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Not liking Copperhead no more on the drying ground, they may head to Welsh National next, dunno. And Kim Bailey hasn’t committed Two For Gold so no point hanging on to that bet. So just Aye Right 25-1 left.
Haha Kim Bailey said he would decide Thursday about Two For Gold running. Now Kim Bailey announces on a Wednesday he is running.
I hope this doesn’t cut up like a couple seasons ago. That was a sorry sight.
I’m going to stand firm with Copperhead for now. I don’t get this idea that he needs soft ground. He’s done enough on good, good to soft for me to be happy with conditions however they turn out.
La Bague Au Roi wasn’t disgraced last time out either and I might have a go at a price. I’ll see if she drifts on the morning of.
The good, good to soft wins were off a slow pace peter h. And recently Joe Tizzard has been quoted as saying “He’s a big, long-striding horse who gallops all day and seems to tick a lot of boxes for a Welsh National horse”.
He may cope with conditions, but personally I think he needs more juice.
“Most of the field would prefer softer going than what is forecast which complicates things.”
This is why I cashed out my copperhead bet and added kildisart plus beware the bear a few days back
Can see a fair few coming out and waiting for softer ground
I think that Potterman must have a tremendous shout here.
He’s not been out the 1st 2 in his last 4 and I thought he ran a great
race last time out in the Badger Beer only going down a shd to El Presente.
He’s finished strong in all his last few races and I think the extra furlong
is to his advantage and he’s due to go up 5lbs.Potterman 16/1 various
Copperhead’s form on undulating courses isn’t great so not sure why Tizzard sounds so confident about the Welsh National
Cashed out Sam Brown in the nick of time as he’s been taken out. Pretty happy with Vinndication at this stage but its a wide open race for sure.
I was really hoping Regal Encore didn’t get declared, but he has, so I’ve no option but to include him too. If Mister Malarky continues to get bet, I’ll lay off enough on him to make him just a saver.
Regal Encore’s been some horse to follow, one of those horses who’re constantly overpriced. He’s 33’s at the moment, and if I can get at least that BOG, I’ll be delighted.
Who is backing Vinndication @ 5/1????
Friendless on here from what I can tell. Favourite for a Hennessy with the left handed issues he has, no thank you.
Ended up with The Conditional at 11/1 and Ardlethen at 40/1 EW.
The Conditonal finished second last year, but won the Ultima at Cheltenham two starts later. Massive improvenment since joining David Bridgeweater. 9 pounds higher then last year, but that isn’t too harsh after finishing second here and winning the Ultima.
Ardlethen mainly raced in graded race on level weights. As was his last race at Carlisle. Only a few lenghts behind Black Op, but now he will get 12 pounds. I think he can be dangerous with 10-2, at least for someone at 40/1.
Same for me DBR. I just think that Ardlethen is a great ew bet at 40-1 with 6 places
I’ve added Aye Right at 10-1
I’m going to stick with my early bets in this. I always liked Secret Investor, so I can see him running very well, but I will leave him alone.
My main selection is BEWARE THE BEAR He has very solid form at this level and was close up last year. Off the track for a while, but I saw a clip of his Newbury gallop and he was lobbing along against Santini who was stretching. Can’t draw too many conclusions admittedly, but he looked well enough.
Second choice is POTTERMAN. He has been on the go recently, not the profile I would normally look for, but is a steady improver in a race with question marks agaonst many.
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