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Erm right, now forget ante-posting for a minute, I’m now just predicting. Intrigued to see how many I pull in and, in all honesty, how many I get in the right race! Going off my records Willie ends up with 11 winners and the Prestbury Cup’s an absolute landslide – 18-9 the Irish
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Day one
Min
Douvan NAP
Fingal Bay
Faugheen NB
Annie Power
Southfield Royale
Ballyalton-
Day two
Bellshill NB
No More Heroes
Ibis Du Rheu NAP
Un De Sceaux
Josies Orders
Connetable
Aspen Colarado-
Day three
Killultagh Vic NAP
Unique De Cotte
Champagne West
Alpha Des Obeaux
Pendra
Mon Parrain NB
Limini-
Day four
Zubayr
Au Quart De Tour
Tycoon Prince
Vautour NAP
On The Fringe
Petit Mouchoir NB
Ted VealeBy the by, has anyone considered the Champion Chase prospect for next year? Sticky boxers…..
ALSO, while we’re talking ahead………….
My mate Yanworth will find Saturdays ‘Neptune trial'(which isn’t) too damp and too sapping. He won’t impress, drift accordingly for the Neptune, hopefully will even touch 25/1 for the Supreme for which JP will call a meeting with the Kingpin. “Big Al, we’re going to follow Boz in and go for the first pal,” he’ll say, and then AAAAAAALL my bases are covered
I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again, he’s the only one who’ll give the smoking hot hotpot a race.DEADED by the fact we’re expecting the heavy stuff at Chelters tomorrow in one sense. I fancied my ziga Zig aaaaaahhhh rotten tomorrow at the weights, the thick un won’t help though. We’ll see, but at 8/1 he’s waaaaay overpriced. This Thistle lad ain’t all he’s cracked up to be.
On a positive note the deeper it gets on the new course the less we’ll see of my Yanworth. He’s a 2 miler that stops a bit, not a Jimmy Mac mother in law job. They speak of him like he’s a World Hurdle horse
This lad will serve it up to Min and will be the only one to do so. He’s next years Champion Hurdler!Oh and, between you and me, keep an eye out for this Townshend. Reckon he could be the handicap blot of the festival this one
County Hurdle aaaaaaaaaayeALSO, while we’re talking ahead………….
My mate Yanworth will find Saturdays ‘Neptune trial'(which isn’t) too damp and too sapping. He won’t impress, drift accordingly for the Neptune, hopefully will even touch 25/1 for the Supreme for which JP will call a meeting with the Kingpin. “Big Al, we’re going to follow Boz in and go for the first pal,” he’ll say, and then AAAAAAALL my bases are covered
I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again, he’s the only one who’ll give the smoking hot hotpot a race.Never have I ever been so happy to be proven wrong and lose £50 in the process. That’s the Supreme bet out the window, although saying that he was just my cover bet behind Min. The path is now clear……..
I’ve been screaming it from the rooftops for as long as I can remember, my Yanworth is special! There’s got to be worse 125/1 pokes knocking around
Being a man of many talents, I tried my hand at being Phil Smith today
Here’s what I came up with…..Although a lovely story, very pleasing on the eye and being part of a very good Kingpin day overall, Smad Place’s performance was still way below Gold Cup standard – sorry fans. As excited as I got personally following his Hennessy win, I think it’s probable that he may have found the ceiling of his ability. I’m rating his run on Saturday 169 – still a fair amount below what’s required with not an apparent amount of improvement left to come. That would mean he wasn’t all that flat King George day, that was just him. Disappointing perhaps, but what a season he’s had all the same.
I’ve left Aintree hero Many Clouds unchanged on 166. What a fantastic horse he is and has been by the way. The model of consistency and still probably doesn’t get the credit he deserves. The biggest mover was obviously Theatre Guide who, because of two fantastic runs this season, now finds himself between a rock and a hard place on 150. Good luck placing him connections!
The one though that caught my eye from a future punting perspective comes next
I’ve nibbled a bit of Mon Parrain for the Kim Muir already as I’ve long believed in the horse and I notice he has a rock solid record round the new course at old Chelters. This has apparently been the plan all season so I took a bit of the 33/1. However, I stumbled on a horse with even better form on the new course, this being (who else but) The Giant Bolster, king of the new course I make him a 141 horse following Saturday, a ludicrously lenient mark for him in a lesser grade handicap than he’s contested for many a year if he were to line up. Surely he won’t be put in another Gold Cup, especially one of this years quality given his obvious decline? Can’t see him skipping the festival though as Cheltenham’s his home from home. The Kim Muir looks perfect, time to go price hunting!Now this was a first attempt at marking up a race so, right or wrong, go easy on me
*EDIT* Forgot to mention, to my eye Sam Winner ran to a mark of 149 on Saturday, considerably below his current rating of 160 and therefore couldn’t be considered his true running (although off the record I believe that’s more where he’s at).
The biggest mover was obviously Theatre Guide who, because of two fantastic runs this season, now finds himself between a rock and a hard place on 150. Good luck placing him connections!
Curiously it seems old Theatre Guide has been left unchanged on 139. For my money that makes him about as well handicapped as anything around on his form this season, definitely one to be followed with interest on his next assignment.
It’s around this time of year I love having too much time on my hands. Basically it leads my brain to go into overdrive to the point of pain, real cog turning pain, but of course to good use. I mean come on, which of us doesn’t love trying to solve the festival handicap puzzles before the actual pieces have been put in front of you?
Especially when you sense a sniff of a mob job, the real plot men at it right under our noses. The Pipeys, the Jonjos, the Elliots, the Martins…..Tony Martin is my favourite example. He may not be quite as prolific as the rest of the bunch, he doesn’t send as many over. His yard is the smallest and his top level performers tend to be few and far between nowadays. Something we do know about him though is that he knows how to place a horse and that he’s not to be underestimated. His last three festival winners have returned at 20/1, 10/1 and 16/1. The latter, Savello, was only that short because Davy Russell and Gigginstown were on more than a roll than the caveman that invented the wheel. Does he house this years Grand Annual winner once again though? My 16/1 says he does, and he runs tomorrow
It’s around this time of year I love having too much time on my hands. Basically it leads my brain to go into overdrive to the point of pain, real cog turning pain, but of course to good use. I mean come on, which of us doesn’t love trying to solve the festival handicap puzzles before the actual pieces have been put in front of you?
Especially when you sense a sniff of a mob job, the real plot men at it right under our noses. The Pipeys, the Jonjos, the Elliots, the Martins…..Tony Martin is my favourite example. He may not be quite as prolific as the rest of the bunch, he doesn’t send as many over. His yard is the smallest and his top level performers tend to be few and far between nowadays. Something we do know about him though is that he knows how to place a horse and that he’s not to be underestimated. His last three festival winners have returned at 20/1, 10/1 and 16/1. The latter, Savello, was only that short because Davy Russell and Gigginstown were on more than a roll than the caveman that invented the wheel. Does he house this years Grand Annual winner once again though? My 16/1 says he does, and he runs tomorrow
Nothing like a good schooling session to get them spot on for next month eh Tone’?
One of my certs of the festival this year has been Killultagh Vic for some time now. He’s all over a JLT type, not something that could be said for stablemate Outlander. I know a fair few who’ll disagree with me and possibly run me into the ground here but I speak the truth, the Mullins ‘Gigg’er will beat No More Heroes in the RSA. I’m expecting an eleventh hour decision on that one and I’ll have piled in to mop up the prices beforehand
Double maroon brigade on the Wednesday because Willie knows his can’t be beaten on the Thursday.Bristol De Mai is a worrying prospect however……
Erm right, now forget ante-posting for a minute, I’m now just predicting. Intrigued to see how many I pull in and, in all honesty, how many I get in the right race! Going off my records Willie ends up with 11 winners and the Prestbury Cup’s an absolute landslide – 18-9 the Irish
- Day one
Min
Douvan
Fingal Bay
Faugheen
Annie Power
Southfield Royale
Ballyalton- Day two
Bellshill YANWORTH
No More Heroes OUTLANDER
Ibis Du Rheu
Un De Sceaux
Josies Orders
Connetable
Aspen Colarado BALLYANDY- Day three
Killultagh Vic
Unique De Cotte
Champagne West GODS OWN
Alpha Des Obeaux THISTLECRACK
Pendra
Mon Parrain THE GIANT BOLSTER (tentative)
Limini- Day four
Zubayr (It’s anyone’s)
Au Quart De Tour TOWNSHEND
Tycoon Prince SHANTOU VILLAGE
Vautour
On The Fringe
Petit Mouchoir
Ted Veale BLAIR PERRONEWondered how my so called ‘predictions’ would get on. The bold shown are my new army members
Am I fickle? One of my certs of the festival this year has been Killultagh Vic for some time now.
Was waiting for something to come out, was always going to happen. This was particularly sickening though as I thought he was ‘the one’ at odds against
Fear not, I’m sending out my sniffer dogs for an able deputy. I’ve found ‘El Niño’ – the kid
He travels, he jumps, he stays, he’s as scopey a horse as I’ve ever seen. Now I just need to figure out his target One of my certs of the festival this year has been Killultagh Vic for some time now. He’s all over a JLT type, not something that could be said for stablemate Outlander. I know a fair few who’ll disagree with me and possibly run me into the ground here but I speak the truth, the Mullins ‘Gigg’er will beat No More Heroes in the RSA. I’m expecting an eleventh hour decision on that one and I’ll have piled in to mop up the prices beforehand
Double maroon brigade on the Wednesday because Willie knows his can’t be beaten on the Thursday.Bristol De Mai is a worrying prospect however……
The only good thing to come out of this – the news broke while I was in work, I was going to leather Outlander for the RSA upon getting home
Such a shame as he is the RSA horse. There’s room for manoeuvre in this JLT market, I tell thee!First of all I believe there’s a strong Mullins outsider that’ll come to the party next month. He’s been very much overlooked. Secondly…..no, that was it
JLT or RSA, decisions decisions……..
The boy Outlander would win either. The RSA is his race though. It’s unfortunate though, especially given Killultagh Vic’s injury. Had he been fit and well I’m certain stock would’ve been taken and Vic would have gone JLT with his stablemate going the other way. Shame now though as it would probably take an injury to No More Heroes for Outlander to run in his proper race. There is though, now a big fat Willie Mullins shaped void in the RSA market. For all his early promise, Pont Alexandre doesn’t look like he’s got the heart nowadays. Dig deeper friends, JLT, RSA, there’s a Closutton inmate trading at massive odds that’ll stir things up next month
I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again, he’s the only one who’ll give the smoking hot hotpot a race.
This lad will serve it up to Min and will be the only one to do so. He’s next years Champion Hurdler!
County Hurdle aaaaaaaaaaye
Here’s what I came up with…..
Such a shame as he is the RSA horse. There’s room for manoeuvre in this JLT market, I tell thee!- You must be logged in to reply to this topic.