Avatar photoCharlesOlney
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2031

    Max Dynamite took my eye too but I worry he’s had his chance already. Rekindling gets in off a nice weight but I think he’ll be leaving all too late and I’m not sure he’s going to want a really quick surface.

    I’ve been quite boring and have backed 3 for the defending team: Almandin (7/1), Humidor (8/1) and Boom Time (30/1). All 3 are drawn well which is the first plus. Almandin just seems to be in cracking form and if he can reproduce his run from last year it should be good enough to take this despite the rise in the weights. Humidor’s form behind Winx last time is the best on offer here. For sure the trip is an unknown but if he won I’d be kicking myself as it seems so obvious. And I just couldn’t resist a little nibble on Boom Time at 30/1. The price just suckered me in really as I understand how big an ask it is to win the Caulfield Cup and this but I felt he looked like this trip will see him in good stead and there’s every chance he could go for it early and be hard to catch.

    Best of luck everyone, I for one will be up early to watch it live.

    #1325356
    Avatar photojoliff
    Participant
    • Total Posts 350

    Last year I had arguably my greatest day of betting, having the 1-2 in this – and unoriginal I can’t drop the faith in Almandin who won so gamely. Neither draw or weight is a worry and had a nice little pipe opener last month. This is one of the few races missing from Dettori’s CV so he’ll be doing his utmost to land the race. At 13/2 I’m hoping he can land back to back renewals.

    My eachway fancies have a very Uk&I look to it and include Wall Of Fire, Thomas Hobson and Rekindling. All look feasibly treated and berthed and at double figure odds each will act as a good support cast to my main bet Almandin.

    Good luck to all and coffees aplenty at the early hours of Tuesday morning! Hi

    #1325359
    moehat
    Participant
    • Total Posts 10210

    Annoyingly I can’t get radio sport 927 to work properly at the moment; got a feeling this happened last year and I think someone sent me a link to another radio station. I like listening to it on Australian radio because I can pretend I’m there…

    #1325401
    moehat
    Participant
    • Total Posts 10210

    Have had to back Thomas Hobson as I’ve been following him for many a year and seem to remember him being a good flat horse before he switched to hurdling. Also Amelies Star. Backed Single Gaze ages ago and Libran [don’t know why I backed the latter; must have been blue on oddschecker at some point]. Can never leave out Wicklow Brave [if he starts, that is; reminds me of dear old Holy Orders!]. Have finally got radio sport working on my old tablet and am now scared to turn it off in case it doesn’t work next time. If I remember rightly, a few years back I offered to not back fancied horses for a small charge, so as not to jinx them, so I will not back Wall of Fire and will expect the cheque to be in the post on Tuesday…

    #1325407
    wit
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2171

    59 page pdf for HKJC simulcast of six races here:

    http://racing.hkjc.com/racing/overseas/english/racecard.aspx?para=/20171107/S2/3

    although HKJC is putting out the simulcast races on TV in English, unfortunately its web radio commentary will be Cantonese only:

    http://racingnews.hkjc.com/english/2017/11/05/simulcast-and-betting-arrangements-for-melbourne-cup-day-with-quartet-first-4-merged-pool-and-winning-region-on-offer/

    by my totally unofficial / probably misconceived updating of the Lazy Punter’s Melbourne Cup System from Hats In The Ring (1997) by Alan “Hats” Aitken:

    1 – HUMIDOR (855 out of 1000), way clear of a bunch finish by:
    2 – Marmelo (745)
    3 – Ventura Storm (745)
    4 – Almandin (735)
    5 – Red Cardinal (715)

    #1325430
    ham
    Participant
    • Total Posts 3633

    Not a race im ever involved in but i think ill have a small bet on max dynamite and nakeeta at 14/1 and 25/1

    #1325433
    Kingston01
    Participant
    • Total Posts 9

    I am confident Marmelo will give England their first Melbourne Cup, super run in the Caulfield Cup wasn’t suited by Caulfield and 2 miles is perfect.Libran at 50-1 is overs just coming right at the exact time.Almandin very hard to beat and Wicklow Brave is a ridiculous price at 70-1, Frankie took him via the car park last year when right in the market.Copped a check on the turn in the Caulfield Cup forget the run. Drawn beautiful, no weight and his Aussie Jockey Stephen Baster is on fire.Best of the rest Johannes Vermeer great run Caulfield Cup, Rekindling and Thomas Hobson both no weight and dangers. Humidor and Wall of Fire both will struggle to get 2 mile. Amelie’s Star as the only other i give a chance of being there. Get on Marmelo, can’t get a much better jock than Hugh Bowman, looks like the winner, Libran, Almandin and Wicklow Brave for the first 4.

    #1325436
    Avatar photoNathan Hughes
    Participant
    • Total Posts 34719

    If I remember rightly, a few years back I offered to not back fancied horses for a small charge, so as not to jinx them, so I will not back Wall of Fire and will expect the cheque to be in the post on Tuesday…

    If Wall of Fire wins, I’ll buy you a new Newcastle hat Moe…….Howay the lads..!!

    Gaelic Warrior Gold Cup Winner 2026

    #1325437
    Avatar photoNathan Hughes
    Participant
    • Total Posts 34719

    btw shouldn’t you be wearing a Derby County hat, Moe….?

    Gaelic Warrior Gold Cup Winner 2026

    #1325469
    Avatar photoTriptych
    Participant
    • Total Posts 18714

    I’ve just looked at this race and I’m just having the one bet on Humidor each way around 16/1. He knows his way around the course and the draw at 13 seems okay too, Charles likes the look of him :mail: so my bet is on…
    Good luck everyone. : Jac :good:

    Things turn out best for those who make the best of how things turn out...
    #1325474
    Avatar photoraymo61
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6940

    I have backed three in this six places each way.

    HUMIDOR 10/1

    BIG DUKE 20/1

    VENTURA STORM 33/1

    It looks tough and a lot of the European horses have bad draws!!

    Good Luck Guys :good: :good:

    #1325480
    Avatar photoVenture to Cognac
    Moderator
    • Total Posts 16035

    I’ll take a chance on Nakeeta at around 33’s, despite that draw, and I’ll top up a wee bit at the 6 Places at lower odds.

    6 Places also for Boom Time 33’s, and Wicklow Brave 50’s will also do me, for a bit of fun.

    #1325481
    Avatar photoVoleur
    Participant
    • Total Posts 656

    Humidor 10/1, Rekindling 12/1 and Max Dynamite 14/1 for me. Best of luck everyone, it’s going to be a long night. :good:

    #1325483
    moehat
    Participant
    • Total Posts 10210

    yes; I’ve got the coffee brewing :yes:

Viewing 17 posts - 18 through 34 (of 89 total)
  • You must be logged in to reply to this topic.