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Liverpool to Holywell

Home Forums Betting Chat – Bets & Tips Liverpool to Holywell

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  • #25789
    TomBarkley87
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1835

    No I’m not after directions or train times, it’s time for a fresh start. The focal point of my last thread, Un Atout, literally had his season ended before it begun and I never quite caught up from there after enduring about my worst jumps campaign to date. Things can only get better from here :D

    Saying that the flat’s never been a friend of mine, although the £50e/w I have on My Titania for the Guineas could help set the wheels in motion if she turns out to be the filly I think she is. I’ve also had a speculative punt on an unraced Ballydoyle filly for the Oaks. Ruby Tuesday is a big price for Epsom, although it’s not unlike Aidan and his cronies to send a filly out at a decent price for this. She’s by Galieo and out of a Darshaan mare who’s insides must resemble a mile and a half round Epsom as she’s got a fair record of firing out youngsters who grab a place round there. If young ‘Ruby‘ turns out to be an exception to the rule I won’t be missing my tenner each-way at 50s anyhow.

    Looking further ahead to Cheltenham, where this thread will come to a close ( :cry: ), I’ve already fairly filled my boots. Grabbing a sneaky 100/1 for Holywell for the Gold Cup (£12.50e/w), £50 win on Taquin Du Seuil at 10s for the Ryanair and throwing More Of That in a £25e/w double with The New One, I’ll clearly be hoping Jonjo has another lively week. Should Sprinter Sacre not take his place in the QMCC line-up it would look another wide open race. Given how well he ran on only his second chase start aligned with Arkle winners’ records in the following year’s big un you’d have to assume not many people have taken Western Warhorse too seriously. I’m not in that camp though, and the 20/1 looks value to me for a potential improver. I’ve had £25e/w on him also.

    Sticking with the here and now, my next big (ish) bet will be at Aintree on my favourite
    beast, First Lieutenant. It may sound melodramatic to say his withdrawal on the morning of the Gold Cup ruined my festival, but in essence it did. I really wanted to see him take his chance in conditions he’d finally relish. He should get that in the Betfair Bowlwhere he bids for back to back victories and, just as importantly, he’ll go there fresher than his opponents. They could include the likes of Dynaste who I have no fear of as, off the top of my head, he has a habit of *edit* NOT being able to put two good runs together. That aside I still think my lad has the beating of him. I hope he does as I think his best chance of winning a Gold Cup has passed him by.

    Finally I’d just like to add that I won’t be keeping a profit/loss record this time around. It just didn’t work for me last time as it just resulted in me trying to chase my losses. Hopefully this year will bring better fortunes. Away we go……….

    #473085
    Gdc1
    Member
    • Total Posts 561

    Nice one Boz and may I be the first to wish you all the very best mate, I’ve backed Holywell but never even saw 100s but took 66s with Stan, also on Taquin for Ryanair but have taken him win only for Gold Cup just in case!

    Backing First Lt will be price dependant but I will be looking out for the following unlucky runners from Cheltenham:

    Calipto
    Arctic Fire
    Off the Bridge
    Katgary

    #473099
    Avatar photothehorsesmouth
    Participant
    • Total Posts 5577

    Good luck Boz. Looking frward to seeing how they price First Lieutenant and Dynaste. Real pity both First Lieutenant and Sir Des Champs missed the Gold Cup because they’d have surely gone close for Gigginstown. It would have been the first time Sir Des Champs got good ground since his novice days (bar the Durkan where he fell at the third). No point in crying about now though I suppose! :?

    Hopefully we’ll see Un Atout back in top form next season :)

    #473100
    Avatar photoVenture to Cognac
    Moderator
    • Total Posts 16037

    Good luck Boz 8)

    #473111
    Avatar photoThe Ante-Post King
    Participant
    • Total Posts 8697

    Not only is your King the legendary ruler of the Ante-Post kingdom,finest judge of horseflesh that has walked on water and Layer of layers extroadinaire,be it Women or horses.I am just as good at judging characters.This forum is full of them,the majority on here are quite modest unassuming sorts,the type of person who is content with their lot,they share a passion for horseracing with those of us who are never content,I’m the sort who has to push boundaries,constantly striving for better,I know I probably cant improve my unbelievably consistent brilliance at targeting horses for particular races but I feel proud to Inspire those who have that rare ability to stand up and be counted and have that little glint of talent,a talent that needs nurturing but that will come in time.Experience is everything in this world,no matter what .We all start at the bottom of the ladder and work our way to the top,sadly some get half way up and fall off,those with ability start the climb again,ultimately you Mr Bozlike has the whole package,you are a mini-me of me but the time is coming for you to do a TAPK and put one up that rocks……Clocks ticking,pressures on and your King is here should you need him! :wink: Good Luck pal.

    #473144
    TomBarkley87
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1835

    Thanks for the kind words fellas, here’s to a good year :)

    Gord, you’ll make me blush :oops: :mrgreen:

    #473147
    TomBarkley87
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1835

    Nice one Boz and may I be the first to wish you all the very best mate, I’ve backed Holywell but never even saw 100s but took 66s with Stan, also on Taquin for Ryanair but have taken him win only for Gold Cup just in case!

    Backing First Lt will be price dependant but I will be looking out for the following unlucky runners from Cheltenham:

    Calipto
    Arctic Fire
    Off the Bridge
    Katgary

    I’m a big

    Calipto

    fan Gary. The snapped irons fiasco was a right stinker because he was going better than anything. It was part of a day that

    First Lieutenant

    pulled out, then that,

    Briar Hill

    fell and

    Ned Buntline

    finished second. It just wasn’t my week!

    If Nicholls and co had any sense they’d skip Aintree and wait for the Greatwood. He’d walk that off 148. He won’t win a Champion Hurdle but he’s smart alright.

    The reason you never saw 100/1 for

    Holywell

    mate is because it was never there :P I had to do the rounds to squeeze a prize. SkyBet offered it me to a maximum bet of £25 so I filled my boots :wink:

    #473151
    TomBarkley87
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1835

    Taking 50s for this

    Ruby Tuesday

    , that was lazy of me :shock: With my guile and silver tongue I should have at least shopped around for some 100/1!

    :lol:

    #473158
    TomBarkley87
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1835

    Oh and Tommy, I’ll have a guess at 15/8

    Dynaste

    v 7/2

    First Lieutenant

    :mrgreen:

    #473243
    TomBarkley87
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1835

    I see Mr Nicholls has thrown

    Silviniaco Conti

    into the mix for Aintree. I’m happy with that, just means a bigger price for my lad when things kick off. Betfair have opened a market but it’s hardly worth noting at this point. The only horse they’ve priced up that would give ‘the Lieutenant’ a run at Aintree for my money is

    Benefficient

    . He could be the horse for each-way money nearer the time having not shown at Cheltenham. I’m bullish though,

    First Lieutenant

    wins at Aintree for the second year in a row :twisted:

    #473248
    Avatar photoThe Ante-Post King
    Participant
    • Total Posts 8697

    I’m bullish though,

    First Lieutenant

    wins at Aintree for the second year in a row :twisted:

    Agreed Boz.

    #473556
    TomBarkley87
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1835

    Big day tomorrow for lovers of the level and a fair old spectacle and betting heat in itself. Not for me though, I’ll be keeping my powder dry for my boy on Thursday. Betfred have kicked things off with him at 7/2 but I’m holding fire for now. I can see

    Silviniaco Conti

    and

    Dynaste

    coming in for greater market support and some generous devils (please let it not be Paddy Power out of principle :x ) may push him out to 5s.

    For what it’s worth tomorrow I think

    Educate’s

    a fair each-way punt in the Duty Free and I’ve had a wee nibble at 33s. Of course I notice he’s 40/1 in places now :roll: He’s running from a plum draw tomorrow and having shown improvement in his second start this term I can see him coming on again and running a big race at a price. That aside it’s full speed ahead

    First Lieutenant

    :twisted: Please God, if you’re up there, give us a dry week in Liverpool!

    #473664
    TomBarkley87
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1835

    Darren you rapscallion I’m operating in new surroundings nowadays I am :P

    I pretty much gave up the ghost on

    Indian Maharaja

    for Epsom a while back when it became pretty obvious that Aiden’s favourite new toy

    Australia

    was going to be ‘the one’. It’s a shame he’s being run over an inadequate trip tomorrow because I think he has what it takes to be a top class middle distance horse. He may well win tomorrow but if he’s campaigned like this he’ll just go like those before him.

    The more interesting race of the day looks like the first. I can see their being a couple of fillies to follow from there, namely

    She’s Mine

    ,

    Meandering

    and

    Ruby Tuesday

    . I’ve had a speculative punt on the latter for the Oaks at a big price and although I notice young Joey’s gone for the other one, I think she could be interesting going forward. It’s her first spin tomorrow so she’ll surely come on for it.

    #473712
    TomBarkley87
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1835

    Stan James a standout 4/1 for

    First Lieutenant

    currently. The money looks to be with

    Dynaste

    though.

    FEE FI FO FUM, I smell the bookies going 5/1 :twisted: :twisted: :twisted:

    #473716
    TomBarkley87
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1835

    Eye catching run from

    Ruby Tuesday

    , very happy with her there. She’ll come on a bundle for that and she’ll probably scoot in at short odds in a maiden next time out. Better ground will surely help as well.

    She’s Mine

    will profit from better ground also and is the other to take from the race in my opinion.

    #473866
    TomBarkley87
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1835

    Just six left in the Bowl so understandably

    First Lieutenant’s

    price has slipped to 3/1. I’m not overly concerned though as I still believe the other two may prove more popular. The threat of rain looms as well which is something I’m getting fed up of when fella’s about to strut his stuff. Hopefully we can get to Thursday with some decent spring ground, then I’ll whack him :mrgreen:

    #473877
    darren83
    Participant
    • Total Posts 8444

    Boz what you think happen to INDIAN MAHARAJA now i think he turn up at the meeting at Chester i do.

    And you see PALACE making her debut tomorrow she is at Leopardstown along with JOHANN STRAUSS and KINGSBARNS returns too.

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