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Excellent posts as usual, shame I missed the Stratford one and another winner.
I think Cabarette will win tomorrow as well.
Keep up the good work BHToday’s juvenile hurdle at Newton Abbot sees the return of this season’s leading three year old to date in Goodbye Dancer.
Goodbye Dancer
bought reasonable flat form from the French provinces before joining Nigel Twiston-Davies. His debut at Market Rasen saw him sweat profusely and pull like a train but he dismissed his opposition with effortless power to win by fourteen lengths. He followed up this win at Stratford where he beat two previous winners with consumate ease despite again exhibiting exitable traits. Looks like a well-above average recruit for the time of year and his only danger today looks to be himself.
Magic Magnolia
showed very little in three runs on the flat on either side of the Irish Sea and started at 100/1 on her hurdling debut over course and distance earlier this month. Nevertheless, her finishing within eight lengths of the third represents a vast improvement even though she didn’t look like a complete natural.
Love Tangle
looked like an intriguing hurdling proposition on breeding given he can call My Tent Or Yours a relative. However, ended that particular dream with a petulant effort at Market Rasen where he jumped any way but well and gave his jockey a very awkward ride. He since put in a career worst effort at Galway on the flat at the beginning of the month and has too much to answer for today.
Sinndar’s Man
never saw the racecourse for Paul Deegan and Jaber Abdullah as a two year old and was sold to David Pipe last July for 8,000gns. By Sinndar (Diakali, Mourad, Verawal), related to decent juvenile European Dream and trained by David Pipe, he would be a contender in most other races this time of year. However, he would have to be a bit special to beat Goodbye Dancer on his racecourse debut.
Nellie The Elegant
will be Tim Vaughan’s third juvenile of a season where he’s started slower than usual with Dream Big and Lord Brantwood showing nothing. After winning a weak Wolverhampton maiden, Nellie The Elegant subsequently finished a well beaten last in two handicaps from marks in the mid sixties making her form no better than her aforementioned stablemates.
Lamubaaly
beat only one home in two maidens on the flat at Longchamp and Saint-Cloud before leaving the Shadwell operation for just 2,500gns in July. Nevertheless, he joins a promising young trainer in Alexandra Dunn and his sire, Le Havre (this season’s leading flat stallion in France) has two placed hurdlers from two runners so far.
Earl’s Bridge
finished five lengths third in a Bath maiden over five furlongs last May but it has all been downhill since then. Will need to improve dramatically for the switch to hurdles.
Arbitrary 1-2-3
1. Goodbye Dancer
2. Sinndar’s Man
3. LamubaalyLove Tangle 2/3
My Tent Or Yours
2nd Champion Hurdle (G1), Cheltenham 2014
Sinndar’s Man 2/3European Dream
3rd Wensleydale Juvenile Hurdle (Listed), Wetherby 2006
Lamubaaly 2/1Pure Alcohol
6th Prix Roger de Minvielle (Listed), Enghien 2009
Earl’s Bridge 3/3Lazy Darren
3rd Top Novices’ Hurdle (G2), Aintree 2008 (2/1 Soviet Sceptre 3/1 Fair Prospect)
Goodbye Dancer 2/2Six Notes
7th Claiming Hurdle, Avignon 2002
Magic Magnolia No jumps relatives
Nellie The Elegant No jumps relativesSires
Sinndar’s Man – Sinndar (5)
Love Tangle – Azamour (4)
Magic Magnolia – Azamour (4)
Earl’s Bridge – Avonbridge(1)
Lamubaaly – Le Havre
Goodbye Dancer – Dragon Dancer
Nellie The Elegant – Mount NelsonHere are the reviews for the four juvenile hurdles from last week.
Cartmel 25th August
Cartmel’s juvenile was taken a few seasons ago by Countrywide Flame although most renewals generally reflect the standard of form associated with the course. Nevertheless, despite the modest early gallop, it was taken by the favourite in a time that was over two seconds faster than the closing novice hurdle won by a 136 rated Irish raider.Vosne Romanee
came here with solid hurdling experience and was really entitled to win the race on paper. He’s not completely straightforward however his issues aren’t so problematic so as to be any significant cause for concern in the future. Racing prominently, he travelled nicely and jumped cleanly throughout the race before being kept up to his work up the straight. Now that he has his win, he’ll be burdened with a penalty which given his clean defeats in his first two starts means he may need a weak contest if he’s to score again. Particularly as the stronger types begin to emerge.
Darling Boyz
was John Quinn’s first juvenile of the season and was a maiden after six starts on the flat. He took a fairly keen hold in the race and wandered a little up the straight. However, he really took the eye with his slick and tidy jumping. Whilst he’s no superstar, he should pick up a race if he can smooth the edges of his psyche.
Fillydelphia
showed nothing in four flat starts, was being niggled from before halfway and make a howling blunder at the third last. All the same, this was a career best effort for her. Starting at odds of 66/1 around Cartmel is a statement within itself and whilst there’s feasibly a poor race for Fillydelphia, it doesn’t bode well for those who finished behind her.
Istimraar
, in contrast to his two Market Rasen efforts, was held up which saw him finish to slightly better effect. Ironically, his jumping was rather worse on this occasion. In any case, he has yet to look like an obvious winner and he may be better served by a return to the flat.
Dry Your Eyes
is rather flattered by her flat rating of 68 and was slow at the first but was travelling for much of the race as though she may be involved in the finish. She faded towards the finish and while this was a better effort than the yard’s first runner, she isn’t brimming with promise at this stage.
Tashbeeh
settled in midfield at the start, jumped well enough and stayed there for the rest of the race. Not disgraced but, as with his flat form, will need a very poor race if he’s to score.
Izbushka
was sold for only £3,000 after his first two efforts and looks to have regressed again on this evidence.
Prim And Proper
never featured here and was beaten before the stamina doubts kicked in.
Ain’t No Surprise
has disappointed for a third consecutive start following her promising Market Rasen debut.
Lord Brantwood
ran a shocking race which was in keeping with his latest flat starts.
Kaizen Factor
jumped poorly and was beaten early before pulling up.
Stratford 28th August
Announcement was withdrawn following her amusingly recalcitrant behaviour at the start leaving a field of seven – four of them being newcomers.Mr Gallivanter
was the most exciting newcomer and confirmed this sentiment by running out a clear and convincing winner. He tended to run with his head a little high and made a significant blunder three from home but over all, it was a satisfactory debut. It was encouraging to see how easily he regained his rhythm after the error and whilst his shape can a little awkward, he looks set to improve with experience given his size. Dougie Costello said of him that he "does not show a lot at home" and that he will "come on a stone for the experience". His being targeted at Market Rasen or Wetherby, as well as the sustained market support, suggests he’s a nice type in John Quinn’s yard.
Jazzy Lady
was having her first run in a while but seemed to improve on her debut at Uttoxeter where she was second to Gimme Five. Her chance was already gone when she blundered at the last and she jumped rather big at a few. Nevertheless, she’s brought her flat consistency over hurdles with her and should be able to pick up a race of her own.
Gimme Five
has been decent so far in his three starts over hurdles and probably jumped best of the field on this occasion. It’s not a major disappointment that Jazzy Lady was able to reverse placings with him but this run does expose Gimme Five’s overall level ability. Nevertheless, it was a still further thirty lengths back to the fourth.
Relentless Pursuit
jumped ok but was beginning to lose touch during the back straight. More needed if he’s going to be competitive in the future.
Ravenous
was the last of the well beaten horses to come off the bridle did absolutely nothing when it came to the shove. Could be inconsistent on the flat which may be what happened here.
Lady Red Oak
was beaten seventy-one lengths but this was still an improvement on her calamitous debut.
Malachim Mist
was regressive on the flat and continued the slide over hurdles being the first beaten here. Whilst Oliver Sherwood’s first runner improved for the experience, Malachim Mist will practically have to turn back time which is beyond the cerebral capacity of a horse.
Down Royal 29th August
Ireland’s third juvenile of the season was ran at a reasonable gallop despite the field size although it was slower than the other three races over the distance on the card. Nevertheless, it featured an impressive winner for Willie Mullins.On paper,
Verawal
didn’t look as strong as his stablemate, Tarabiyn, who was behind Cabarete at Roscommon having sold for nearly 20,000€ less. However, he was backed in to joint favouritism shortly before the off and justified the gamble with an impressive debut effort. Racing prominently, he jumped very well and had all of his rivals off the bridle before three out before readily bounding clear in the straight. He beat a very ordinary bunch here but at the same time, this was comfortably the most impressive performance seen in Ireland this season. He could be a smart prospect.
Cabarete
was able to implement his favoured front running tactics and despite finishing second for the third time this season, is nothing if not a consistent benchmark. He did make a rather uncharacteristic error four out but that made no difference to the result. He ran into an above average sort here but he deserves to win a race of this nature.
Celtic Artisan
ran a career best here under either code, finishing much closer to Cabarete than he had at Roscommon. Once again, this represented a middling but unspectacular effort and will most likely need a handicap mark if he’s to collect a prize.
Harry’s Summer
finished a further twenty-seven lengths behind in fourth and while he jumped OK, began to get detached from over half a mile out.
Artistic Flame
was having his first start this year and after taking a keen hold and jumping awkwardly at several of his hurdles finished completely tailed off.
Newton Abbot 30th August
The first Class 3 of the season was ran at Newton Abbot and the market leader was the highest rated juvenile thus far.Goodbye Dancer
was much calmer in the preliminaries than usual and this more relaxed approach was reflected in his race. While he still took a hold, his attitude wasn’t as alarming as it had been previously. He set his own steady pace and was still on the bridle approaching the penultimate flight where he made an error. The runner up closed in and forced Goodbye Dancer off the bridle for the first time in the UK. Nevertheless, whilst the turn of foot wasn’t as dramatic, it was still effective in putting the race to bed. He wasn’t as visually impressive as he had been previously but he was still carrying a double penalty and one imagines he’d be better in a better race. His next appearance is likely to be back at Market Rasen for their Class 2 later in the month.
Sinndar’s Man
was making his racecourse debut and was described beforehand by David Pipe as green and backward. He jumped slowly and carefully at many of his obstacles and looked well beaten in the back straight. However, he began to pick up and stayed on to finish a close enough second. A real learning experience, he should be able to pick up a race of his own before long and may actually be half decent if he can be more streamlined over his hurdles.
Magic Magnolia
stepped up markedly on her flat form when fifth over course and distance over a fortnight earlier and repeated the trick with another career best. She still made some untidy jumps but her future is in this sphere and a small race wouldn’t be above her.
Nellie The Elegant
disappointed on the flat but was fluent in her jumping and for a moment looked like she was threatening to spring an upset. Her effort petered out however and weakened approaching two out before being eased. Not utterly devoid of promise and capable of running into a place in a small race.
Love Tangle
was the first beaten and again seemed to have anything on his mind apart from the race. Whilst he jumped a little better than he had at Market Rasen, he continues to disappoint.
Earl’s Bridge
did not jump fluently and upheld his reputation as a 100/1 shot by finishing stone last.
Lamubaaly
was very much an unexposed sort coming in and whilst one can afford some leeway on account of the unique hurdles at Newton Abbot, the image of him jinking violently at the second when he got rid of Nick Scholfield before refusing to jump whilst loose is very much etched in the mind at this stage.
Sedgefield’s second card of the season opens with their first juvenile of year. Races of this sort at the track are generally ordinary although recent events have been taken by the likes of Countrywide Flame, Rupestrian and Marsh Warbler. Five horses are set to line up tomorrow including the unbeaten Full Day and four newcomers.
Full Day
was progressive on the flat for the current yard and made a winning debut at Newton Abbot last month. She jumped very nicely on that occasion and despite being niggled for much of the way, she didn’t need to be hard ridden to stay on comfortably and win with a bit in hand. The form has worked out well so far with the runner up going on to win at Cartmel and the fifth was not beaten far at Newton Abbot last Saturday. Given her size, one wouldn’t be put off too much by the penalty and she sets a very decent standard here.
Al Musheer
was noted earlier in the thread as an Arqana purchase. He had two rather lacklustre runs at Bordeaux and while he picked up a very small race at Royan La Palmyre (runs here in the "Al Shaqab" grey), he was beaten again at Sables D’Olonne. The form of his flat races don’t exactly leap off the page and at 20,000€, he was the least expensive on the featured Arqana list. Nevertheless, he is still of blatant interest having joined Donald McCain. Especially in this company where he at least has a win to his name.
Aldreth
is still a maiden after eleven starts on the flat but his run at Ripon in the beginning of June offers some encouragement at least as he finished second over ten furlongs. In his subsequent three starts however, he has beaten only two of tewnty-five opponents home, all while competing of a sub sixty rating.
Coastal Storm
best effort for Hughie Morrison came when travelling well before finishing fifth off 58 in a Kempton handicap in April. After failing to build on this promise in a Lingfield handicap, she was sold to run for Jennie Candlish for £3,100. Her new stablemate, Ain’t No Surprise, disappointed after a promising start but Jennie Candlish is still a name to be respected in this field. Coastal Storm should stay the trip well but will do well to finish close to the leading two.
Dover The Moon
cost 100,000gns as a yearling but fetched only 800gns at the July sale. This sharp drop is down to the fact that despite finishing last in only one of his ten starts, the standard of his form is very low. His being well beaten last time in a selling handicap off 48 for Sylvester Kirk being a case in point. That being said, his mother was a decent Juvenile in France way back in the nineties.
Arbitrary 1-2-3
1. Full Day
2. Al Musheer
3. Coastal StormDover The Moon 1/0
Gold Script
5th Prix Cambacérès (3yo G1), Auteuil 1992
Full Day 6/4Bright Oassis
1st Knowsley (Later "Top") Novices’ Hurdle, Aintree 1982
Alderth 2/1Munif
1st Conditions Hurdle, Listowel 1997
Al Musheer 3/1Alriffa
5th Dovecote Novices Hurdle (G2), Kempton 1996
Coastal Storm .5Rock Of Deauville
6th Fred Winter Juv Hcp Hdl (G3, 112), Cheltenham 2011
Sires
Al Musheer – Verglas (2)
Coastal Storm – Manduro (2)
Dover The Moon – Bushranger
Full Day – Champs Elysees
Alderth – Champs ElyseesYou kind sirs are too kind! I appreciate the kind words but the real praise belongs to the three year old horses themselves for being so interesting and adorable. I’m merely a talkative observer
The winner at Sedgefield was backed into long odds on and one gets the feeling that we didn’t learn a great deal about her, rather we learned more about the runner up.
Full Day
was the only one with previous experience and set a decent standard – especially in the context of her opposition. She set her own pace, jumped well and travelled comfortably – better than she had at Newton Abbot. Increasing the tempo on entering the back straight she needed only to be niggled at the top of the hill to power effortlessly clear from her rivals before being eased after the last to record a nine length victory. It may be ambitious to think that she’s going to be a star and was fully entitled to take this race but Danny Cook has yet to get to the bottom of her so it wouldn’t be a great surprise to see her hold her own among the better fillies this season.
Al Musheer
was a winning French newcomer for Donald McCain but he was easy in the market and there were reservations on the standard of his flat form. He jumped well enough and had the remainder of the field eleven lengths behind him but was comprehensively outclassed by the winner. He looks capable of winning a race and may improve if he is gelded but he wouldn’t be a leading light at the Mccain yard on all evidence so far.
Aldreth
maintains his maiden tag after finishing twenty lengths behind the winner. He ran around a bit before the third, was outpaced at the back and whilst he eventually kept on for third, he’s not an obvious future winner.
Dover The Moon
took a keen hold and forced his way to near the front early on. His jumping wasn’t particularly pleasing either. Nevertheless, this probably represents a best effort in an uninspiring career.
Coastal Storm
disappointed for Hughie Morrison on her last flat start and on her jumps debut, made a habit out of being slow in getting away from her hurdles. She put in a rather bad error at the fifth and eventually finished tailed off.
There were some juvenile prospects on offer today at the Doncaster juvenile sales and John Quinn, Neil King and Charlie Longsdon were among the buyers at the last check. Four timer Truancy was bought by Conrad Allen for £140,000… I don’t really know who Conrad is though but if he has something to do with juvenile hurdlers, that could be an interesting sale.
What is definitely interesting however is the card at Auteuil tomorrow – particularly the first two races as far as this thread is concerned. The opener is a three year old chase where leading spring juvenile, The Saint James, is set to make his steeplechase debut. The second race sees the return of some very useful three year olds, most notably Guillaume Macaire’s Kobrouk. The winner of the latter race will almost certainly be contesting Group One races this season.
Nice one No Idea
Sadly, Truancy has been sold to run in Qatar – Donald McCain was the underbidder so maybe he’ll still have that kind of money to spend on other juveniles… There were fifteen or so three year olds at the sale who are likely to run over hurdles this winter, chiefly Final Countdown who sold for £50,000 and will run for the same connections as Countrywide Flame and Moidore. Donald McCain spent £42,000 on Sindarban, Neil King spent £31,000 on Lil Rockerfella and Charlie Longsdon splashed out £32,000 on Zarawi and Argot.
Again, it can’t be overstated how interesting the two races which start tomorrow’s Auteuil card are.
Here’s the card, colours and titbits for the juvenile chase (Starts 12:50 UK/IRE time)
http://www.horseraces.pmu.fr/racecards/race/8998
The card, colours and titbits for the 2m2f hurdle (13:20 UK/IRE)
http://www.horseraces.pmu.fr/racecards/race/8999
And here’s the detailed page for the whole card.
http://www.zone-turf.fr/programmes/r1-a … 40160.html
The whole card can be viewed live on this link.
http://www.centraltv.fr/france-televisi … e-galop-tv
Replays should be available on the Zeturf widget for those unable to catch the race live. They may also be posted on Youtube as Equida are often decent like that.
Aristocracy 4/3
Overturn
2nd Champion Hurdle (G1), Cheltenham 2012 (3/1 Tyrone Bridge, 4/2 Fisher Bridge, 2/1 Hi Tech)
Vosne Romanee 2/1Sweet Glow
1st Long Distance Hurdle (G2), Ascot 1994
Fennann 2/1Trenchant
1st National Spirit Hurdle (G2), Fontwell 2010 (2/1 Personal Column)
Flying Author 2/1Leviathan
1st Handicap Hurdle (125), Stratford 2014 (3/1 Rocket Ship)
Zephyr 2/1Rapier
1st Novices’ Hurdle, Ayr 1998
Gimme Five 3/1Rum Baba
1st NvHcHdl (87), Market Rasen 2000
Magic Magnolia No jumps relatives – American BredSires
Flying Author – Authorized (5)
Magic Magnolia – Azamour (4)
Zephyr – Shirocco (3)
Fennann – Dutch Art (1)
Aristocracy – Royal Applause
Vosne Romanee – Arakan
Gimme Five – Champs ElyseesAh Batchelor’s missed your write up for toady at Listowel
A complete form turn around.A Sea The Moon half-brother to Suraj and Forever Now debuted for Sir Mark Prescott this evening at Wolverhampton, chalk him down as the 2016 Triumph Hurdle winner!!
What did you make of Russian Bolero today, BH?
He was unable to win on the flat in Germany, but was placed in Listed company and ran behind Sea The Moon in the German Derby. Comments in running made him sound like keen type or borderline nutcase, but he was fairly tractable when winning at Plumpton today.
He jumped well, has plenty of size and beat Nellie The Elephant by a similar distance to Goodbye Dancer.
Have you gone off grid BH
Yeah, apologies for disappearing. There’s been a familial issue which has necessitated a trip to Bosnia. Not quite so cool as to be completely off the grid but pretty nifty place all the same. I’ll still be in Sarajevo for another week but things are quieting down more so hopefully I’ll get a bit of a chance to catch up with everything I’ve missed. with luck, I should back up to speed come October. For what it’s worth, I wouldn’t have picked out Celtic Artisan.
A Sea The Moon half-brother to Suraj and Forever Now debuted for Sir Mark Prescott this evening at Wolverhampton, chalk him down as the 2016 Triumph Hurdle winner!!
Seeing as he finished behind Belgrade whilst I’m in the region is surely an omen. If I do a Juvenile Hurdlers 2015/2016 thread, he will be the first horse I mention!
What did you make of Russian Bolero today, BH?
He was unable to win on the flat in Germany, but was placed in Listed company and ran behind Sea The Moon in the German Derby. Comments in running made him sound like keen type or borderline nutcase, but he was fairly tractable when winning at Plumpton today.
He jumped well, has plenty of size and beat Nellie The Elephant by a similar distance to Goodbye Dancer.
I’ve not had a chance to watch the race but I look forward to seeing how it went. Russian Bolero was certainly an intriguing sort beforehand with his German form putting him in the "may be anything" bracket. It was also interesting to see him join David Bridgwater since he isn’t reknowned for juveniles.
He looked a little wayward when the cheekpieces were taken off in the German Derby but from what I see in the listed race, he’s quite green but nothing psychotic (cheekpieces, orange sleeves). Plus his last German start was franked by the winner finishing third in a listed race.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4tOxz03VhZ4
Again, I couldn’t really say much until I’ve seen the race (preferably on something much larger than the screen I have right now) but whilst it’s worth noting that Nellie The Elegant was facing a doubly penalised Goodbye Dancer at Newton Abbot, the signs are strong on current evidence with his limitations still awaiting exposure.
Dobro jutro
Nice one NI. Things are good with me and if nothing else, it’s nice to be in Sarajevo again what with the superior food. The news of Mark Howard’s One Jump Ahead being released makes me feel very "home"sick but that will be rectified next week.
I’ll do all the reviews for the previous races I’ve missed – for my benefit more than anything – next week and more detailed previews should return at roughly the same time.
All of those with experience finished in the first three on their debut. Sinndar’s Man not only has the best form on paper but promised to improve dramatically for the experience. If he is true to his promise, he should take all the beating. High Expectations and Uplifted clashed over course and distance earlier in the month and while Uplifted is weighted to reverse form, it doesn’t look strong in any case with Jazzy Lady disappointing. Al Musheer and Aldreth met at Sedgefield where again, the form looked weak behind the clear winner. Les Gar Gan has several bits of reasonable form on the flat but looked vulnerable at a distance. Cape Arrow is Cape Cross’ first juvenile of the season, demonstrated fair form in the spring and will get the trip without any major issues but comes here after two disappointing efforts. Network Perfection wasn’t totally devoid of promise on the flat but would struggle to win a race in any case.
Arbitrary 1-2-3
1.Sinndar’s Man
2.Uplifted
3.Cape ArrowLes Gar Gan 3/1
Safari Journey
1st Handicap Chase (Listed, 130), Ascot 2010 (5/2 Goss 5/2 Guilder)
High Expectations 2/1Tashtikar
1st Prix Achille-Fould (Listed), Auteuil 2005 (.5 Bigearsonmyright)
Sinndar’s Man 2/3European Dream
3rd Wensleydale Juvenile Hurdle (Listed), Wetherby 2006
Network Perfection 5/3High Debate
3rd Future Champions Novices’ Chase, Ayr 1988 (5/2 Fledge)
Aldreth 2/1Munif
1st Conditions Hurdle, Listowel 1997
Al Musheer 3/1Alriffa
5th Dovecote Novices Hurdle (G2), Kempton 1996
Cape Arrow .5Conducting
2nd Novices’ Hurdle, Newton Abbot 2014
Uplifted 2/1Innocent
4th Maiden Hurdle, Sligo 2003
Sires
Uplifted – Jeremy (8)
Cape Arrow – Cape Cross (7)
Sinndar’s Man – Sinndar (5)
Al Musheer – Verglas (2)
Les Gar Gan – Iffraaj (1)
High Expectations – High Rock
Network Perfection – Distant Peak
Aldreth – Champs Elysees
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